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九月對金磚國家聯盟來說又是一個多事之月。最近擴大了成員國陣容,目前包括埃及、伊朗、沙烏地阿拉伯、衣索比亞和阿拉伯聯合大公國,據說該區塊正在考慮另外 30 個國家的申請。
September has been an eventful month for the BRICS alliance, with the addition of Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Ethiopia and the United Arab Emirates to the lineup of member countries. It is also said to be considering applications from a further 30 states and exploring a potential ‘partner country’ model to allow non-members to collaborate without officially joining.
九月對金磚國家聯盟來說是多事之秋,埃及、伊朗、沙烏地阿拉伯、衣索比亞和阿拉伯聯合大公國加入了成員國行列。據稱,該組織還正在考慮另外 30 個州的申請,並探索潛在的「夥伴國」模式,以允許非成員在不正式加入的情況下進行合作。
On September 24-25, the BRICS Energy Cooperation Summit took place in Moscow, where members discussed energy cooperation and development, including greater efficiency and digital transformation.
9月24日至25日,金磚國家能源合作高峰會在莫斯科舉行,成員國討論了能源合作與發展,包括提高效率和數位轉型。
Yet, despite all of this, all eyes are on the BRICS Summit 2024, which will take place in Kazan, October, and is set to reveal details about the future shape of the bloc and a potential gold-backed ‘BRICS Unit’ stablecoin.
然而,儘管如此,所有人的目光都集中在將於10 月在喀山舉行的2024 年金磚國家峰會上,峰會將揭示有關該集團未來形態和潛在的黃金支持的「金磚國家單位」穩定幣的細節。
Is the gold-backed BRICS currency real?
黃金支持的金磚國家貨幣是真的嗎?
While the gold-backed BRICS currency is still speculative, the idea comes from official statements and hints by members.
雖然黃金支持的金磚國家貨幣仍然具有投機性,但這個想法來自官方聲明和成員國的暗示。
For example, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov has spoken openly about the potential to use a gold-backed stablecoin to challenge U.S. dollar dominance.
例如,俄羅斯外交部副部長謝爾蓋·裡亞布科夫(Sergei Ryabkov)公開談論了使用黃金支持的穩定幣挑戰美元主導地位的潛力。
Moreover, moves by the Russian state, such as regulating stablecoins and offering excess energy to digital currency miners, hint that it is beginning to understand the technology’s potential use cases. Russia is also seeking alternatives after being excluded from SWIFT and becoming the world’s most sanctioned country.
此外,俄羅斯政府的舉措,例如監管穩定幣和向數位貨幣礦工提供過剩能源,表明它開始了解該技術的潛在用例。俄羅斯在被排除在 SWIFT 之外並成為世界上受制裁最嚴重的國家後,也在尋求替代方案。
So, while there has been no official announcement yet, there have been hints from some BRICS big-wigs. The upcoming summit in Kazan is expected to shed light on the matter.
因此,雖然目前還沒有正式宣布,但金磚國家的一些大佬已經給出了暗示。即將舉行的喀山峰會預計將闡明這個問題。
Could BRICS rival the United States?
金磚國家能否與美國抗衡?
The U.S. dollar remains the world’s reserve currency, and no serious competitors exist. A total of 88% of global FX trades involve USD, it makes up 60% of all foreign currency reserves, and at least 80% of all global oil trade is conducted in it.
美元仍然是世界儲備貨幣,不存在嚴重的競爭對手。全球88%的外匯交易涉及美元,佔所有外匯存底的60%,全球石油貿易的至少80%是用美元進行的。
However, there is a clear trend toward de-dollarization among BRICS nations. For example, 60% of foreign currency reserves held in USD is down from 70% just a decade ago. That’s thanks in no small part to the U.S.-China trade war and the freezing of $300 billion of Russia’s reserves after it invaded Ukraine.
然而,金磚國家去美元化趨勢明顯。例如,以美元持有的外匯儲備比例從十年前的 70% 下降到了 60%。這在很大程度上要歸功於中美貿易戰以及俄羅斯在入侵烏克蘭後凍結了3,000億美元的外匯存底。
Clearly, the world is splitting into multiple spheres again, and many credible economists speculate that the era of globalization is changing. This will undoubtedly accelerate de-dollarization in the China-Russia-led sphere. Still, being so entrenched, and given that the United States and European Union alone make up close to 45% of global GDP, it’s unlikely that the USD will face any immediate threat from BRICS or its gold-backed currency.
顯然,世界再次分裂成多個領域,許多可信的經濟學家推測全球化時代正在改變。這無疑將加速中俄主導領域的去美元化。儘管如此,鑑於美國和歐盟的地位如此根深蒂固,且僅美國和歐盟就佔全球 GDP 的近 45%,美元不太可能面臨來自金磚國家或其黃金支持貨幣的任何直接威脅。
That said, the Dutch Gilder and British Pound were dominant currencies in previous eras, and they all eventually fell out of favor. Expect de-dollarization to continue in BRICS nations in the long term. After the summit in October, CoinGeek will be back with more details on the BRICS unit.
儘管如此,荷蘭吉爾德和英鎊在先前的時代都是主導貨幣,但它們最終都失寵了。預計金磚國家的去美元化將長期持續下去。 10 月峰會結束後,CoinGeek 將帶來有關金磚國家部門的更多細節。
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