比特幣、以太幣大幅下跌後，加密貨幣市場暴跌

主要加密貨幣週一晚間遭遇低迷，第二季開始出現虧損。與以太坊相比，比特幣的價格大幅下跌超過 5%，波動性也更大。即將到來的比特幣區塊鏈獎勵減半預計將於 4 月 21 日進行，由於每個區塊的比特幣排放量減少，預計將加劇市場波動。儘管市場整體下滑，但某些加密貨幣（例如 Core、Bittensor 和 Bitget Token）卻表現出小幅上漲。分析師對比特幣創下歷史新高的潛力保持謹慎樂觀，並強調關鍵支撐位和阻力位的重要性。

Cryptocurrency Market Plunges as Bitcoin and Ethereum Experience Massive Losses

比特幣和以太幣遭受巨額損失，加密貨幣市場暴跌

The cryptocurrency market has taken a severe hit on the first day of the second quarter of 2024, with major digital assets posting substantial declines. Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency, has plummeted by over 5%, while Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, has plunged by an even more alarming 8.52%. Dogecoin (DOGE), the popular meme-based cryptocurrency, has suffered a staggering 12.55% loss.

2024年第二季第一天，加密貨幣市場遭受重創，主要數位資產大幅下跌。全球第一大加密貨幣比特幣（BTC）暴跌超過5%，而第二大加密貨幣以太幣（ETH）暴跌更驚人，達8.52%。狗狗幣（DOGE）是一種流行的基於 meme 的加密貨幣，已經遭受了 12.55% 的驚人損失。

Bitcoin's Volatility Soars, Halving Event Looms

比特幣波動性飆升，減半事件迫在眉睫

Bitcoin's volatility has surged significantly in recent weeks, surpassing that of Ethereum. Data from Paris-based Kaiko reveals that Bitcoin's annualized 30-day historical volatility has spiked to almost 60%, surpassing Ethereum's by nearly 10 percentage points. This marks the widest difference in volatility spread in at least a year.

最近幾週，比特幣的波動性大幅飆升，超過了以太坊。總部位於巴黎的Kaiko的數據顯示，比特幣30天歷史年化波動率已飆升至近60%，超過以太坊近10個百分點。這標誌著至少一年來波動率差異最大。

The upcoming Bitcoin blockchain reward halving, a significant event that occurs every four years, is believed to be a major factor contributing to the increased volatility. Scheduled for April 21, 2024, this halving will reduce the rate of Bitcoin emission per block by 50%, potentially leading to increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

即將到來的比特幣區塊鏈獎勵減半是每四年發生一次的重大事件，被認為是導致波動性增加的一個主要因素。計畫於 2024 年 4 月 21 日進行的減半將使每個區塊的比特幣排放率降低 50%，可能導致加密貨幣市場波動加劇。

The halving will effectively cut miners' revenue in half, from the current $26 billion annually to $13 billion. According to ByteTree, this drastic reduction in miners' income could further exacerbate the already heightened volatility.

減半將有效地將礦工的收入減少一半，從目前的每年 260 億美元減少到 130 億美元。據 ByteTree 稱，礦工收入的大幅減少可能會進一步加劇本已加劇的波動性。

Global Market Cap Dips, Investors Monitor Inflation Data

全球市值下跌，投資人關注通膨數據

The global cryptocurrency market cap has declined by 1.63% in the past 24 hours, currently standing at $2.69 trillion. Traditional financial markets also experienced a downturn, with the S&P 500 closing lower by 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining a modest 0.11%.

全球加密貨幣市值在過去 24 小時內下跌 1.63%，目前為 2.69 兆美元。傳統金融市場也經歷了低迷，標普500指數收盤下跌0.2%，那斯達克指數小幅上漲0.11%。

Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates and inflation. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated on Friday that the economy is robust and inflation remains above the target of 2%. Following Powell's comments and a crucial inflation indicator, Treasury yields increased on Monday. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by almost 13 basis points, reaching 4.319%.

投資者正在密切關注聯準會的利率和通膨政策。聯準會主席鮑威爾週五表示，經濟強勁，通膨率仍高於2%的目標。在鮑威爾發表評論和關鍵通膨指標之後，美國公債殖利率週一上漲。 10年期公債殖利率上漲近13個基點，達4.319%。

Analyst Insights and Predictions

分析師見解和預測

Cryptocurrency analyst Michael Van de Poppe believes that Bitcoin is currently consolidating. He identifies $67,000 as a crucial support level and $71.7K as the breakout point towards an all-time high.

加密貨幣分析師 Michael Van de Poppe 認為，比特幣目前正在整合。他將 67,000 美元視為關鍵支撐位，將 71,700 美元視為歷史高點的突破點。

"If either of the two happens, probably direction is chosen. I think we'll have one final ATH test before halving happens," said Van de Poppe.

「如果兩者中的任何一個發生，可能會選擇方向。我認為我們將在減半發生之前進行最後的 ATH 測試，」Van de Poppe 說。

Analyst Keith Alan notes the increasing liquidity pushing towards $60,000. "Despite the history making the 7th consecutive green monthly close for BTC, there is no 'up only' to the Halving," he wrote in a post.

分析師 Keith Alan 指出，流動性不斷增加，接近 6 萬美元。他在一篇文章中寫道：“儘管比特幣歷史上連續第七個月收盤呈綠色，但減半並不存在‘唯一上漲’。”

Analyst and economist Alex Krüger predicts that Bitcoin could soon reach new all-time highs. "Crypto daily charts all very bullish. Expecting bitcoin ATHs soon," he stated.

分析師兼經濟學家 Alex Krüger 預測，比特幣可能很快就會達到歷史新高。 「加密貨幣日線圖都非常看漲。預計比特幣很快就會上漲，」他說。

Conclusion

結論

The cryptocurrency market has experienced a sharp decline on the first day of the second quarter of 2024. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have all suffered significant losses, while volatility has surged and the global market cap has dipped. The upcoming Bitcoin halving event and ongoing inflation concerns are believed to be key factors contributing to the market downturn. Analysts remain divided on the future direction of the market, with some predicting a rebound and others cautioning against excessive optimism.

2024年第二季第一天，加密貨幣市場大幅下跌，比特幣、以太幣、狗狗幣均遭受重大損失，波動性大幅上升，全球市值大幅下跌。即將到來的比特幣減半事件和持續的通膨擔憂被認為是導致市場低迷的關鍵因素。分析師對市場未來走向仍有分歧，有些人預測市場將出現反彈，有些人則警告不要過度樂觀。