BitMEX 创始人阿瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 宣称，在唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 的选举胜利导致比特币最初飙升之后，比特币将持续上涨

海耶斯指出，这种早期的提振反映了加密货币用户对特朗普对该行业支持的乐观态度。不过，他认为美国宏观经济政策将在维持牛市方面发挥更大作用。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes has predicted a sustained Bitcoin rally despite the initial surge being attributed to Donald Trump’s election victory.

BitMEX 创始人 Arthur Hayes 预测比特币将持续上涨，尽管最初的上涨归因于唐纳德·特朗普的选举胜利。

Hayes pointed out that the early boost in crypto prices is largely due to crypto users’ optimism about Trump’s stance on the crypto industry. However, he believes that U.S. macroeconomic policies will play a bigger role in continuing the bull run.

海耶斯指出，加密货币价格的早期上涨很大程度上是由于加密货币用户对特朗普对加密货币行业立场的乐观态度。不过，他认为美国宏观经济政策将在持续牛市中发挥更大作用。

Appearing on a Youtube podcast, Hayes stated that the crypto market’s bullish trend is not dependent on the presidency. Instead, a key factor that can push crypto prices higher is the monetary decision requiring the U.S. government to print more money starting 2025.

海耶斯在 Youtube 播客上表示，加密货币市场的看涨趋势并不取决于总统任期。相反，推动加密货币价格走高的一个关键因素是要求美国政府从 2025 年开始印更多钞票的货币决策。

Elaborating on his position, Hayes said that the government will print trillions of dollars to cater to the defense industry and the healthcare of many Americans. So, even if Kamala Harris had won the election ahead of Trump, the government would still print money, which will positively impact the crypto market.

海耶斯在阐述自己的立场时表示，政府将印制数万亿美元，以满足国防工业和许多美国人的医疗保健需求。因此，即使卡马拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）领先于特朗普赢得选举，政府仍会印钞，这将对加密货币市场产生积极影响。

Bitcoin Leads 2024 Rally as Altcoin Listings Lag Behind

比特币引领 2024 年涨势，山寨币上市滞后

Hayes observed that Bitcoin is leading the current rally, with Solana being one of the few altcoins to have had the same positive gains. The BitMEX founder believes this is due to the type of projects listed in this cycle. According to him, VCs fund most projects, putting pressure on them to list on centralized exchanges at a high FDV with a low circulating supply.

海耶斯观察到，比特币正在引领当前的涨势，而 Solana 是少数几个获得同样积极收益的山寨币之一。 BitMEX 创始人认为这是由于本周期列出的项目类型所致。据他介绍，风险投资公司为大多数项目提供资金，这给它们带来了压力，要求它们以高FDV、低流通量在集中交易所上市。

This makes the listed tokens expensive and hard for retail investors to make gains from them. Hayes pointed out that most of the tokens listed in 2024 were down by 40% and above, making them unattractive for the retail investor and leading to the common belief that the bull run has not started.

这使得上市代币价格昂贵，散户投资者很难从中获利。 Hayes 指出，2024 年上市的大多数代币都下跌了 40% 及以上，这使得它们对散户投资者没有吸引力，并导致人们普遍认为牛市尚未开始。

Meanwhile, Hayes predicts that this trend will continue, with only Bitcoin and a few top altcoins performing well in the upcoming bull run. He believes upcoming founders can reverse the situation by lowering their assets’ prices and not giving so many tokens to the crypto exchanges.

与此同时，海耶斯预测这种趋势将持续下去，只有比特币和一些顶级山寨币在即将到来的牛市中表现良好。他相信即将到来的创始人可以通过降低资产价格而不是向加密货币交易所提供如此多的代币来扭转这种情况。

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