Cardano（ADA）價格預測：代幣會破壞上升趨勢線達到0.85美元嗎？

最近24小時對於加密貨幣行業來說至關重要，這是由於涉及14億美元的加密黑客目標BYBIT。

The cryptocurrency industry has experienced a critical 24 hours following a massive $1.4 billion crypto hack targeting Bybit, which has impacted the overall cryptocurrency market. However, ADA, the native token of the Cardano blockchain, has remained relatively stable, holding above a crucial support level provided by an ascending trendline.

加密貨幣行業在大規模14億美元的加密黑客攻擊BYBIT之後經歷了至關重要的24小時，這影響了整個加密貨幣市場。但是，卡迪諾區塊鏈的本地令牌ADA保持相對穩定，保持著上升趨勢線提供的至關重要的支撐水平。

During this period, the altcoin has registered a price drop of 4%, with ADA trading near $0.76 at press time. Despite the decline and negative sentiment, its trading volume has surged by 50% — a sign of heightened participation from traders and investors compared to the previous day.

在此期間，Altcoin的價格下跌了4％，ADA在發稿時的交易價格接近0.76美元。儘管下降和負面情緒，但與前一天相比，其交易量飆升了50％，這是交易者和投資者參與的跡象。

Thanks to the aforementioned price drop, ADA has fallen to the support level of an ascending trendline, which it has followed since the beginning of February 2025. Cardano’s four-hour chart reveals that this trendline has a strong history of triggering price reversals. For example, over the last 20 days alone, whenever the asset’s price reached the trendline, it consistently saw some upside momentum.

由於上述價格下跌，ADA已降至上升趨勢線的支持水平，自2025年2月初以來，它一直遵循。卡卡諾（Cardano）的四小時圖表表明，這種趨勢線具有巨大的觸發價格反轉歷史。例如，僅在過去的20天中，每當資產的價格達到趨勢線時，它都會始終看到一些上行的動力。

Looking at the historical momentum, it is evident that traders and investors have shown strong interest in the token, with most of them expecting more upside for ADA on the charts. According to AMBCrypto’s technical analysis, Cardano is at a crucial level right now, currently in a make-or-break situation while forming an ascending triangle price action pattern. In addition to support from the ascending trendline, the asset has also gained horizontal support at the $0.745-level.

從歷史勢頭看，很明顯，交易者和投資者對代幣表現出強烈的興趣，其中大多數人期望ADA在圖表上會有更多的上漲空間。根據Ambcrypto的技術分析，Cardano目前處於至關重要的水平，目前處於製造或破壞的情況下，同時形成了上升的三角價格行動模式。除了來自上升趨勢線的支持外，資產還獲得了0.745級的水平支持。

Worth noting, however, that given the uncertain market sentiment, it is difficult to know whether the price will rally or sink.

但是，值得注意的是，考慮到不確定的市場情緒，很難知道價格會集會還是下沉。

At the time of writing, the asset’s Average Directional Index (ADX) stood at 16 — indicating weak strength, which may be contributing to the altcoin’s slower price recovery. Additionally, the asset was still trading below the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour timeframe.

在撰寫本文時，資產的平均方向指數（ADX）為16，表明強度較弱，這可能會導致山寨幣的價格降低。此外，在四個小時的時間範圍內，資產仍低於200級移動平均值（EMA）的交易。

Considering these factors, if ADA holds above the $0.745-level, there is a strong possibility it could surge by 10% to hit $0.85. Conversely, if it fails to maintain this level and closes a four-hour candle below $0.74, it could decline by 10% to $0.65 in the coming days.

考慮到這些因素，如果ADA持有高於$ 0.745級的級別，則可能會激增10％以達到0.85美元。相反，如果它無法維持此水平並關閉低於0.74美元的四小時蠟燭，那麼在未來幾天可能會下降10％至0.65美元。

A look at inflows and outflows

看流入和流出

In light of all these factors, investors and long-term holders appear to be in a state of confusion, especially since some are dumping while others are accumulating tokens, according to on-chain analytics firm Coinglass.

鑑於所有這些因素，投資者和長期持有人似乎處於混亂狀態，尤其是因為有些人在傾倒，而另一些人則積累了代幣。

In fact, data from spot inflows/outflows revealed that following the heist, exchanges saw inflows of $7.35 million in ADA tokens. However, as the asset remained stable, exchanges later saw an outflow of $6.50 million in ADA, indicating potential accumulation. Both inflows and outflows were recorded within a 12-hour timeframe after the Bybit hack.

實際上，來自現貨流入/流出的數據表明，在搶劫之後，交易所在ADA代幣中流入了735萬美元。但是，由於資產保持穩定，交易所後來在ADA中看到了65億美元的流出，表明潛在的積累。在Bybit Hack之後的12小時內記錄了流入和流出。

Source: Coinglass

資料來源：小店

On the contrary, data from on-chain analytics firm IntoTheBlock revealed that ADA’s large transaction volume dropped by 8% — a sign of reduced whale participation amid market uncertainty.

相反，鏈分析公司Intotheblock的數據顯示，ADA的大型交易量下降了8％，這是市場不確定性下鯨魚參與的標誌。

With on-chain metrics signaling mixed sentiment and ADA hovering around a critical support level, $0.74 remains the key price level to watch. A breakout or breakdown from this zone will hint at the token’s next major move.

隨著鏈上指標的信號傳播情緒混合，ADA徘徊在關鍵的支持水平上，$ 0.74仍然是關鍵價格水平。該區域的突破或分解將暗示令牌的下一個重大舉措。