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加密货币市场本周在波动中结束,比特币在 68,000 美元附近波动 4%。尽管美国就业报告强劲且对利率存在担忧,但股指仍反弹。分析师将比特币的横盘走势归因于对称三角形形态,预测比特币将突破新高。然而,由于 ETH/BTC 比率暗示对替代加密货币的热情减弱,山寨币面临下行风险。尽管现货和衍生品市场的交易量都在飙升,但由于经济指标好坏参半以及美联储对利率的谨慎立场,更广泛的金融市场仍然存在不确定性。
Volatility Persists in Cryptocurrency Market as Bitcoin Consults Support; Stocks Rebound, Despite Strong Jobs Report
比特币寻求支持,加密货币市场持续波动;尽管就业报告强劲,股市仍反弹
London, United Kingdom - April 1, 2023 - The cryptocurrency market concluded the week with sustained volatility, mirroring its behavior throughout the past four days. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 4% intraday price swing, consolidating around support at $68,000.
英国伦敦 - 2023 年 4 月 1 日 - 加密货币市场以持续波动结束本周,反映了过去四天的表现。比特币 (BTC) 盘中价格波动 4%,在 68,000 美元的支撑位附近盘整。
Meanwhile, stocks enjoyed a day of recovery, with major indices reclaiming some of the ground lost in Thursday's late-afternoon sell-off. The catalyst for the decline was Minnesota Fed President Neel Kashkari's suggestion that the Fed may not lower interest rates this year if inflation remains elevated.
与此同时,股市迎来了一天的复苏,主要股指收复了周四午后抛售中的部分失地。明尼苏达州联储主席尼尔·卡什卡里表示,如果通胀持续高企,美联储今年可能不会降息,这是导致下跌的催化剂。
Stock prices rebounded despite a strong jobs report in the United States. The economy added 303,000 jobs in March, considerably higher than the anticipated 200,000. Combined with recent higher-than-expected inflation data and growing tensions in the Middle East, investors have become increasingly apprehensive, making the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates more complex.
尽管美国就业报告强劲,但股价仍反弹。 3 月份经济新增就业岗位 303,000 个,远高于预期的 200,000 个。加之近期通胀数据高于预期以及中东局势日益紧张,投资者的忧虑情绪日益加剧,使得美联储的利率决策变得更加复杂。
Despite the threat of prolonged higher interest rates or a potential hike, the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq ended the day in positive territory, rising by 1.10%, 0.85%, and 1.20%, respectively.
尽管存在长期加息或潜在加息的威胁,标准普尔指数、道指和纳斯达克指数当天收盘上涨,分别上涨 1.10%、0.85% 和 1.20%。
Data from TradingView revealed that Bitcoin bears gained control of the price action early on Friday, driving the price from a high of $68,780 to a low near $66,000. However, bulls regained momentum, pushing the price back above $67,500.
TradingView 的数据显示,比特币空头在周五早些时候控制了价格走势,推动价格从 68,780 美元的高点跌至接近 66,000 美元的低点。然而,多头重新获得动力,将价格推回到 67,500 美元上方。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $67,703, down 0.33% over the past 24 hours.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 67,703 美元,过去 24 小时下跌 0.33%。
Rate Cut Uncertainty Fuels Volatility
降息的不确定性加剧了波动
"Bitcoin is currently navigating within a symmetrical triangle formation, without a definitive direction," noted analysts at Secure Digital Markets. "After a bounce from the triangle's lower edge near $64,500, the momentum is expected to propel the price towards a recent peak of $72,000."
Secure Digital Markets 的分析师指出:“比特币目前正在对称三角形形态中运行,没有明确的方向。” “从三角形下缘接近 64,500 美元反弹后,预计这一势头将推动价格升至 72,000 美元的近期峰值。”
"With the ETF market witnessing solid inflows and the looming supply shock anticipated by the market, a breakout above this pattern, leading to new all-time highs, seems likely in the near term," they added. "In terms of ETF movements, the scene remains bullish with net inflows hitting $106.8 million, while Grayscale's outflows were comparatively modest at $79.3 million."
他们补充道:“随着 ETF 市场出现强劲的资金流入以及市场预期的供应冲击迫在眉睫,短期内似乎有可能突破这一模式,从而创下历史新高。” “就 ETF 走势而言,情况仍然看涨,净流入达到 1.068 亿美元,而 Grayscale 的流出相对温和,为 7930 万美元。”
While Bitcoin showed strength, altcoins faced the risk of further declines, according to the analysts. They highlighted the struggling price of Ethereum (ETH).
分析师表示,虽然比特币表现强劲,但山寨币面临进一步下跌的风险。他们强调了以太坊(ETH)的挣扎价格。
"The ETH/BTC ratio, an indicator often associated with altcoin market leadership when on the rise, is teasing recent low levels," the analysts noted. "This underperformance by ETH could hint at a growing cautious sentiment and a dampening enthusiasm for altcoins."
分析师指出:“ETH/BTC 比率是一个在上升时通常与山寨币市场领导地位相关的指标,但它正在挑战近期的低水平。” “以太坊的表现不佳可能暗示着人们的谨慎情绪日益增长,以及对山寨币的热情减弱。”
Robust Trading Volumes Amid Market Turbulence
市场动荡中交易量强劲
The analysts also highlighted the surge in trading volumes across the crypto market. "March saw a remarkable surge in trading volumes, with spot trading on centralized exchanges jumping 108% to $2.94 trillion – the highest since May 2021 and marking the sixth consecutive monthly rise," they noted. "Derivatives trading volumes also soared by 86.5% to a record $6.18 trillion, though their share of the total crypto market dipped slightly to 67.8% from February's 70.1%, the lowest since December 2022."
分析师还强调了整个加密货币市场交易量的激增。他们指出:“3 月份交易量显着激增,中心化交易所的现货交易量猛增 108%,达到 2.94 万亿美元,这是 2021 年 5 月以来的最高水平,也是连续第六个月增长。” “衍生品交易量也飙升 86.5%,达到创纪录的 6.18 万亿美元,但其在整个加密市场的份额从 2 月份的 70.1% 略有下降至 67.8%,为 2022 年 12 月以来的最低水平。”
Commenting on the broader financial market turbulence, the Secure Digital Markets analysts observed that "The reported increase of 303,000 nonfarm payrolls in March, outstripping the 212,000 forecast, and a dip in the unemployment rate to 3.8% underscore the market's resilience but also complicate the prospects for rate cuts."
Secure Digital Markets 分析师在评论更广泛的金融市场动荡时指出,“3 月份非农就业人数增加 303,000 人,超出预期的 212,000 人,失业率下降至 3.8%,凸显了市场的弹性,但也使前景变得复杂。为了降息。”
"Neel Kashkari's comments on inflation and rate adjustments underscore a cautious stance towards easing monetary policy, especially without clear indications of inflation stabilizing," they added. "Although Kashkari's influence in the Federal Open Market Committee is noted, his voting power won't come into
他们补充说:“尼尔·卡什卡里关于通胀和利率调整的评论凸显了对宽松货币政策的谨慎立场,特别是在没有明确迹象表明通胀稳定的情况下。” “尽管卡什卡里在联邦公开市场委员会的影响力受到关注,但他的投票权不会受到影响。
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