比特币可能在选举日重回历史新高

英国跨国银行渣打银行的分析师仍然看好比特币（BTC），尽管这种首次出现的加密货币仍徘徊在心理水平以下。

Standard Chartered analysts are bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) despite the coin trading below the key psychological level of $70,000. They now predict BTC could hit $125,000 before the year ends if the Republican Party wins the U.S. Congress in the presidential elections next month.

尽管比特币交易价格低于 70,000 美元的关键心理水平，但渣打银行分析师仍看好比特币。他们现在预测，如果共和党在下个月的总统选举中赢得美国国会，比特币可能会在年底前达到 125,000 美元。

Bitcoin Could Hit All-Time High Again On Election Day

比特币可能在选举日再次创下历史新高

In a recent report, Standard Chartered’s Global Head of Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick predicted that Bitcoin could hit highs of around $73,000 by November 5, the day the next president of the United States is picked.

在最近的一份报告中，渣打银行数字资产研究全球主管 Geoff Kendrick 预测，到 11 月 5 日，即下一任美国总统当选的当天，比特币可能会达到 73,000 美元左右的高位。

If former president Donald Trump is reelected, Kendrick argued that the price of the premier crypto will increase by around 4% after the result is announced, based on an analysis of BTC derivatives and trading volume indicators. The crypto will then rally another 10% in the following days.

肯德里克认为，如果前总统唐纳德·特朗普连任，根据对 BTC 衍生品和交易量指标的分析，结果公布后，顶级加密货币的价格将上涨 4% 左右。加密货币将在接下来的几天内再上涨 10%。

“Our base case is that Bitcoin rises to around USD 73,000 by Election Day, catching up to betting-market probabilities of a Trump win; this is slightly below the USD 73,800 all-time high recorded in March.”

“我们的基本情况是，到选举日，比特币将升至 73,000 美元左右，赶上特朗普获胜的博彩市场概率；这略低于 3 月份创下的 73,800 美元的历史高点。”

However, if Vice President Kamala Harris emerges victorious, Kendrick believes Bitcoin will likely sell off initially but will end the year trading at all-time highs of around $75,000.

然而，如果副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）获胜，肯德里克认为比特币最初可能会遭到抛售，但年底交易价格将达到 75,000 美元左右的历史高点。

“Bitcoin prices have been driven higher in recent weeks, coinciding with other trades popular among Trump supporters,” he postulated. Polymarket now shows Trump with a 59% chance of winning and a 75% conditional probability of a Republican sweep if Trump wins.

他推测：“最近几周，比特币价格一直走高，与特朗普支持者流行的其他交易同时发生。” Polymarket 现在显示特朗普获胜的可能性为 59%，如果特朗普获胜，共和党横扫共和党的条件概率为 75%。

Trump has presented himself as a crypto supporter, despite past negative comments on the industry, while opponent Kamala Harris has only just started to reveal policy plans toward digital assets.

尽管过去对该行业发表了负面评论，但特朗普仍将自己视为加密货币的支持者，而对手卡马拉·哈里斯才刚刚开始透露针对数字资产的政策计划。

Kendrick is not the only industry spectator who has shown confidence in Trump. Bitwise’s head of Alpha Strategies, Jeff Park, recently forecasted BTC’s potential moonshot to as high as $92,000 if Trump retakes the White House.

肯德里克并不是唯一对特朗普表现出信心的行业旁观者。 Bitwise 的 Alpha Strategies 负责人 Jeff Park 最近预测，如果特朗普重新入主白宫，BTC 的潜在登月价格将高达 92,000 美元。

However, other industry pundits like Larry Fink, the CEO of the world’s largest asset manager, believe BTC will thrive over the long term, irrespective of who wins the impending presidential election.

然而，全球最大资产管理公司首席执行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)等其他行业专家认为，无论谁赢得即将到来的总统选举，比特币都将长期蓬勃发展。

Bitcoin is currently trading at $67,425, reflecting a +1.3% change on the day.

比特币目前交易价格为 67,425 美元，当天涨幅为 +1.3%。