BitMEX 創辦人 Arthur Hayes 宣稱，在唐納德川普 (Donald Trump) 的選舉勝利導致比特幣最初飆升之後，比特幣將持續上漲

海耶斯指出，這種早期的提振反映了加密貨幣用戶對川普對該行業支持的樂觀態度。不過，他認為美國宏觀經濟政策將在維持多頭市場方面發揮更大作用。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes has predicted a sustained Bitcoin rally despite the initial surge being attributed to Donald Trump’s election victory.

BitMEX 創辦人 Arthur Hayes 預測比特幣將持續上漲，儘管最初的上漲歸因於唐納德·川普的選舉勝利。

Hayes pointed out that the early boost in crypto prices is largely due to crypto users’ optimism about Trump’s stance on the crypto industry. However, he believes that U.S. macroeconomic policies will play a bigger role in continuing the bull run.

海耶斯指出，加密貨幣價格的早期上漲很大程度上是由於加密貨幣用戶對川普對加密貨幣產業立場的樂觀態度。不過，他認為美國宏觀經濟政策將在持續多頭市場中發揮更大作用。

Appearing on a Youtube podcast, Hayes stated that the crypto market’s bullish trend is not dependent on the presidency. Instead, a key factor that can push crypto prices higher is the monetary decision requiring the U.S. government to print more money starting 2025.

海耶斯在 Youtube 播客上表示，加密貨幣市場的看漲趨勢並不取決於總統任期。相反，推動加密貨幣價格走高的關鍵因素是要求美國政府從 2025 年開始印更多鈔票的貨幣決策。

Elaborating on his position, Hayes said that the government will print trillions of dollars to cater to the defense industry and the healthcare of many Americans. So, even if Kamala Harris had won the election ahead of Trump, the government would still print money, which will positively impact the crypto market.

海耶斯在闡述自己的立場時表示，政府將印製數兆美元，以滿足國防工業和許多美國人的醫療保健需求。因此，即使卡馬拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）領先川普贏得選舉，政府仍會印鈔，這將對加密貨幣市場產生正面影響。

Bitcoin Leads 2024 Rally as Altcoin Listings Lag Behind

比特幣引領 2024 年漲勢，山寨幣上市落後

Hayes observed that Bitcoin is leading the current rally, with Solana being one of the few altcoins to have had the same positive gains. The BitMEX founder believes this is due to the type of projects listed in this cycle. According to him, VCs fund most projects, putting pressure on them to list on centralized exchanges at a high FDV with a low circulating supply.

海耶斯觀察到，比特幣正在引領當前的漲勢，而 Solana 是少數幾個獲得同樣積極收益的山寨幣之一。 BitMEX 創辦人認為這是由於本週期列出的專案類型。據他介紹，創投公司為大多數專案提供資金，這給它們帶來了壓力，要求它們以高FDV、低流通量在集中交易所上市。

This makes the listed tokens expensive and hard for retail investors to make gains from them. Hayes pointed out that most of the tokens listed in 2024 were down by 40% and above, making them unattractive for the retail investor and leading to the common belief that the bull run has not started.

這使得上市代幣價格昂貴，散戶很難從中獲利。 Hayes 指出，2024 年上市的大多數代幣都下跌了 40% 及以上，這使得它們對散戶投資者沒有吸引力，並導致人們普遍認為多頭市場尚未開始。

Meanwhile, Hayes predicts that this trend will continue, with only Bitcoin and a few top altcoins performing well in the upcoming bull run. He believes upcoming founders can reverse the situation by lowering their assets’ prices and not giving so many tokens to the crypto exchanges.

同時，海耶斯預測這種趨勢將持續下去，只有比特幣和一些頂級山寨幣在即將到來的牛市中表現良好。他相信即將到來的創始人可以透過降低資產價格而不是向加密貨幣交易所提供如此多的代幣來扭轉這種情況。

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