加密货币分析师警告：黄金飙升可能预示着比特币即将出现调整

受欢迎的加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）表示，黄金最近的飙升可能预示着比特币看涨势头的顶峰。 Cowen 认为，黄金在 2019 年和 2022 年的强劲表现与比特币的局部顶部一致，可能预示着领先的加密货币的调整。这位分析师还指出，最近以太坊兑比特币的崩溃是比特币见顶的另一个潜在指标。

Crypto Analyst Suggests Gold's Recent Surge May Foretell Bitcoin's Imminent Correction

加密货币分析师表示，黄金近期的飙升可能预示着比特币即将出现调整

Amid the recent surge in Bitcoin's (BTC) value, a prominent crypto analyst, Benjamin Cowen, has presented a compelling analysis suggesting that the rise in gold prices may have signaled a potential peak in Bitcoin's current rally.

在比特币 (BTC) 价值近期飙升之际，著名加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 提出了一项令人信服的分析，表明金价上涨可能预示着比特币当前涨势可能达到峰值。

In an informative video update shared with his substantial YouTube audience of over 800,000 subscribers, Cowen meticulously examined historical data and identified a correlation between gold's performance and Bitcoin's subsequent price movements.

在与超过 800,000 名 YouTube 订阅者的大量 YouTube 观众分享的信息丰富的视频更新中，Cowen 仔细研究了历史数据，并确定了黄金表现与比特币后续价格走势之间的相关性。

"We observed that in 2019, a significant breakout in gold prices coincided with the local peak in Bitcoin's value. Although Bitcoin experienced a brief upturn a year later, it is noteworthy that gold's resurgence in March this year mirrored a similar occurrence when Bitcoin/USD attained its local peak," stated Cowen.

“我们观察到，2019年金价出现大幅突破，恰逢比特币价值局部见顶。虽然比特币在一年后经历了短暂的上涨，但值得注意的是，今年3月黄金的复苏也反映了类似的情况，当时比特币/美元出现了类似的情况。达到了当地的顶峰，”考恩说。

Cowen further elucidated that should gold continue to perform well, it could indicate that Bitcoin may face an extended period of correction after its present period of consolidation below the 8-week moving average, unlike the sudden surge it experienced last year.

Cowen进一步阐明，如果黄金继续表现良好，则可能表明比特币在目前低于8周移动均线的盘整期后可能面临较长时期的调整，这与去年经历的突然飙升不同。

Additionally, Cowen highlighted the breakdown of Ethereum (ETH) relative to BTC (ETH/BTC) as another indicator of potential Bitcoin peaks, a trend he suggested has already commenced.

此外，Cowen 强调以太坊 (ETH) 相对于 BTC (ETH/BTC) 的崩溃是比特币潜在峰值的另一个指标，他认为这一趋势已经开始。

"Historical data reveals that when ETH/BTC began to decline in the previous cycle, it signaled an impending peak in BTC/USD before a substantial correction. We are witnessing a similar pattern emerging this year," said Cowen.

Cowen 表示：“历史数据显示，当 ETH/BTC 在上一个周期开始下跌时，这预示着 BTC/USD 在大幅回调之前即将见顶。我们今年正见证类似的模式出现。”

At the time of writing, ETH/BTC traded at 0.05143 ($3,258).

截至撰写本文时，ETH/BTC 交易价格为 0.05143（3,258 美元）。

Cowen went on to elaborate that a further indication of a Bitcoin peak would be a sell-off in altcoins relative to BTC. However, he noted that this trend has not yet materialized in the current market.

Cowen 继续阐述道，比特币见顶的进一步迹象是山寨币相对于 BTC 的抛售。不过，他指出，这种趋势在当前市场上尚未实现。

"During the previous cycle, when altcoins declined against Bitcoin, it marked the local peak for Bitcoin. Despite Bitcoin experiencing notable rallies as altcoins depreciated, this has not occurred in the present market. Altcoins briefly dipped below their previous levels but have not sustained weekly closures below them," explained Cowen.

“在上一个周期中，当山寨币兑比特币下跌时，标志着比特币的局部峰值。尽管随着山寨币贬值，比特币经历了显着的反弹，但在当前市场上并没有发生这种情况。山寨币短暂跌破之前的水平，但并没有持续每周低于它们的关闭，”考恩解释说。

Based on his analysis, Cowen predicted that Bitcoin would likely fluctuate between $66,000 and $56,000 in the coming weeks and spend a significant amount of time between the 8-week SMA and the bull market support band.

根据他的分析，Cowen 预测，未来几周比特币可能会在 66,000 美元至 56,000 美元之间波动，并在 8 周移动平均线和牛市支撑带之间花费相当长的时间。

Bitcoin was trading at $63,386 at the time of writing, representing a 1.2% decline over the past 24 hours. Notably, it had been hovering around $44,000 at the beginning of 2024.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 63,386 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 1.2%。值得注意的是，2024 年初，其价格一直徘徊在 44,000 美元左右。

It is crucial to emphasize that the views expressed by Cowen are based on his own analysis and interpretation of market data. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own thorough research and exercise discretion before making any investment decisions.

需要强调的是，考恩表达的观点是基于他自己对市场数据的分析和解释。强烈建议投资者在做出任何投资决定之前进行彻底的研究并谨慎行事。