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随着监管机构批准更多美国现货比特币 [BTC] ETF 期权,市场评论纷纷涌入。 10月18日,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准该产品在NYSE(纽约证券交易所)和Cboe(芝加哥期权交易所)上市。
Market commentaries have piled in as the regulator approved more U.S. spot Bitcoin [BTC] ETF options.
随着监管机构批准更多美国现货比特币 [BTC] ETF 期权,市场评论纷纷涌入。
On the 18th of October, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) gave a go-ahead for the products on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchanges) and Cboe (Chicago Board Options Exchange).
10月18日,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准该产品在NYSE(纽约证券交易所)和Cboe(芝加哥期权交易所)上市。
NYSE American got the green light to offer options for Fidelity’s BTC fund, FBTC, and ARK 21Shares’ ARKB. Meanwhile, Cboe will trade Grayscale’s GBTC, mini BTC, and Bitwise’s BTIB.
纽约证券交易所美国公司获准为 Fidelity 的 BTC 基金、FBTC 和 ARK 21Shares 的 ARKB 提供期权。同时,Cboe 将交易 Grayscale 的 GBTC、mini BTC 和 Bitwise 的 BTIB。
This approval follows the recent clearance of BlackRock’s IBIT options.
此次批准是在最近批准贝莱德 IBIT 期权之后进行的。
So, what’s the potential impact on the BTC market and price?
那么,这对BTC市场和价格有哪些潜在影响呢?
Mixed views on U.S. BTC ETF options
对美国 BTC ETF 期权的看法不一
According to some analysts, this could set the pace for extra volatility and more liquidity in Bitcoin.
一些分析师认为,这可能会为比特币的额外波动和更多流动性奠定基础。
For context, options allow professional traders to speculate and employ risk management (hedging) strategies without owning the underlying BTC asset.
就背景而言,期权允许专业交易者在不拥有基础比特币资产的情况下进行投机和采用风险管理(对冲)策略。
Last month, after IBIT options approval, Anthony Pompiliano, a BTC investor, stated that it would reduce BTC volatility and limit its upside potential.
上个月,在 IBIT 期权获得批准后,BTC 投资者 Anthony Pompiliano 表示,这将减少 BTC 的波动性并限制其上涨潜力。
“The approval of options on Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF will bring more institutional adoption of the asset, which will lower volatility & limit the explosive upside of Bitcoin.”
“贝莱德比特币 ETF 期权的批准将带来更多机构对该资产的采用,这将降低波动性并限制比特币的爆炸性上涨。”
However, Bitwise’s Jeff Park viewed the approval as a net positive for BTC volatility, liquidity, and price. He countered what he felt was a flawed take on the U.S. BTC ETF options.
然而,Bitwise 的 Jeff Park 认为这一批准对 BTC 的波动性、流动性和价格来说是积极的。他反驳了他认为的美国 BTC ETF 期权的错误看法。
Park’s sentiment was shared by most analysts who shared their views with The Block.
大多数与 The Block 分享观点的分析师都认同 Park 的观点。
Ed Tolson, CEO of Kbit, stated,
Kbit 首席执行官 Ed Tolson 表示:
“Institutional market makers, who are expected to take the other side of these trades, will likely be short gamma. This means they may need to buy as the price rises and sell as it falls, potentially amplifying volatility.”
“机构做市商预计将成为这些交易的另一方,他们可能会做空伽玛。这意味着他们可能需要在价格上涨时买入,在价格下跌时卖出,这可能会加剧波动性。”
However, Michael Harvey, head of franchise trading at Galaxy Digital, projected a short-term spike in volatility, which could be reduced in the long run.
然而,Galaxy Digital 特许经营交易主管迈克尔·哈维 (Michael Harvey) 预计波动性短期内会飙升,但从长远来看,波动性可能会降低。
“We expect retail traders to outnumber institutions initially, which could elevate volatility. Over time, as institutions adopt yield-generation strategies, such as selling volatility, this could dampen the overall volatility we see today.”
“我们预计零售交易者的数量最初将超过机构,这可能会加剧波动性。随着时间的推移,随着机构采取收益生成策略,例如抛售波动性,这可能会抑制我们今天看到的整体波动性。”
Harvey’s outlook on volatility mirrored Pompiliano’s projection.
哈维对波动性的展望反映了庞皮里亚诺的预测。
In conclusion, analysts were confident that the approval would inject more liquidity into BTC markets.
总之,分析师相信该批准将为比特币市场注入更多流动性。
However, there were mixed takes on volatility and price impact in the short and long term.
然而,对于短期和长期的波动性和价格影响,人们的看法不一。
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