为什么今天加密货币市场崩溃了？比特币（BTC）价格预测

今天，Bonk、Dogwifhat、FLOKI 等 meme 币价格大幅下跌，加密货币整体市值下跌 5.74%。

The prices of meme coins like Bonk, Dogwifhat, and FLOKI dropped sharply today, as the overall crypto market cap declined by 5.74%.

今天，Bonk、Dogwifhat、FLOKI 等 meme 币价格大幅下跌，加密货币整体市值下跌 5.74%。

Bitcoin’s price fell by 4.65%, losing about $6,000 and dropping from a high of $106,470.61 to $100,256.21.

比特币价格下跌 4.65%，损失约 6,000 美元，从高点 106,470.61 美元跌至 100,256.21 美元。

Most cryptocurrencies are struggling today, with only 5 out of the top 100 tokens seeing price increases. The rest are losing value, some by as much as 16%.

如今，大多数加密货币都在苦苦挣扎，前 100 种代币中只有 5 种价格上涨。其余的都在贬值，有些贬值幅度高达 16%。

The tokens that gained value include Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Bitget Token (BGB), UNUS SED LEO (LEO), Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), and Movement (MOVE).

增值的代币包括 Pudgy Penguins (PENGU)、Bitget Token (BGB)、UNUS SED LEO (LEO)、Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) 和 Movement (MOVE)。

Why is the crypto market going down today?

为什么今天加密货币市场下跌？

The recent drop in the crypto market happened after the US Federal Reserve lowered its policy rate by 0.25% on Wednesday, bringing it to a target range of 4.25% to 4.5%. This change shows a shift in monetary policy amid mixed economic signals.

最近加密货币市场的下跌发生在美联储周三将政策利率降低 0.25%，使其达到 4.25% 至 4.5% 的目标区间之后。这一变化表明，在经济信号复杂的情况下，货币政策发生了转变。

This was the third rate cut this year, but the Fed also indicated that it plans to reduce rates more slowly next year because inflation remains high.

这是今年第三次降息，但美联储还表示，由于通胀仍然很高，计划明年降息速度更慢。

Typically, rate cuts are good news for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. However, the market’s reaction reflects fears that slow rate cuts next year due to ongoing inflation could limit liquidity. Investors hoped for quicker economic relief, but this cautious outlook from the Fed creates uncertainty, which can temporarily affect riskier assets like crypto.

通常，降息对于加密货币等风险较高的资产来说是个好消息。然而，市场的反应反映出人们担心，由于持续的通胀，明年缓慢降息可能会限制流动性。投资者希望经济能够更快缓解，但美联储这种谨慎的前景带来了不确定性，这可能会暂时影响加密货币等风险较高的资产。

The sell-off worsened after Fed Chair Jerome Powell discussed the central bank’s stance on Bitcoin. When asked about the possibility of the Fed holding Bitcoin, Powell said current laws do not allow it.

在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔讨论央行对比特币的立场后，抛售进一步恶化。当被问及美联储持有比特币的可能性时，鲍威尔表示，现行法律不允许这样做。

“We’re not allowed to own Bitcoin. The Federal Reserve Act says what we can own, and we’re not looking for a law change,” he said.

“我们不被允许拥有比特币。美联储法案规定了我们可以拥有什么，我们并不寻求修改法律，”他说。

The Federal Reserve Act explains which assets the central bank can hold. These include US government securities such as Treasury bills, notes, bonds, and municipal and federal agency securities under specific conditions. Additionally, it can keep reserves in gold and foreign currencies to help manage the value of the US dollar.

《联邦储备法》解释了中央银行可以持有哪些资产。其中包括美国政府证券，例如国库券、票据、债券以及特定条件下的市政和联邦机构证券。此外，它还可以保留黄金和外币储备，以帮助管理美元的价值。

Powell stated that Congress could only decide if the Fed could buy Bitcoin (BTC), and he mentioned that he was not interested in doing so.

鲍威尔表示，国会只能决定美联储是否可以购买比特币（BTC），并且他提到他对此不感兴趣。

“That’s the kind of thing for Congress to consider, but we are not looking for a law change at the Fed.”

“这是国会需要考虑的事情，但我们并不寻求美联储修改法律。”

President-elect Trump has stated that he will stop the US government from selling large amounts of seized BTC on the open market. Instead, he plans to hold Bitcoin as an investment. Although he has yet to officially address the Federal Reserve on this matter, Donald Trump reportedly aims to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve starting in 2025.

当选总统特朗普表示，他将阻止美国政府在公开市场上出售大量扣押的比特币。相反，他计划持有比特币作为投资。尽管唐纳德·特朗普尚未就此事正式向美联储发表讲话，但据报道，他的目标是从 2025 年开始建立比特币战略储备。

What next for Bonk, Dogwifhat, and FLOKI memecoins?

Bonk、Dogwifhat 和 FLOKI memecoin 的下一步是什么？

Dogwifhat (WIF) dropped by 16.24% in price over the past 24 hours and now trades at $2.34. Bonk (BONK) fell by 14.25% and currently trades for $0.00003182. FLOKI saw a 12.26% drop and trades for $0.0001945. Many other popular meme coins, such as Pepe (PEPE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Dogecoin (DOGE), are also losing value.

Dogwifhat (WIF) 的价格在过去 24 小时内下跌了 16.24%，目前交易价格为 2.34 美元。 Bonk (BONK) 下跌 14.25%，目前交易价格为 0.00003182 美元。 FLOKI 下跌 12.26%，交易价格为 0.0001945 美元。许多其他流行的模因币，如佩佩 (PEPE)、柴犬 (SHIB) 和狗狗币 (DOGE) 也在贬值。

Memecoins like BONK, WIF, and FLOKI are very sensitive to market changes and news, and their recovery depends on market stability, a rise in Bitcoin prices, and renewed interest from the memecoin community.

像 BONK、WIF 和 FLOKI 这样的 Memecoin 对市场变化和新闻非常敏感，它们的复苏取决于市场稳定、比特币价格的上涨以及 memecoin 社区重新产生的兴趣。

For Bonk, a key level to watch is the support near $0.000030. If it drops below this level for a long time, it may lead to more panic selling. Dogwifhat (WIF) has strong community support and needs to bounce back to $3.00 to build confidence and return to its upward trend. The FLOKI memecoin must also maintain support near $0.00018 to prevent further losses.

对于 Bonk 来说，需要关注的关键水平是 0.000030 美元附近的支撑位。如果长期跌破该水平，可能会导致更多的恐慌性抛售。 Dogwifhat (WIF) 拥有强大的社区支持，需要反弹至 3.00 美元才能建立信心并恢复上升趋势。 FLOKI memecoin 还必须维持 0.00018 美元附近的支撑，以防止进一步损失。

In the short term, the performance of these meme coins will likely reflect Bitcoin’s performance. If BTC returns and stabilizes above $105,000, it could spark renewed interest in riskier assets, including memecoins, and lead to a potential recovery.

短期内，这些模因币的表现可能会反映比特币的表现。如果 BTC 回归并稳定在 105,000 美元以上，可能会重新激发人们对包括 memecoin 在内的风险资产的兴趣，并导致潜在的复苏。