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尽管地缘政治紧张局势不断加剧,但加密货币市场仍然保持弹性,比特币充当了宏观对冲工具。 4 月 19 日,比特币和以太坊的重大期权到期事件(名义价值总计超过 23 亿美元)可能会导致波动性加剧。在比特币减半即将到来之际,尽管近期地缘政治紧张,但比特币价格仍保持支撑,这表明存在积累机会。根据历史数据,比特币的价格在每次减半事件后都呈现看涨趋势,可能预示着潜在的反弹。
Cryptocurrency Market Defies Geopolitical Turmoil, Bitcoin Halving Looms
加密货币市场无惧地缘政治动荡,比特币减半迫在眉睫
Despite escalating tensions in the Middle East, the cryptocurrency market has exhibited remarkable resilience. Bitcoin, often hailed as a macro hedge, has played a crucial role in this stability. On April 19th, Israel's strike on Iranian soil initially caused a dip in BTC's price to $57,600, but it swiftly rebounded to $65,000, signaling the market's inherent strength.
尽管中东紧张局势不断升级,加密货币市场仍表现出惊人的弹性。比特币通常被誉为宏观对冲工具,在这种稳定性中发挥了至关重要的作用。 4 月 19 日,以色列对伊朗领土的袭击最初导致 BTC 价格下跌至 57,600 美元,但随后迅速反弹至 65,000 美元,这表明了市场的内在实力。
Notable Options Expiry and Market Volatility
值得注意的期权到期和市场波动
The cryptocurrency market is poised for heightened volatility today as significant options expire. Wu Blockchain reports the expiry of 21,564 Bitcoin options, valued at $1.4 billion, with a Put/Call ratio of 0.64 and a Maxpain point at $65,000. Additionally, 298,415 Ethereum options are set to expire, with a notional value of $930 million, a Put/Call ratio of 0.42, and a Maxpain point at $3,125.
随着重要期权到期,加密货币市场今天的波动性将会加剧。 Wu Blockchain 报告称,21,564 个比特币期权已到期,价值 14 亿美元,看跌期权/看涨期权比率为 0.64,Maxpain 点为 65,000 美元。此外,还有 298,415 个以太坊期权即将到期,名义价值为 9.3 亿美元,看跌期权/看涨期权比率为 0.42,Maxpain 点为 3,125 美元。
These options expirations could exacerbate market volatility as traders adjust their positions around these key levels.
当交易者围绕这些关键水平调整头寸时,这些期权到期可能会加剧市场波动。
Bitcoin (BTC) Halving Approaches
比特币(BTC)减半临近
Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, is on the cusp of a significant event within the next 24 hours: the Halving. This mechanism, inherent to Bitcoin's economic model, aims to control inflation by reducing the mining rewards by half. This will be the fourth Halving, and it is expected to cut the block reward from 6.25 to 3.125 bitcoins.
比特币作为加密货币的先锋,正处于未来 24 小时内重大事件的风口浪尖:减半。这种机制是比特币经济模型固有的,旨在通过将挖矿奖励减少一半来控制通货膨胀。这将是第四次减半,预计区块奖励将从 6.25 个比特币削减至 3.125 个比特币。
In anticipation of the Halving, BTC's price has fluctuated between $73,800 and $60,000 since early March. Despite geopolitical tensions, the support level of $60,000 has remained intact, suggesting a potential opportunity for dip accumulation.
由于预计减半,BTC 的价格自 3 月初以来一直在 73,800 美元至 60,000 美元之间波动。尽管地缘政治紧张,但 60,000 美元的支撑位仍然完好,这表明存在逢低吸筹的潜在机会。
Historical Trend Points to Bullish Post-Halving Performance
历史趋势表明减半后表现看涨
An analysis by IntoTheBlock, a crypto analytics firm, reveals a recurring bullish trend in Bitcoin's price following each Halving event. The firm's chart indicates that this upward trend often persists for approximately a year after each Halving.
加密分析公司 IntoTheBlock 的一项分析显示,每次减半事件后,比特币价格都会反复出现看涨趋势。该公司的图表表明,这种上升趋势通常会在每次减半后持续大约一年。
Potential Price Action
潜在的价格走势
Given the historical trend, a potential rebound in BTC's price is anticipated. Immediate resistance levels at $61,750 and $73,800 could be tested as the market reacts to the Halving.
鉴于历史趋势,预计比特币价格可能会出现反弹。随着市场对减半的反应,可能会测试 61,750 美元和 73,800 美元的直接阻力位。
Conclusion
结论
The cryptocurrency market has shown remarkable resilience amidst geopolitical tensions, with Bitcoin acting as a stabilizing force. Significant options expiries and the approaching Bitcoin Halving are expected to introduce market volatility. However, historical data suggests a potential bullish trend for BTC post-Halving, adding to the positive outlook for the cryptocurrency market.
在地缘政治紧张局势中,加密货币市场表现出了非凡的弹性,比特币充当了稳定力量。重要的期权到期和即将到来的比特币减半预计将带来市场波动。然而,历史数据表明比特币减半后可能出现看涨趋势,这增加了加密货币市场的积极前景。
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