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隨著監管機構批准更多美國現貨比特幣 [BTC] ETF 選擇權,市場評論紛紛湧入。 10月18日,美國證券交易委員會(SEC)批准該產品在NYSE(NYSE)和Cboe(芝加哥選擇權交易所)上市。
Market commentaries have piled in as the regulator approved more U.S. spot Bitcoin [BTC] ETF options.
隨著監管機構批准更多美國現貨比特幣 [BTC] ETF 選擇權,市場評論紛紛湧入。
On the 18th of October, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) gave a go-ahead for the products on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchanges) and Cboe (Chicago Board Options Exchange).
10月18日,美國證券交易委員會(SEC)批准該產品在NYSE(NYSE)和Cboe(芝加哥選擇權交易所)上市。
NYSE American got the green light to offer options for Fidelity’s BTC fund, FBTC, and ARK 21Shares’ ARKB. Meanwhile, Cboe will trade Grayscale’s GBTC, mini BTC, and Bitwise’s BTIB.
紐約證券交易所美國公司獲準為 Fidelity 的 BTC 基金、FBTC 和 ARK 21Shares 的 ARKB 提供選擇權。同時,Cboe 將交易 Grayscale 的 GBTC、mini BTC 和 Bitwise 的 BTIB。
This approval follows the recent clearance of BlackRock’s IBIT options.
此次批准是在最近批准貝萊德 IBIT 期權之後進行的。
So, what’s the potential impact on the BTC market and price?
那麼,這對BTC市場和價格有哪些潛在影響呢?
Mixed views on U.S. BTC ETF options
對美國 BTC ETF 選擇權的看法不一
According to some analysts, this could set the pace for extra volatility and more liquidity in Bitcoin.
一些分析師認為,這可能會為比特幣的額外波動和更多流動性奠定基礎。
For context, options allow professional traders to speculate and employ risk management (hedging) strategies without owning the underlying BTC asset.
就背景而言,選擇權允許專業交易者在不擁有基礎比特幣資產的情況下進行投機和採用風險管理(對沖)策略。
Last month, after IBIT options approval, Anthony Pompiliano, a BTC investor, stated that it would reduce BTC volatility and limit its upside potential.
上個月,在 IBIT 選擇權獲得批准後,BTC 投資者 Anthony Pompiliano 表示,這將減少 BTC 的波動性並限制其上漲潛力。
“The approval of options on Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF will bring more institutional adoption of the asset, which will lower volatility & limit the explosive upside of Bitcoin.”
“貝萊德比特幣 ETF 選擇權的批准將帶來更多機構對該資產的採用,這將降低波動性並限制比特幣的爆炸性上漲。”
However, Bitwise’s Jeff Park viewed the approval as a net positive for BTC volatility, liquidity, and price. He countered what he felt was a flawed take on the U.S. BTC ETF options.
然而,Bitwise 的 Jeff Park 認為這項批准對 BTC 的波動性、流動性和價格來說是積極的。他反駁了他認為的美國 BTC ETF 選擇權的錯誤看法。
Park’s sentiment was shared by most analysts who shared their views with The Block.
大多數與 The Block 分享觀點的分析師都認同 Park 的觀點。
Ed Tolson, CEO of Kbit, stated,
Kbit 執行長 Ed Tolson 表示:
“Institutional market makers, who are expected to take the other side of these trades, will likely be short gamma. This means they may need to buy as the price rises and sell as it falls, potentially amplifying volatility.”
「機構做市商預計將成為這些交易的另一方,他們可能會做空伽瑪。這意味著他們可能需要在價格上漲時買入,在價格下跌時賣出,這可能會加劇波動性。
However, Michael Harvey, head of franchise trading at Galaxy Digital, projected a short-term spike in volatility, which could be reduced in the long run.
然而,Galaxy Digital 特許經營交易主管 Michael Harvey 預計波動性短期內會飆升,但從長遠來看,波動性可能會降低。
“We expect retail traders to outnumber institutions initially, which could elevate volatility. Over time, as institutions adopt yield-generation strategies, such as selling volatility, this could dampen the overall volatility we see today.”
「我們預計零售交易者的數量最初將超過機構,這可能會加劇波動性。隨著時間的推移,隨著機構採取收益產生策略,例如拋售波動性,這可能會抑制我們今天看到的整體波動性。
Harvey’s outlook on volatility mirrored Pompiliano’s projection.
哈維對波動性的展望反映了龐皮里亞諾的預測。
In conclusion, analysts were confident that the approval would inject more liquidity into BTC markets.
總之,分析師相信該批准將為比特幣市場注入更多流動性。
However, there were mixed takes on volatility and price impact in the short and long term.
然而,對於短期和長期的波動性和價格影響,人們的看法不一。
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