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链条(链接)在下降数周后处于潜在趋势逆转的边缘。该代币的交易价格为4月17日的12.44美元,低于关键的心理和技术水平13美元。
Chainlink (LINK) is on the verge of a potential trend reversal after weeks of downward pressure. The token traded at $12.44 on April 17, just below the key psychological and technical level of $13.
链条(链接)在下降数周后处于潜在趋势逆转的边缘。该代币的交易价格为4月17日的12.44美元,低于关键的心理和技术水平13美元。
As the price action now tests the upper resistance of a falling wedge pattern, traders are hoping for a breakout that could target gains of up to 74%.
随着价格动作现在测试楔形模式下降的最高阻力,交易者希望突破可以将收益降至74%。
Chainlink Price Battles Falling Wedge Resistance
链链接价格战跌落楔子抵抗
Chainlink’s price has been locked inside a falling wedge structure since early Dec. 2024. The token formed lower highs while maintaining a relatively stable base around $10. A wedge breakout typically marks the end of a downtrend.
自2024年12月初以来,Chainlink的价格已锁定在楔形结构内。代币形成较低的高点,同时保持相对稳定的基础约10美元。楔形突破通常标志着下降趋势的末端。
As of Wednesday, LINK approached the pattern’s upper resistance with visible uptick in volume.
截至周三,Link随着数量可见的增加而接近了模式的上限。
Technical analysis points to a potential upside target of $22, based on the wedge’s height. This aligns with the Fibonacci extension levels, with the 1.618 Fib level around $22.19 also reinforcing the target zone.
技术分析指出,根据楔子的高度,潜在的上行目标为22美元。这与斐波那契的扩展水平保持一致,1.618 FIB水平约为22.19美元,也加强了目标区域。
Jonathan Carter flagged the breakout setup on TradingView, noting, “Price is testing the upper trendline resistance with increasing volume… A successful breakout and retest could trigger parabolic moves with targets at $15.40, $17.50, $20.00, $23.80 and $26.50.”
乔纳森·卡特(Jonathan Carter)在TradingView上标记了突破性设置,并指出:“价格正在测试上趋势线的阻力,并增加了数量的增加……成功的突破和重新测试可能会触发抛物线抛物线,目标是$ 15.40,$ 17.50,$ 20.00,20.00美元,$ 23.80,$ 23.80和26.50。”
Carter added that a confirmed breakout could return LINK to its December 2024 highs. The chart shows LINK bounced off its local bottom around $10.18 and has since moved upward, reclaiming several key support levels near $11.50 and $12.
卡特补充说,确认的突破可以返回到2024年12月的高点。图表显示,链接在10.18美元左右弹起了本地底部,此后已上升,收回了几个关键支持水平,接近$ 11.50和12美元。
$13 Reclaim Becomes Pivotal Price Level
$ 13回收成为关键价格水平
Despite the bullish setup, LINK must yet again claim the $13 level for bulls to gain control. Sjuul from AltCryptoGems pointed out that losing this level has placed Chainlink “in trouble” on higher timeframes.
尽管是看涨的设置,但Link必须再次要求公牛获得13美元的控制权才能获得控制权。来自AltCryptogems的Sjuul指出,失去此级别已将链链链接在更高的时间范围内“陷入困境”。
“The $13 level was super relevant on HTF. It’s important to reclaim it, otherwise I can see this going lower,” Sjuul wrote on Apr. 17.
Sjuul在4月17日写道:“ $ 13的水平在HTF上非常相关。恢复它很重要,否则我会看到这幅度较低。”
Sjuul’s analysis highlights the broader implication of this price action. Losing the $13 pivot would continue the structure on lower timeframes.
Sjuul的分析强调了这种价格行动的更广泛含义。失去$ 13的枢轴将继续在较低的时间范围内继续结构。
However, reclaiming this resistance-turned-support would shift structure in bulls’ favor. It also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $13.89, reinforcing its importance as a pivot zone.
但是,收回这种抗性转向的支持将改变公牛的青睐。它还与0.5斐波那契反回头级别保持一致,$ 13.89,增强了其作为枢轴区域的重要性。
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 45.01—still below the 50-neutral line. This suggests Chainlink remains in consolidation, but rising momentum and volume offer early signals of strength.
同时,每日图表上的相对强度指数(RSI)为45.01,位于50中性线以下。这表明ChainLink仍在巩固中,但是势头和音量的上升提供了早期的强度信号。
Greater Fool Theory: Is It Risky or Essential in Investing?
更大的傻瓜理论:投资中的风险还是必不可少?
Broader Sentiment Shifts
更广泛的情感转变
Broader sentiment appears to be turning. Crypto Rand stated on Apr. 17 that a breach of the $13 range could confirm a “full bull reversal” for LINK. That view aligns with the falling wedge setup and macro indicators signaling trend exhaustion.
更广泛的情绪似乎正在转向。加密兰德(Crypto Rand)在4月17日表示,违反13美元的范围可能会证实链接的“全牛逆转”。该视图与掉落的楔形设置和宏观指示器信号趋势耗尽的一致。
Volume has gradually increased over the past three trading sessions, a common precursor to breakout confirmation. Daily candles have printed higher lows, suggesting accumulation ahead of a breakout decision.
在过去的三个交易中,数量逐渐增加,这是突破确认的常见先驱。每日蜡烛打印出更高的低点,表明在突破决定之前积累。
From a structural standpoint, LINK has room to rally if it confirms the wedge breakout. Immediate resistances are seen at $14.77 (0.618 Fib level) and $17.50, before the $22 target comes into play.
从结构的角度来看,链接如果确认楔形突破,则可以进行集会。在22美元的目标发挥作用之前,即时电阻的价格为14.77美元(0.618 FIB水平)和17.50美元。
Still, failure to break $13 convincingly could extend the current downtrend. A rejection from resistance risks pushing LINK back toward $10.20 support. That zone has acted as a price floor multiple times since November 2024.
尽管如此,如果不令人信服地打破13美元可能会扩大当前的下降趋势。电阻的拒绝风险将链接推回10美元的支持。自2024年11月以来,该区域已多次充当价格地板。
Chainlink’s current structure presents a classic breakout opportunity. The falling wedge pattern, rising volume, and oversold conditions add weight to the bullish scenario. But the $13 threshold remains a key battleground for short-term momentum.
Chainlink的当前结构提供了经典的突破机会。下降的楔形图案,数量上升和超售条件为看涨的情况增加了体重。但是13美元的门槛仍然是短期势头的关键战场。
Should LINK reclaim and hold above $13, bulls could eye a 74% upside move, with technical targets around $22. Until then, the market remains on watch for confirmation—or rejection.
应该链接回收并持有13美元以上,公牛可以注视着74%的上行移动,技术目标约为22美元。在此之前,市场仍在关注确认或拒绝。
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