彼得·希夫警告说，比特币正处于隐形熊市

著名的比特币批评者彼得·希夫 (Peter Schiff) 断言，与黄金相比，比特币正处于“隐形熊市”。尽管近期大肆炒作，但以黄金计算，比特币仍低于其历史高点，并且自峰值以来已下跌超过 27%。坚定的黄金倡导者希夫认为，比特币的购买力已大幅下降，这一事实在市场喧嚣中经常被忽视。

Bitcoin's Stealth Bear Market: Peter Schiff's Scathing Critique

比特币的隐形熊市：彼得·希夫的严厉批评

April 18, 2024 - New York, USA

2024 年 4 月 18 日 - 美国纽约

Renowned economist and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has reignited his crusade against the world's foremost cryptocurrency, declaring that it has stealthily entered a bear market. Schiff's assertion, made just days before the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving, has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community.

著名经济学家和比特币评论家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）重新点燃了对世界上最重要的加密货币的讨伐，宣称它已经悄然进入熊市。希夫的断言是在备受期待的比特币减半前几天做出的，在加密货币社区引起了震动。

"Bitcoin is trading below 27 ounces of gold," Schiff tweeted, "and it's now down over 27% since hitting its record-high of 37 ounces of gold 2.5 years ago." He further emphasized that "given all the hype about Bitcoin and lack of coverage of gold, few likely realize Bitcoin is in a stealth bear market when priced in real money."

Schiff 在推特上表示：“比特币的交易价格低于 27 盎司黄金，自 2.5 年前触及 37 盎司黄金的历史高点以来，目前已下跌超过 27%。”他进一步强调，“鉴于对比特币的所有炒作以及缺乏对黄金的报道，很少有人意识到比特币以真实货币定价时正处于隐形熊市。”

For Schiff, "real money" refers to the purchasing power of a currency or asset. On his podcast, he elaborated on his bearish stance, stating that "the price of Bitcoin is down to about 18.6 ounces of gold—the high was 27 two and a half years ago—so we're getting deeper into bear market territory."

对于希夫来说，“真实货币”是指货币或资产的购买力。在他的播客中，他详细阐述了自己的看跌立场，表示“比特币的价格已跌至约 18.6 盎司黄金——两年半前的高点为 27 盎司——因此我们正在深入熊市领域。”

Schiff's skepticism towards Bitcoin is a well-known stance, and his latest critique echoes his previous predictions. In August 2019, he boldly declared that "Bitcoin will never hit $50K." While the price of BTC did subsequently plunge below $7,000 and $4,000, it has since soared to over $60,000, proving Schiff wrong.

希夫对比特币的怀疑是众所周知的立场，他最新的批评与他之前的预测相呼应。 2019 年 8 月，他大胆宣称“比特币永远不会达到 5 万美元”。虽然比特币的价格随后跌破 7,000 美元和 4,000 美元，但此后飙升至 60,000 美元以上，证明希夫是错误的。

Despite his previous misjudgments, Schiff remains undeterred in his criticism of Bitcoin. He has repeatedly engaged in public debates with proponents of the cryptocurrency, arguing that gold is a superior investment. Schiff's unwavering advocacy for gold has earned him a large following among skeptics of Bitcoin.

尽管希夫之前曾做出过错误判断，但他对比特币的批评仍然没有被吓倒。他多次与加密货币的支持者进行公开辩论，认为黄金是一种优越的投资。希夫对黄金坚定不移的拥护为他在比特币怀疑论者中赢得了一大批追随者。

In 2020, Bitcoin supporters flooded Schiff's digital wallet with BTC, a gesture intended to prove him wrong. However, Schiff later claimed to have lost the wallet, further fueling the animosity between him and the Bitcoin community.

2020 年，比特币支持者向 Schiff 的数字钱包里塞满了 BTC，此举旨在证明他是错的。然而，希夫后来声称丢失了钱包，进一步加剧了他与比特币社区之间的敌意。

Schiff has also dismissed the upcoming Bitcoin halving as a potential catalyst for a significant price increase. "None of these Bitcoiners want to acknowledge this," he said, "despite all the hype, ETFs, this big rally, Bitcoin never made a new high in real money... and it may not."

希夫还否认即将到来的比特币减半是价格大幅上涨的潜在催化剂。 “这些比特币支持者都不想承认这一点，”他说，“尽管有所有的炒作、ETF、这次大涨，但比特币从未创下真实货币的新高……而且可能不会。”

The halving, a programmed event that occurs every four years, reduces the block reward for miners by half. Historically, the halving has been followed by a significant surge in the price of Bitcoin. However, Schiff believes that this time will be different, as the market is already in a downtrend.

减半是每四年发生一次的计划事件，它将矿工的区块奖励减少一半。从历史上看，减半之后比特币价格大幅上涨。然而，希夫认为这一次会有所不同，因为市场已经处于下跌趋势。

Schiff's bearish outlook contrasts with the optimism of many crypto market watchers and institutional investors. The price of Bitcoin has remained above $60,000 since February, and many believe that the halving will provide further impetus for growth.

希夫的悲观前景与许多加密货币市场观察人士和机构投资者的乐观情绪形成鲜明对比。自2月份以来，比特币价格一直保持在6万美元以上，许多人认为减半将为增长提供进一步动力。

Whether Schiff's predictions will come to fruition remains to be seen. However, his unwavering skepticism towards Bitcoin has sparked a heated debate within the cryptocurrency community, highlighting the ongoing division between proponents and detractors of digital assets.

希夫的预测是否会实现还有待观察。然而，他对比特币坚定不移的怀疑引发了加密货币社区内的激烈争论，凸显了数字资产支持者和反对者之间持续存在的分歧。