比特币鲸鱼因预期牛市而积累比特币

目前，Gate.io 上比特币的交易价格为 60,984 BTC/USDT，过去 24 小时内价格上涨了 0.2%。

Bitcoin whales are accumulating the coin in anticipation of a bull run.

比特币鲸鱼正在囤积比特币，以期待牛市的到来。

At this point, bitcoin is trading at $60,984 BTC/USDT on Gate.io after its price increased by 0.2% within the past 24 hours. As per the weekly price chart, bitcoin has initiated an uptrend as the next graph shows.

目前，Gate.io 上比特币的交易价格为 60,984 BTC/USDT，过去 24 小时内价格上涨了 0.2%。根据每周价格图表，比特币已启动上升趋势，如下图所示。

However, the shortening of the last three bullish candlesticks (green) shows that the uptrend is weak. As a result, the downswing may continue. If the drawdown persists, bitcoin whales may accumulate more coins. Data from CryptoQuant, which Axel Adler Jr posted on X indicates that whales accumulated 1.5 million bitcoin within the last six months.

然而，最后三个看涨烛台（绿色）的缩短表明上升趋势较弱。因此，下行趋势可能会持续。如果回撤持续下去，比特币鲸鱼可能会积累更多的比特币。 Axel Adler Jr 在 X 上发布的 CryptoQuant 数据表明，鲸鱼在过去六个月内积累了 150 万比特币。

While the large whales have been acquiring much bitcoin, the smaller whales have been selling their coins. That has resulted in short-term price falls. In addition, other BTC investors also disposed of their coins. Unfortunately, most of these investors sold at a loss.

虽然大型鲸鱼一直在获取大量比特币，但较小的鲸鱼却一直在出售他们的比特币。这导致了短期价格下跌。此外，其他比特币投资者也抛售了自己的比特币。不幸的是，这些投资者大多数都亏本出售。

As the graph shows there are many crypto investors who sold bitcoin at a loss this month. Usually, the STH holders, who are crypto investors that hold the assets for a period of up to 155 days, normally buy or sell crypto assets on impulse. As a result of their reactionary buying and selling behavior the value of the asset tends to fall further if there are slight decreases in its price.

如图所示，本月有许多加密货币投资者亏本出售比特币。通常，STH 持有者是持有资产最长 155 天的加密货币投资者，通常会冲动地买卖加密资产。由于他们的反动买卖行为，如果资产价格略有下跌，资产的价值往往会进一步下跌。

Another crypto analyst, Darkfost, explained that the amount of bitcoin that was accumulated when its price was between $54,000 and $68,000 is significant. He wrote, “Bitcoin whales are showing significant activity in the $54K to $68K range. New whales are entering the game and accumulating strongly, while existing whales are also increasing their positions.”

另一位加密货币分析师 Darkfost 解释说，当比特币价格在 54,000 美元至 68,000 美元之间时，积累的比特币数量非常可观。他写道：“比特币鲸鱼在 5.4 万美元到 6.8 万美元的范围内表现出显着的活动。新的鲸鱼正在进入游戏并强劲积累，而现有的鲸鱼也在增加其地位。”

He added, “Overall, we’re seeing all whales accumulating in this price zone. Their growing balances suggest that a potential upward move could be on the horizon, either in the mid-term or long-term.” No doubt, the continued accumulation by whales may help to push its price up.

他补充道：“总的来说，我们看到所有鲸鱼都在这个价格区域积累。它们不断增长的余额表明，无论是中期还是长期，潜在的上升趋势都可能出现。”毫无疑问，鲸鱼的持续积累可能有助于推高其价格。

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis

比特币（BTC）市场分析

As we have noted, the bitcoin price is fluctuating around $60,980. Previously, it gained much support at $60,222. However, if it manages to break out above $60,984 it may rise towards $61,000. On the other hand, an increase in the selling pressure may force its price to fall below $60,672. The sustained bearish pressure may see its price reaching $60,222.

正如我们所指出的，比特币价格在 60,980 美元左右波动。此前，它在 60,222 美元处获得了很大的支撑。然而，如果其成功突破 60,984 美元，则可能上涨至 61,000 美元。另一方面，抛售压力的增加可能会迫使其价格跌破 60,672 美元。持续的看跌压力可能会导致其价格达到 60,222 美元。

In terms of technical analysis, the Bollinger Bands shows that bitcoin has very low volatility at the moment. Similarly, its Average Directional Index (ADX) has a reading of 29 indicating that its volatility may not sustain a strong price surge. One of the most comprehensive and reliable indicators, the Ichimoku cloud is showing strong bearish pressure as well.

从技术分析来看，布林线显示比特币目前的波动性非常低。同样，其平均方向指数 (ADX) 的读数为 29，表明其波动性可能无法维持强劲的价格飙升。作为最全面、最可靠的指标之一，一目均衡图也显示出强大的看跌压力。

As you note on the graph, the future Ichimoku is orange showing a bearish outlook. Also, the fact that its price is below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) shows that its value may stall at that dynamic resistance level. Notably, the price is also below the cloud, confirming the bearish momentum.

正如您在图表上注意到的，未来一目图是橙色的，显示看跌前景。此外，其价格低于 200 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 的事实表明，其价值可能会停滞在该动态阻力位。值得注意的是，价格也低于云层，证实了看跌势头。

Finally, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has flipped below the 50 mark. That confirms that its price may fall further. Based on the current bitcoin market trend, some analysts have suggested that its price may drop towards $53,000.

最后，比特币的相对强弱指数（RSI）已跌破 50 大关。这证实了其价格可能会进一步下跌。根据目前比特币市场走势，有分析师暗示其价格可能会跌向53,000美元。

Overview of the Entire Crypto Market

整个加密货币市场概述

Currently, there is mixed performance among the leading crypto assets. ETH is within a range bound market and showing very low volatility. Its price is currently below the 10-day and 20-day EMAs. On the other hand, its ADX has a reading of 22.01, showing very low volatility. Based on the downward sloping orange Ichimoku cloud it may take time for the ETH price to rise.

目前，领先的加密资产表现参差不齐。 ETH 处于区间波动市场，波动性非常低。目前其价格低于 10 日和 20 日均线。另一方面，其 ADX 读数为 22.01，显示波动性非常低。根据向下倾斜的橙色一目图云，ETH 价格可能需要一段时间才能上涨。

The subdued crypto prices have come after the recently announced United States inflation figures. In fact, inflation rose more than expected which might have dampened investor confidence. For instance, the core consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.3% leading to a 3-month annualized inflation rate of 3.1%. As a result of this development, some market analysts have anticipated the Federal Reserves to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on their next meeting.

在最近公布的美国通胀数据之后，加密货币价格出现低迷。事实上，通胀上升幅度超出预期，这可能削弱了投资者的信心。例如，核心消费者价格指数（CPI）上涨0.3%，导致3个月年化通胀率为3.1%。由于这一事态发展，一些市场分析师预计美联储将在下次会议上降息 25 个基点。

The other fact that has affected the demand and prices of crypto assets is the on-going Middle East crisis. The geo-political tension has resulted in a rise in demand for low risk assets. As a result, the demand for riskier-assets like cryptocurrencies have decreased in recent days. Such a development has weighed down on the values of leading cryptocurrencies like XRP, ETH, Solana and

影响加密资产需求和价格的另一个事实是持续不断的中东危机。地缘政治紧张局势导致对低风险资产的需求增加。因此，最近几天对加密货币等风险较高资产的需求有所下降。这种发展已经打压了 XRP、ETH、Solana 等领先加密货币的价值。