比特币、以太坊大幅下跌后，加密货币市场暴跌

主要加密货币周一晚间遭遇低迷，第二季度开始出现亏损。与以太坊相比，比特币的价格大幅下跌超过 5%，波动性也更大。即将到来的比特币区块链奖励减半预计将于 4 月 21 日进行，由于每个区块的比特币排放量减少，预计将加剧市场波动。尽管市场整体下滑，但某些加密货币（例如 Core、Bittensor 和 Bitget Token）却表现出小幅上涨。分析师对比特币创下历史新高的潜力保持谨慎乐观，强调关键支撑位和阻力位的重要性。

Cryptocurrency Market Plunges as Bitcoin and Ethereum Experience Massive Losses

比特币和以太坊遭受巨额损失，加密货币市场暴跌

The cryptocurrency market has taken a severe hit on the first day of the second quarter of 2024, with major digital assets posting substantial declines. Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency, has plummeted by over 5%, while Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, has plunged by an even more alarming 8.52%. Dogecoin (DOGE), the popular meme-based cryptocurrency, has suffered a staggering 12.55% loss.

2024年第二季度第一天，加密货币市场遭受重创，主要数字资产大幅下跌。全球第一大加密货币比特币（BTC）暴跌超过5%，而第二大加密货币以太坊（ETH）暴跌更惊人，达8.52%。狗狗币（DOGE）是一种流行的基于 meme 的加密货币，已经遭受了 12.55% 的惊人损失。

Bitcoin's Volatility Soars, Halving Event Looms

比特币波动性飙升，减半事件迫在眉睫

Bitcoin's volatility has surged significantly in recent weeks, surpassing that of Ethereum. Data from Paris-based Kaiko reveals that Bitcoin's annualized 30-day historical volatility has spiked to almost 60%, surpassing Ethereum's by nearly 10 percentage points. This marks the widest difference in volatility spread in at least a year.

最近几周，比特币的波动性大幅飙升，超过了以太坊。总部位于巴黎的Kaiko的数据显示，比特币30天历史年化波动率已飙升至近60%，超过以太坊近10个百分点。这标志着至少一年来波动率差异最大。

The upcoming Bitcoin blockchain reward halving, a significant event that occurs every four years, is believed to be a major factor contributing to the increased volatility. Scheduled for April 21, 2024, this halving will reduce the rate of Bitcoin emission per block by 50%, potentially leading to increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

即将到来的比特币区块链奖励减半是每四年发生一次的重大事件，被认为是导致波动性增加的一个主要因素。计划于 2024 年 4 月 21 日进行的减半将使每个区块的比特币排放率降低 50%，可能导致加密货币市场波动加剧。

The halving will effectively cut miners' revenue in half, from the current $26 billion annually to $13 billion. According to ByteTree, this drastic reduction in miners' income could further exacerbate the already heightened volatility.

减半将有效地将矿工的收入减少一半，从目前的每年 260 亿美元减少到 130 亿美元。据 ByteTree 称，矿工收入的大幅减少可能会进一步加剧本已加剧的波动性。

Global Market Cap Dips, Investors Monitor Inflation Data

全球市值下跌，投资者关注通胀数据

The global cryptocurrency market cap has declined by 1.63% in the past 24 hours, currently standing at $2.69 trillion. Traditional financial markets also experienced a downturn, with the S&P 500 closing lower by 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining a modest 0.11%.

全球加密货币市值在过去 24 小时内下跌 1.63%，目前为 2.69 万亿美元。传统金融市场也经历了低迷，标普500指数收盘下跌0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数小幅上涨0.11%。

Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates and inflation. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated on Friday that the economy is robust and inflation remains above the target of 2%. Following Powell's comments and a crucial inflation indicator, Treasury yields increased on Monday. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by almost 13 basis points, reaching 4.319%.

投资者正在密切关注美联储的利率和通胀政策。美联储主席鲍威尔周五表示，经济强劲，通胀率仍高于2%的目标。在鲍威尔发表评论和关键通胀指标之后，美国国债收益率周一上涨。 10年期国债收益率上涨近13个基点，达到4.319%。

Analyst Insights and Predictions

分析师见解和预测

Cryptocurrency analyst Michael Van de Poppe believes that Bitcoin is currently consolidating. He identifies $67,000 as a crucial support level and $71.7K as the breakout point towards an all-time high.

加密货币分析师 Michael Van de Poppe 认为，比特币目前正在整合。他将 67,000 美元视为关键支撑位，将 71,700 美元视为历史高点的突破点。

"If either of the two happens, probably direction is chosen. I think we'll have one final ATH test before halving happens," said Van de Poppe.

“如果两者中的任何一个发生，可能会选择方向。我认为我们将在减半发生之前进行最后的 ATH 测试，”Van de Poppe 说。

Analyst Keith Alan notes the increasing liquidity pushing towards $60,000. "Despite the history making the 7th consecutive green monthly close for BTC, there is no 'up only' to the Halving," he wrote in a post.

分析师 Keith Alan 指出，流动性不断增加，接近 60,000 美元。他在一篇文章中写道：“尽管比特币历史上连续第七个月收盘呈绿色，但减半并不存在‘唯一上涨’。”

Analyst and economist Alex Krüger predicts that Bitcoin could soon reach new all-time highs. "Crypto daily charts all very bullish. Expecting bitcoin ATHs soon," he stated.

分析师兼经济学家 Alex Krüger 预测，比特币可能很快就会达到历史新高。 “加密货币日线图都非常看涨。预计比特币很快就会上涨，”他表示。

Conclusion

结论

The cryptocurrency market has experienced a sharp decline on the first day of the second quarter of 2024. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have all suffered significant losses, while volatility has surged and the global market cap has dipped. The upcoming Bitcoin halving event and ongoing inflation concerns are believed to be key factors contributing to the market downturn. Analysts remain divided on the future direction of the market, with some predicting a rebound and others cautioning against excessive optimism.

2024年第二季度第一天，加密货币市场出现大幅下跌，比特币、以太坊、狗狗币均遭受重大损失，波动性大幅上升，全球市值大幅下跌。即将到来的比特币减半事件和持续的通胀担忧被认为是导致市场低迷的关键因素。分析师对市场未来走向仍存在分歧，一些人预测市场将出现反弹，另一些人则警告不要过度乐观。