加密貨幣分析師警告：黃金飆升可能預示著比特幣即將出現調整

受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師本傑明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）表示，黃金最近的飆升可能預示著比特幣看漲勢頭的頂峰。 Cowen 認為，黃金在 2019 年和 2022 年的強勁表現與比特幣的局部頂部一致，可能預示著領先的加密貨幣的調整。這位分析師也指出，最近以太坊兌比特幣的崩盤是比特幣見頂的另一個潛在指標。

Crypto Analyst Suggests Gold's Recent Surge May Foretell Bitcoin's Imminent Correction

加密貨幣分析師表示，黃金近期的飆升可能預示著比特幣即將出現調整

Amid the recent surge in Bitcoin's (BTC) value, a prominent crypto analyst, Benjamin Cowen, has presented a compelling analysis suggesting that the rise in gold prices may have signaled a potential peak in Bitcoin's current rally.

在比特幣 (BTC) 價值近期飆升之際，著名加密貨幣分析師本傑明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 提出了一項令人信服的分析，表明金幣上漲可能預示著比特幣當前漲勢可能達到高峰。

In an informative video update shared with his substantial YouTube audience of over 800,000 subscribers, Cowen meticulously examined historical data and identified a correlation between gold's performance and Bitcoin's subsequent price movements.

在與超過 80 萬名 YouTube 訂閱者的大量 YouTube 觀眾分享的資訊豐富的影片更新中，Cowen 仔細研究了歷史數據，並確定了黃金表現與比特幣後續價格走勢之間的相關性。

"We observed that in 2019, a significant breakout in gold prices coincided with the local peak in Bitcoin's value. Although Bitcoin experienced a brief upturn a year later, it is noteworthy that gold's resurgence in March this year mirrored a similar occurrence when Bitcoin/USD attained its local peak," stated Cowen.

「我們觀察到，2019年金價出現大幅突破，恰逢比特幣價值局部見頂。雖然比特幣在一年後經歷了短暫的上漲，但值得注意的是，今年3月黃金的復甦也反映了類似的情況，當時比特幣/美元出現了類似的情況。

Cowen further elucidated that should gold continue to perform well, it could indicate that Bitcoin may face an extended period of correction after its present period of consolidation below the 8-week moving average, unlike the sudden surge it experienced last year.

Cowen進一步闡明，如果黃金繼續表現良好，則可能表明比特幣在目前低於8週移動均線的盤整期後可能面臨較長時期的調整，這與去年經歷的突然飆升不同。

Additionally, Cowen highlighted the breakdown of Ethereum (ETH) relative to BTC (ETH/BTC) as another indicator of potential Bitcoin peaks, a trend he suggested has already commenced.

此外，Cowen 強調以太坊 (ETH) 相對於 BTC (ETH/BTC) 的崩潰是比特幣潛在高峰的另一個指標，他認為這一趨勢已經開始。

"Historical data reveals that when ETH/BTC began to decline in the previous cycle, it signaled an impending peak in BTC/USD before a substantial correction. We are witnessing a similar pattern emerging this year," said Cowen.

Cowen 表示：“歷史數據顯示，當 ETH/BTC 在上一個週期開始下跌時，這預示著 BTC/USD 在大幅回調之前即將見頂。我們今年正見證類似的模式出現。”

At the time of writing, ETH/BTC traded at 0.05143 ($3,258).

截至撰寫本文時，ETH/BTC 交易價格為 0.05143（3,258 美元）。

Cowen went on to elaborate that a further indication of a Bitcoin peak would be a sell-off in altcoins relative to BTC. However, he noted that this trend has not yet materialized in the current market.

Cowen 繼續闡述道，比特幣見頂的進一步跡像是山寨幣相對於 BTC 的拋售。不過，他指出，這種趨勢在當前市場上尚未實現。

"During the previous cycle, when altcoins declined against Bitcoin, it marked the local peak for Bitcoin. Despite Bitcoin experiencing notable rallies as altcoins depreciated, this has not occurred in the present market. Altcoins briefly dipped below their previous levels but have not sustained weekly closures below them," explained Cowen.

「在上一個週期中，當山寨幣兌比特幣下跌時，標誌著比特幣的局部峰值。儘管隨著山寨幣貶值，比特幣經歷了顯著的反彈，但在當前市場上並沒有發生這種情況。

Based on his analysis, Cowen predicted that Bitcoin would likely fluctuate between $66,000 and $56,000 in the coming weeks and spend a significant amount of time between the 8-week SMA and the bull market support band.

根據他的分析，Cowen 預測，未來幾週比特幣可能會在 66,000 美元至 56,000 美元之間波動，並在 8 週移動平均線和牛市支撐帶之間花費相當長的時間。

Bitcoin was trading at $63,386 at the time of writing, representing a 1.2% decline over the past 24 hours. Notably, it had been hovering around $44,000 at the beginning of 2024.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 63,386 美元，過去 24 小時內下跌 1.2%。值得注意的是，2024 年初，其價格一直徘徊在 44,000 美元左右。

It is crucial to emphasize that the views expressed by Cowen are based on his own analysis and interpretation of market data. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own thorough research and exercise discretion before making any investment decisions.

需要強調的是，考恩表達的觀點是基於他自己對市場數據的分析和解釋。強烈建議投資者在做出任何投資決定之前進行徹底的研究並謹慎行事。