彼得希夫警告說，比特幣正處於隱形熊市

著名的比特幣批評者彼得希夫 (Peter Schiff) 斷言，與黃金相比，比特幣正處於「隱形熊市」。儘管近期大肆炒作，但以黃金計算，比特幣仍低於其歷史高點，並且自高峰以來已下跌超過 27%。堅定的黃金倡導者希夫認為，比特幣的購買力已大幅下降，這一事實在市場喧囂中經常被忽視。

Bitcoin's Stealth Bear Market: Peter Schiff's Scathing Critique

比特幣的隱形熊市：彼得希夫的嚴厲批評

April 18, 2024 - New York, USA

2024 年 4 月 18 日 - 美國紐約

Renowned economist and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has reignited his crusade against the world's foremost cryptocurrency, declaring that it has stealthily entered a bear market. Schiff's assertion, made just days before the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving, has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community.

著名經濟學家、比特幣評論家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）重新點燃了對世界上最重要的加密貨幣的討伐，宣稱它已經悄悄進入熊市。希夫的斷言是在備受期待的比特幣減半前幾天做出的，在加密貨幣社群中引起了震動。

"Bitcoin is trading below 27 ounces of gold," Schiff tweeted, "and it's now down over 27% since hitting its record-high of 37 ounces of gold 2.5 years ago." He further emphasized that "given all the hype about Bitcoin and lack of coverage of gold, few likely realize Bitcoin is in a stealth bear market when priced in real money."

Schiff 在推特上表示：“比特幣的交易價格低於 27 盎司黃金，自 2.5 年前觸及 37 盎司黃金的歷史高點以來，目前已下跌超過 27%。”他進一步強調，“鑑於對比特幣的所有炒作以及缺乏對黃金的報道，很少有人意識到比特幣以真實貨幣定價時正處於隱形熊市。”

For Schiff, "real money" refers to the purchasing power of a currency or asset. On his podcast, he elaborated on his bearish stance, stating that "the price of Bitcoin is down to about 18.6 ounces of gold—the high was 27 two and a half years ago—so we're getting deeper into bear market territory."

對希夫來說，「真實貨幣」是指貨幣或資產的購買力。在他的播客中，他詳細闡述了自己的看跌立場，表示“比特幣的價格已跌至約 18.6 盎司黃金——兩年半前的高點為 27 盎司——因此我們正在深入熊市領域。”

Schiff's skepticism towards Bitcoin is a well-known stance, and his latest critique echoes his previous predictions. In August 2019, he boldly declared that "Bitcoin will never hit $50K." While the price of BTC did subsequently plunge below $7,000 and $4,000, it has since soared to over $60,000, proving Schiff wrong.

希夫對比特幣的懷疑是眾所周知的立場，他最新的批評與他先前的預測相呼應。 2019 年 8 月，他大膽宣稱「比特幣永遠不會達到 5 萬美元」。雖然比特幣的價格隨後跌破 7,000 美元和 4,000 美元，但此後飆升至 60,000 美元以上，證明希夫是錯的。

Despite his previous misjudgments, Schiff remains undeterred in his criticism of Bitcoin. He has repeatedly engaged in public debates with proponents of the cryptocurrency, arguing that gold is a superior investment. Schiff's unwavering advocacy for gold has earned him a large following among skeptics of Bitcoin.

儘管希夫之前曾做出錯誤判斷，但他對比特幣的批評仍然沒有被嚇倒。他多次與加密貨幣的支持者進行公開辯論，認為黃金是優越的投資。希夫對黃金堅定不移的支持為他在比特幣懷疑論者中贏得了一大批追隨者。

In 2020, Bitcoin supporters flooded Schiff's digital wallet with BTC, a gesture intended to prove him wrong. However, Schiff later claimed to have lost the wallet, further fueling the animosity between him and the Bitcoin community.

2020 年，比特幣支持者向 Schiff 的數位錢包裡塞滿了 BTC，此舉旨在證明他是錯的。然而，希夫後來聲稱失去了錢包，進一步加劇了他與比特幣社群之間的敵意。

Schiff has also dismissed the upcoming Bitcoin halving as a potential catalyst for a significant price increase. "None of these Bitcoiners want to acknowledge this," he said, "despite all the hype, ETFs, this big rally, Bitcoin never made a new high in real money... and it may not."

希夫也否認即將到來的比特幣減半是價格大幅上漲的潛在催化劑。 “這些比特幣支持者都不想承認這一點，”他說，“儘管有所有的炒作、ETF、這次大漲，但比特幣從未創下真實貨幣的新高……而且可能不會。”

The halving, a programmed event that occurs every four years, reduces the block reward for miners by half. Historically, the halving has been followed by a significant surge in the price of Bitcoin. However, Schiff believes that this time will be different, as the market is already in a downtrend.

減半是每四年發生一次的計畫事件，它將礦工的區塊獎勵減少一半。從歷史上看，減半之後比特幣價格大幅上漲。然而，希夫認為這次會有所不同，因為市場已經處於下跌趨勢。

Schiff's bearish outlook contrasts with the optimism of many crypto market watchers and institutional investors. The price of Bitcoin has remained above $60,000 since February, and many believe that the halving will provide further impetus for growth.

希夫的悲觀前景與許多加密貨幣市場觀察家和機構投資者的樂觀情緒形成鮮明對比。自2月以來，比特幣價格一直保持在6萬美元以上，許多人認為減半將為成長提供進一步動力。

Whether Schiff's predictions will come to fruition remains to be seen. However, his unwavering skepticism towards Bitcoin has sparked a heated debate within the cryptocurrency community, highlighting the ongoing division between proponents and detractors of digital assets.

希夫的預測是否會實現還有待觀察。然而，他對比特幣堅定不移的懷疑引發了加密貨幣社群內的激烈爭論，凸顯了數位資產支持者和反對者之間持續存在的分歧。