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儘管近期比特幣的即期匯率有所下降,但產業專家Willy Woo 預測,到2035 年,其價值將大幅飆升。於比特幣達到「公允價值」 100萬美元。主要機構參與者的湧入以及現貨比特幣ETF在美國和其他國家的批准為未來的成長奠定了堅實的基礎。
Bitcoin Analysts Predict a Meteoric Rise to $1 Million by 2035 Amidst Market Volatility
比特幣分析師預測,在市場波動的情況下,到 2035 年比特幣價格將飆升至 100 萬美元
In the tumultuous crypto market, where Bitcoin's price has experienced a recent downturn, one eminent crypto analyst remains resolute in their bullish outlook. Defying the prevailing pessimism, analyst Willy Woo boldly prophesies a staggering surge in Bitcoin's value, predicting it may reach a "fair value" of $1 million by 2035.
在動盪的加密貨幣市場中,比特幣的價格最近經歷了低迷,一位著名的加密貨幣分析師仍然堅定地看好他們的前景。分析師 Willy Woo 不顧普遍存在的悲觀情緒,大膽預言比特幣的價值將大幅飆升,並預測到 2035 年其「公允價值」可能達到 100 萬美元。
While the post-Halving dip is a well-known phenomenon in the crypto realm, and some Bitcoin holders may be experiencing anxiety, Woo remains unruffled. His optimism stems from a confluence of factors, including rising global adoption, regulatory endorsements, and Bitcoin's inherent characteristics as a scarce and digital asset.
雖然減半後的下跌是加密貨幣領域眾所周知的現象,一些比特幣持有者可能會感到焦慮,但 Woo 仍然泰然自若。他的樂觀情緒源自於多種因素,包括全球採用率的上升、監管機構的認可以及比特幣作為稀缺數位資產的固有特徵。
Institutional Adoption and Regulatory Tailwinds
機構採用和監管順風
Unlike many altcoins, Bitcoin has garnered significant support from regulatory bodies such as the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which classify it as a commodity akin to gold. This regulatory recognition has played a pivotal role in attracting institutional investors, who have been flocking to Bitcoin in recent times.
與許多山寨幣不同,比特幣獲得了美國證券交易委員會(SEC)和商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)等監管機構的大力支持,這些機構將其歸類為類似於黃金的商品。這種監管認可在吸引機構投資者方面發揮了關鍵作用,機構投資者近年來紛紛湧向比特幣。
The long-awaited approval of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in January 2022 marked a watershed moment for Bitcoin's institutional acceptance. This approval followed similar actions by regulatory authorities in Canada and Brazil.
2022 年 1 月,期待已久的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 獲得批准,標誌著比特幣被機構接受的分水嶺時刻。在此批准之前,加拿大和巴西監管機構也採取了類似行動。
Spot ETFs Fueling Demand
現貨ETF刺激需求
The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs has facilitated a surge in institutional inflows. Although these inflows have slowed with the recent price decline, analysts anticipate a resurgence as Bitcoin's scarcity intensifies. As of May 1, 2022, spot Bitcoin ETF issuers held over 828,000 BTC, underscoring the growing institutional appetite for this digital asset.
現貨比特幣ETF的推出促進了機構資金流入的激增。儘管隨著近期價格下跌,資金流入有所放緩,但分析師預計,隨著比特幣稀缺性的加劇,資金流入將會復甦。截至 2022 年 5 月 1 日,現貨比特幣 ETF 發行人持有超過 828,000 BTC,突顯機構對這種數位資產的興趣不斷增長。
Bitcoin's Unique Characteristics Driving Adoption
比特幣的獨特特徵推動了採用
Woo emphasizes that Bitcoin's unique attributes, such as its scarcity and digital nature, have been instrumental in attracting users and driving up its price. Unlike fiat currencies, whose supply can be expanded indefinitely, Bitcoin's total supply is capped at 21 million. As of May 2024, over 19.5 million BTC had been mined, with the network's issuance supply being halved approximately every four years through a process known as the Halving. This halving mechanism further reduces the supply, enhancing Bitcoin's deflationary characteristics.
Woo 強調,比特幣的獨特屬性,例如其稀缺性和數位性,在吸引用戶和推高其價格方面發揮了重要作用。與法定貨幣的供應量可以無限擴大不同,比特幣的總供應量上限為 2,100 萬枚。截至 2024 年 5 月,已有超過 1,950 萬枚 BTC 被開採,網路的發行量大約每四年透過一個稱為「減半」的過程減半。這種減半機制進一步減少了供應量,增強了比特幣的通縮特性。
Store of Value and Medium of Exchange
價值儲存和交換媒介
Bitcoin's inherent scarcity and inflation-resistant nature have made it an attractive store of value, while its convenience and ease of transaction have positioned it as a viable medium of exchange. These characteristics have resonated with both individual investors and institutions, driving the upward trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
比特幣固有的稀缺性和抗通膨特性使其成為一種有吸引力的價值儲存手段,而其便利性和交易的便利性使其成為一種可行的交換媒介。這些特徵引起了個人投資者和機構的共鳴,推動了比特幣價格的上漲軌跡。
Correlation Between Adoption and Price
採用率與價格之間的相關性
Historical data reveals a strong correlation between user adoption, as measured by the number of addresses, and Bitcoin's price. This suggests that as Bitcoin's user base expands, its price tends to rise accordingly.
歷史數據顯示,以地址數量衡量的用戶採用率與比特幣價格之間有強烈的相關性。這表明,隨著比特幣用戶群的擴大,其價格往往會相應上漲。
Conclusion
結論
Despite the recent market volatility, Willy Woo's prediction of a $1 million "fair value" for Bitcoin by 2035 is rooted in a comprehensive analysis of both market trends and Bitcoin's fundamental characteristics. Regulatory acceptance, institutional investment, and Bitcoin's scarcity and utility are potent forces that are likely to continue driving its value upwards in the years to come.
儘管近期市場波動較大,Willy Woo 對 2035 年比特幣「公允價值」將達到 100 萬美元的預測植根於對市場趨勢和比特幣基本特徵的全面分析。監管接受度、機構投資以及比特幣的稀缺性和實用性是未來幾年可能繼續推動其價值上漲的強大力量。
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