比特币设定在黄金集会之后爆炸：BTC可能会打破历史最高点

HELA成长负责人乔·科斯蒂（Joe Consorti）表示，比特币可能会进行大规模的集会，但只有在黄金继续向上攀登时。

Bitcoin could be set for a price explosion—but only if gold continues its upward rally, according to Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at Theya.

他们可以将比特币设定为价格爆炸，但只有黄金继续向上集会，据他们说，据他们的增长负责人乔·科斯蒂（Joe Consorti）称。

The long-standing correlation between the two assets is drawing fresh attention as both Bitcoin and gold emerge as investor favorites amid a worsening macroeconomic outlook.

这两个资产之间的长期相关性引起了新的关注，因为比特币和黄金成为宏观经济前景恶化的投资者最爱。

“When the printer roars to life, gold sniffs it out first, then Bitcoin follows harder,” Consorti explained, adding that BTC usually lags behind gold’s price action by about 100 to 150 days.

Constori解释说：“当打印机咆哮着生命时，黄金首先将其嗅出，然后比特币更坚硬。”他补充说，BTC通常落后于Gold的价格动作约100至150天。

This “lag effect” has played out in previous cycles, where gold rallies first on inflation and fiat debasement fears—only for Bitcoin to surge after, breaking through previous all-time highs.

这种“滞后效应”在以前的周期中发挥了作用，金黄色首先集会了通货膨胀和菲亚特贬值的恐惧，只能在比特币之后迅速激增，突破了以前的历史高潮。

With gold already hitting new highs in 2024, some analysts believe Bitcoin’s turn could come in Q3 or Q4 of 2025, especially if macroeconomic conditions worsen and investor demand for US dollar alternatives spikes.

由于黄金在2024年已经达到了新的高点，一些分析师认为比特币轮到2025年第三季度或第四季度，特别是如果宏观经济状况恶化并且投资者对美元替代品的需求越来越大。

Consorti’s thesis adds to growing sentiment that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like digital gold, serving as a hedge against monetary expansion and geopolitical risk.

Consorti的论文增加了越来越多的情绪，即比特币越来越像数字黄金一样，是对货币扩张和地缘政治风险的对冲。

“If we look at the historical correlation between Bitcoin and gold, we can see that there is a clear lagging trend, with Bitcoin’s price movements following gold’s with a delay of around 3-5 months,” one trader noted on X, sharing charts that highlight the lagging pattern.

一位交易员在X上指出，“如果我们看一下比特币和黄金之间的历史相关性，我们可以看到有明显的滞后趋势，比特币的价格变动延迟了3-5个月，” X上指出，共享图表，突出了滞后模式。

As inflation worries simmer and central banks face increasing pressure to stimulate economies, both gold and Bitcoin could once again come into the limelight as preferred assets—with BTC potentially spearheading the next leg of the crypto bull market.

随着通货膨胀的担忧和中央银行面临刺激经济体的压力越来越大，黄金和比特币都可能再次成为首选资产的众人瞩目的焦点，而BTC可能会带领加密牛市的下一个领域。

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