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HELA成長負責人喬·科斯蒂(Joe Consorti)表示,比特幣可能會進行大規模的集會,但只有在黃金繼續向上攀登時。
Bitcoin could be set for a price explosion—but only if gold continues its upward rally, according to Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at Theya.
他們可以將比特幣設定為價格爆炸,但只有黃金繼續向上集會,據他們說,據他們的增長負責人喬·科斯蒂(Joe Consorti)稱。
The long-standing correlation between the two assets is drawing fresh attention as both Bitcoin and gold emerge as investor favorites amid a worsening macroeconomic outlook.
這兩個資產之間的長期相關性引起了新的關注,因為比特幣和黃金成為宏觀經濟前景惡化的投資者最愛。
“When the printer roars to life, gold sniffs it out first, then Bitcoin follows harder,” Consorti explained, adding that BTC usually lags behind gold’s price action by about 100 to 150 days.
Constori解釋說:“當打印機咆哮著生命時,黃金首先將其嗅出,然後比特幣更堅硬。”他補充說,BTC通常落後於Gold的價格動作約100至150天。
This “lag effect” has played out in previous cycles, where gold rallies first on inflation and fiat debasement fears—only for Bitcoin to surge after, breaking through previous all-time highs.
這種“滯後效應”在以前的周期中發揮了作用,金黃色首先集會了通貨膨脹和菲亞特貶值的恐懼,只能在比特幣之後迅速激增,突破了以前的歷史高潮。
With gold already hitting new highs in 2024, some analysts believe Bitcoin’s turn could come in Q3 or Q4 of 2025, especially if macroeconomic conditions worsen and investor demand for US dollar alternatives spikes.
由於黃金在2024年已經達到了新的高點,一些分析師認為比特幣輪到2025年第三季度或第四季度,特別是如果宏觀經濟狀況惡化並且投資者對美元替代品的需求越來越大。
Consorti’s thesis adds to growing sentiment that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like digital gold, serving as a hedge against monetary expansion and geopolitical risk.
Consorti的論文增加了越來越多的情緒,即比特幣越來越像數字黃金一樣,是對貨幣擴張和地緣政治風險的對沖。
“If we look at the historical correlation between Bitcoin and gold, we can see that there is a clear lagging trend, with Bitcoin’s price movements following gold’s with a delay of around 3-5 months,” one trader noted on X, sharing charts that highlight the lagging pattern.
一位交易員在X上指出,“如果我們看一下比特幣和黃金之間的歷史相關性,我們可以看到有明顯的滯後趨勢,比特幣的價格變動延遲了3-5個月,” X上指出,共享圖表,突出了滯後模式。
As inflation worries simmer and central banks face increasing pressure to stimulate economies, both gold and Bitcoin could once again come into the limelight as preferred assets—with BTC potentially spearheading the next leg of the crypto bull market.
隨著通貨膨脹的擔憂和中央銀行面臨刺激經濟體的壓力越來越大,黃金和比特幣都可能再次成為首選資產的眾人矚目的焦點,而BTC可能會帶領加密牛市的下一個領域。
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