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尽管近期比特币的即期汇率有所下降,但行业专家 Willy Woo 预测,到 2035 年,其价值将大幅飙升。Woo 认为,全球采用率上升、监管认可及其固有的稀缺性等因素将有助于比特币达到“公允价值” 100万美元。主要机构参与者的涌入以及现货比特币ETF在美国和其他国家的批准为未来的增长奠定了坚实的基础。
Bitcoin Analysts Predict a Meteoric Rise to $1 Million by 2035 Amidst Market Volatility
比特币分析师预测,在市场波动的情况下,到 2035 年比特币价格将飙升至 100 万美元
In the tumultuous crypto market, where Bitcoin's price has experienced a recent downturn, one eminent crypto analyst remains resolute in their bullish outlook. Defying the prevailing pessimism, analyst Willy Woo boldly prophesies a staggering surge in Bitcoin's value, predicting it may reach a "fair value" of $1 million by 2035.
在动荡的加密货币市场中,比特币的价格最近经历了低迷,一位著名的加密货币分析师仍然坚定地看好他们的前景。分析师 Willy Woo 不顾普遍存在的悲观情绪,大胆预言比特币的价值将大幅飙升,并预测到 2035 年其“公允价值”可能达到 100 万美元。
While the post-Halving dip is a well-known phenomenon in the crypto realm, and some Bitcoin holders may be experiencing anxiety, Woo remains unruffled. His optimism stems from a confluence of factors, including rising global adoption, regulatory endorsements, and Bitcoin's inherent characteristics as a scarce and digital asset.
虽然减半后的下跌是加密货币领域众所周知的现象,并且一些比特币持有者可能会感到焦虑,但 Woo 仍然泰然自若。他的乐观情绪源于多种因素,包括全球采用率的上升、监管机构的认可以及比特币作为稀缺数字资产的固有特征。
Institutional Adoption and Regulatory Tailwinds
机构采用和监管顺风
Unlike many altcoins, Bitcoin has garnered significant support from regulatory bodies such as the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which classify it as a commodity akin to gold. This regulatory recognition has played a pivotal role in attracting institutional investors, who have been flocking to Bitcoin in recent times.
与许多山寨币不同,比特币获得了美国证券交易委员会(SEC)和商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)等监管机构的大力支持,这些机构将其归类为类似于黄金的商品。这种监管认可在吸引机构投资者方面发挥了关键作用,机构投资者近年来纷纷涌向比特币。
The long-awaited approval of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in January 2022 marked a watershed moment for Bitcoin's institutional acceptance. This approval followed similar actions by regulatory authorities in Canada and Brazil.
2022 年 1 月,期待已久的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 获得批准,标志着比特币被机构接受的分水岭时刻。在此批准之前,加拿大和巴西监管机构也采取了类似行动。
Spot ETFs Fueling Demand
现货ETF刺激需求
The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs has facilitated a surge in institutional inflows. Although these inflows have slowed with the recent price decline, analysts anticipate a resurgence as Bitcoin's scarcity intensifies. As of May 1, 2022, spot Bitcoin ETF issuers held over 828,000 BTC, underscoring the growing institutional appetite for this digital asset.
现货比特币ETF的推出促进了机构资金流入的激增。尽管随着近期价格下跌,资金流入有所放缓,但分析师预计,随着比特币稀缺性的加剧,资金流入将会复苏。截至 2022 年 5 月 1 日,现货比特币 ETF 发行人持有超过 828,000 BTC,突显机构对这种数字资产的兴趣不断增长。
Bitcoin's Unique Characteristics Driving Adoption
比特币的独特特征推动了采用
Woo emphasizes that Bitcoin's unique attributes, such as its scarcity and digital nature, have been instrumental in attracting users and driving up its price. Unlike fiat currencies, whose supply can be expanded indefinitely, Bitcoin's total supply is capped at 21 million. As of May 2024, over 19.5 million BTC had been mined, with the network's issuance supply being halved approximately every four years through a process known as the Halving. This halving mechanism further reduces the supply, enhancing Bitcoin's deflationary characteristics.
Woo 强调,比特币的独特属性,例如其稀缺性和数字性,在吸引用户和推高其价格方面发挥了重要作用。与法定货币的供应量可以无限扩大不同,比特币的总供应量上限为 2100 万枚。截至 2024 年 5 月,已有超过 1950 万枚 BTC 被开采,网络的发行量大约每四年通过一个称为“减半”的过程减半。这种减半机制进一步减少了供应量,增强了比特币的通缩特性。
Store of Value and Medium of Exchange
价值储存和交换媒介
Bitcoin's inherent scarcity and inflation-resistant nature have made it an attractive store of value, while its convenience and ease of transaction have positioned it as a viable medium of exchange. These characteristics have resonated with both individual investors and institutions, driving the upward trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
比特币固有的稀缺性和抗通胀特性使其成为一种有吸引力的价值储存手段,而其便利性和交易的便捷性使其成为一种可行的交换媒介。这些特征引起了个人投资者和机构的共鸣,推动了比特币价格的上涨轨迹。
Correlation Between Adoption and Price
采用率与价格之间的相关性
Historical data reveals a strong correlation between user adoption, as measured by the number of addresses, and Bitcoin's price. This suggests that as Bitcoin's user base expands, its price tends to rise accordingly.
历史数据显示,以地址数量衡量的用户采用率与比特币价格之间存在很强的相关性。这表明,随着比特币用户群的扩大,其价格往往会相应上涨。
Conclusion
结论
Despite the recent market volatility, Willy Woo's prediction of a $1 million "fair value" for Bitcoin by 2035 is rooted in a comprehensive analysis of both market trends and Bitcoin's fundamental characteristics. Regulatory acceptance, institutional investment, and Bitcoin's scarcity and utility are potent forces that are likely to continue driving its value upwards in the years to come.
尽管近期市场波动较大,Willy Woo 对 2035 年比特币“公允价值”将达到 100 万美元的预测植根于对市场趋势和比特币基本特征的全面分析。监管接受度、机构投资以及比特币的稀缺性和实用性是未来几年可能继续推动其价值上涨的强大力量。
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