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九月对于金砖国家联盟来说又是一个多事之月。最近扩大了成员国阵容,目前包括埃及、伊朗、沙特阿拉伯、埃塞俄比亚和阿拉伯联合酋长国,据说该区块正在考虑另外 30 个国家的申请。
September has been an eventful month for the BRICS alliance, with the addition of Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Ethiopia and the United Arab Emirates to the lineup of member countries. It is also said to be considering applications from a further 30 states and exploring a potential ‘partner country’ model to allow non-members to collaborate without officially joining.
九月对于金砖国家联盟来说是多事之秋,埃及、伊朗、沙特阿拉伯、埃塞俄比亚和阿拉伯联合酋长国加入了成员国行列。据称,该组织还正在考虑另外 30 个州的申请,并探索潜在的“伙伴国”模式,以允许非成员在不正式加入的情况下进行合作。
On September 24-25, the BRICS Energy Cooperation Summit took place in Moscow, where members discussed energy cooperation and development, including greater efficiency and digital transformation.
9月24日至25日,金砖国家能源合作峰会在莫斯科举行,成员国讨论了能源合作与发展,包括提高效率和数字化转型。
Yet, despite all of this, all eyes are on the BRICS Summit 2024, which will take place in Kazan, October, and is set to reveal details about the future shape of the bloc and a potential gold-backed ‘BRICS Unit’ stablecoin.
然而,尽管如此,所有人的目光都集中在将于 10 月在喀山举行的 2024 年金砖国家峰会上,峰会将揭示有关该集团未来形态和潜在的黄金支持的“金砖国家单位”稳定币的细节。
Is the gold-backed BRICS currency real?
黄金支持的金砖国家货币是真的吗?
While the gold-backed BRICS currency is still speculative, the idea comes from official statements and hints by members.
虽然黄金支持的金砖国家货币仍然具有投机性,但这一想法来自官方声明和成员国的暗示。
For example, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov has spoken openly about the potential to use a gold-backed stablecoin to challenge U.S. dollar dominance.
例如,俄罗斯外交部副部长谢尔盖·里亚布科夫(Sergei Ryabkov)公开谈论了使用黄金支持的稳定币挑战美元主导地位的潜力。
Moreover, moves by the Russian state, such as regulating stablecoins and offering excess energy to digital currency miners, hint that it is beginning to understand the technology’s potential use cases. Russia is also seeking alternatives after being excluded from SWIFT and becoming the world’s most sanctioned country.
此外,俄罗斯政府的举措,例如监管稳定币和向数字货币矿工提供过剩能源,表明它开始了解该技术的潜在用例。俄罗斯在被排除在 SWIFT 之外并成为世界上受制裁最严重的国家后,也在寻求替代方案。
So, while there has been no official announcement yet, there have been hints from some BRICS big-wigs. The upcoming summit in Kazan is expected to shed light on the matter.
因此,虽然目前还没有正式宣布,但金砖国家的一些大佬已经给出了暗示。即将举行的喀山峰会预计将阐明这一问题。
Could BRICS rival the United States?
金砖国家能否与美国抗衡?
The U.S. dollar remains the world’s reserve currency, and no serious competitors exist. A total of 88% of global FX trades involve USD, it makes up 60% of all foreign currency reserves, and at least 80% of all global oil trade is conducted in it.
美元仍然是世界储备货币,不存在严重的竞争对手。全球88%的外汇交易涉及美元,占所有外汇储备的60%,全球石油贸易的至少80%是用美元进行的。
However, there is a clear trend toward de-dollarization among BRICS nations. For example, 60% of foreign currency reserves held in USD is down from 70% just a decade ago. That’s thanks in no small part to the U.S.-China trade war and the freezing of $300 billion of Russia’s reserves after it invaded Ukraine.
然而,金砖国家去美元化趋势明显。例如,以美元持有的外汇储备比例从十年前的 70% 下降到了 60%。这在很大程度上要归功于中美贸易战以及俄罗斯在入侵乌克兰后冻结了3000亿美元的外汇储备。
Clearly, the world is splitting into multiple spheres again, and many credible economists speculate that the era of globalization is changing. This will undoubtedly accelerate de-dollarization in the China-Russia-led sphere. Still, being so entrenched, and given that the United States and European Union alone make up close to 45% of global GDP, it’s unlikely that the USD will face any immediate threat from BRICS or its gold-backed currency.
显然,世界再次分裂成多个领域,许多可信的经济学家推测全球化时代正在发生变化。这无疑将加速中俄主导领域的去美元化进程。尽管如此,鉴于美国和欧盟的地位如此根深蒂固,且仅美国和欧盟就占全球 GDP 的近 45%,美元不太可能面临来自金砖国家或其黄金支持货币的任何直接威胁。
That said, the Dutch Gilder and British Pound were dominant currencies in previous eras, and they all eventually fell out of favor. Expect de-dollarization to continue in BRICS nations in the long term. After the summit in October, CoinGeek will be back with more details on the BRICS unit.
尽管如此,荷兰吉尔德和英镑在之前的时代都是主导货币,但它们最终都失宠了。预计金砖国家的去美元化进程将长期持续下去。十月峰会结束后,CoinGeek 将带来有关金砖国家部门的更多细节。
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