Cardano（ADA）价格预测：代币会破坏上升趋势线达到0.85美元吗？

最近24小时对于加密货币行业来说至关重要，这是由于涉及14亿美元的加密黑客目标BYBIT。

The cryptocurrency industry has experienced a critical 24 hours following a massive $1.4 billion crypto hack targeting Bybit, which has impacted the overall cryptocurrency market. However, ADA, the native token of the Cardano blockchain, has remained relatively stable, holding above a crucial support level provided by an ascending trendline.

加密货币行业在大规模14亿美元的加密黑客攻击BYBIT之后经历了至关重要的24小时，这影响了整个加密货币市场。但是，卡迪诺区块链的本地令牌ADA保持相对稳定，保持着上升趋势线提供的至关重要的支撑水平。

During this period, the altcoin has registered a price drop of 4%, with ADA trading near $0.76 at press time. Despite the decline and negative sentiment, its trading volume has surged by 50% — a sign of heightened participation from traders and investors compared to the previous day.

在此期间，Altcoin的价格下跌了4％，ADA在发稿时的交易价格接近0.76美元。尽管下降和负面情绪，但与前一天相比，其交易量飙升了50％，这是交易者和投资者参与的迹象。

Thanks to the aforementioned price drop, ADA has fallen to the support level of an ascending trendline, which it has followed since the beginning of February 2025. Cardano’s four-hour chart reveals that this trendline has a strong history of triggering price reversals. For example, over the last 20 days alone, whenever the asset’s price reached the trendline, it consistently saw some upside momentum.

由于上述价格下跌，ADA已降至上升趋势线的支持水平，自2025年2月初以来，它一直遵循。卡卡诺（Cardano）的四小时图表表明，这种趋势线具有巨大的触发价格反转历史。例如，仅在过去的20天中，每当资产的价格达到趋势线时，它都会始终看到一些上行的动力。

Looking at the historical momentum, it is evident that traders and investors have shown strong interest in the token, with most of them expecting more upside for ADA on the charts. According to AMBCrypto’s technical analysis, Cardano is at a crucial level right now, currently in a make-or-break situation while forming an ascending triangle price action pattern. In addition to support from the ascending trendline, the asset has also gained horizontal support at the $0.745-level.

从历史势头看，很明显，交易者和投资者对代币表现出强烈的兴趣，其中大多数人期望ADA在图表上会有更多的上涨空间。根据Ambcrypto的技术分析，Cardano目前处于至关重要的水平，目前处于制造或破坏的情况下，同时形成了上升的三角价格行动模式。除了来自上升趋势线的支持外，资产还获得了0.745级的水平支持。

Worth noting, however, that given the uncertain market sentiment, it is difficult to know whether the price will rally or sink.

但是，值得注意的是，考虑到不确定的市场情绪，很难知道价格会集会还是下沉。

At the time of writing, the asset’s Average Directional Index (ADX) stood at 16 — indicating weak strength, which may be contributing to the altcoin’s slower price recovery. Additionally, the asset was still trading below the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour timeframe.

在撰写本文时，资产的平均方向指数（ADX）为16，表明强度较弱，这可能会导致山寨币的价格降低。此外，在四个小时的时间范围内，资产仍低于200级移动平均值（EMA）的交易。

Considering these factors, if ADA holds above the $0.745-level, there is a strong possibility it could surge by 10% to hit $0.85. Conversely, if it fails to maintain this level and closes a four-hour candle below $0.74, it could decline by 10% to $0.65 in the coming days.

考虑到这些因素，如果ADA持有高于$ 0.745级的级别，则可能会激增10％以达到0.85美元。相反，如果它无法维持此水平并关闭低于0.74美元的四小时蜡烛，那么在未来几天可能会下降10％至0.65美元。

A look at inflows and outflows

看流入和流出

In light of all these factors, investors and long-term holders appear to be in a state of confusion, especially since some are dumping while others are accumulating tokens, according to on-chain analytics firm Coinglass.

鉴于所有这些因素，投资者和长期持有人似乎处于混乱状态，尤其是因为有些人在倾倒，而另一些人则积累了代币。

In fact, data from spot inflows/outflows revealed that following the heist, exchanges saw inflows of $7.35 million in ADA tokens. However, as the asset remained stable, exchanges later saw an outflow of $6.50 million in ADA, indicating potential accumulation. Both inflows and outflows were recorded within a 12-hour timeframe after the Bybit hack.

实际上，来自现货流入/流出的数据表明，在抢劫之后，交易所在ADA代币中流入了735万美元。但是，由于资产保持稳定，交易所后来在ADA中看到了65亿美元的流出，表明潜在的积累。在Bybit Hack之后的12小时内记录了流入和流出。

Source: Coinglass

资料来源：小店

On the contrary, data from on-chain analytics firm IntoTheBlock revealed that ADA’s large transaction volume dropped by 8% — a sign of reduced whale participation amid market uncertainty.

相反，链分析公司Intotheblock的数据显示，ADA的大型交易量下降了8％，这是市场不确定性下鲸鱼参与的标志。

With on-chain metrics signaling mixed sentiment and ADA hovering around a critical support level, $0.74 remains the key price level to watch. A breakout or breakdown from this zone will hint at the token’s next major move.

随着链上指标的信号传播情绪混合，ADA徘徊在关键的支持水平上，$ 0.74仍然是关键价格水平。该区域的突破或分解将暗示令牌的下一个重大举措。