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加密货币市场充斥着比特币 [BTC] 可能在第四季度末创下历史新高的猜测。在过去一周上涨超过 10% 并突破 6.6 万美元阻力位后,乐观情绪高涨。
Cryptocurrency enthusiasts are abuzz with speculation that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach a new all-time high (ATH) by the end of Q4. This speculation is fueled by BTC's rally of over 10% in the past week, which saw it finally breach the $66K resistance level.
加密货币爱好者热衷于猜测比特币 (BTC) 可能会在第四季度末达到新的历史高点 (ATH)。 BTC 在过去一周上涨超过 10%,最终突破了 6.6 万美元的阻力位,加剧了这种猜测。
However, there are concerns that the growing influence of perpetual traders could add to the volatility.
然而,有人担心永续交易者日益增长的影响力可能会加剧波动性。
In a surprising twist, AMBCrypto's analysis has uncovered a hidden pattern that may make Bitcoin more resilient to sudden price swings caused by short-sellers betting against its price.
令人惊讶的是,AMBCrypto 的分析发现了一种隐藏的模式,这种模式可能使比特币对卖空者做空其价格而引起的突然价格波动更具弹性。
Bitcoin whales are accumulating massive amounts of BTC. According to CryptoQuant data, new Bitcoin whale wallets now hold around 2 million BTC, valued at $132 billion. Each of these wallets contains over 1K BTC, with an average age of less than 155 days. This reflects a staggering 813% increase year-to-date.
比特币鲸鱼正在积累大量比特币。根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,新的比特币鲸鱼钱包目前持有约 200 万比特币,价值 1320 亿美元。每个钱包都包含超过 1K BTC,平均年龄不到 155 天。这反映了今年迄今为止 813% 的惊人增长。
This accumulation, which excludes miners and exchange wallets, indicates significant institutional buying through self-custodial services. It suggests that more individual wallets are evolving into Bitcoin whales, a trend that becomes particularly relevant as BTC approaches a key psychological level.
这种积累(不包括矿工和交易所钱包)表明机构通过自我托管服务进行了大量购买。这表明越来越多的个人钱包正在演变为比特币鲸鱼,随着比特币接近关键的心理水平,这一趋势变得尤为重要。
The aggressive buying by Bitcoin whales may be indicating that they perceive the current price as a potential market bottom. This accumulation could also help neutralize the pressure from the derivatives market, where short positions are often seen to outnumber long positions, acting as a major resistance against Bitcoin peaks.
比特币鲸鱼的积极购买可能表明他们认为当前价格是潜在的市场底部。这种积累还可能有助于抵消衍生品市场的压力,衍生品市场的空头头寸数量通常超过多头头寸,成为比特币见顶的主要阻力。
Considering this, does the evidence support the possibility of BTC reaching its ATH by the end of this cycle, or does it indicate an overheating market?
考虑到这一点,证据是否支持 BTC 在本周期结束时达到 ATH 的可能性,还是表明市场过热?
STHs are buying the dip
某物正在逢低买入
In addition to the activity of Bitcoin whales, there has been a notable increase in demand for BTC from short-term holders (STHs) over the past 18 days. This uptick is highlighted by the rising metric.
除了比特币鲸鱼的活动之外,过去 18 天短期持有者 (STH) 对 BTC 的需求也显着增加。不断上升的指标凸显了这种上升趋势。
This development is significant because STHs are typically known to sell off their holdings as BTC reaches a market top, creating resistance as they cash out on gains.
这一进展意义重大,因为众所周知,当 BTC 达到市场顶部时,STH 通常会抛售其持有的资产,从而在兑现收益时产生阻力。
However, the current increase in demand from both STHs and Bitcoin whales suggests that they may be viewing the current price as a dip, positioning themselves for potential 10x returns.
然而,目前 STH 和比特币鲸鱼的需求增加表明,他们可能将当前价格视为下跌,为潜在的 10 倍回报做好准备。
As we approach the end of this cycle, market indicators are suggesting that BTC may be poised for a parabolic run, which could culminate in a new ATH before the cycle concludes.
随着本周期接近尾声,市场指标表明 BTC 可能会出现抛物线运行,并可能在本周期结束前达到新的 ATH。
This analysis is bolstered by the historically high numbers of Bitcoin whales, who may help to weather the storm unleashed by speculative traders. Overall, this trend reflects the growing maturity of the market, where investors are moving away from viewing Bitcoin as a purely speculative asset.
这一分析得到了历史上最高数量的比特币鲸鱼的支持,这些鲸鱼可能有助于抵御投机交易者引发的风暴。总体而言,这一趋势反映了市场的日益成熟,投资者不再将比特币视为纯粹的投机资产。
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