当雷·达利奥（Ray Dalio）警告即将来临的全球经济危机时，比特币仍然不受欢迎

随着金融市场的影响力，比特币正悄悄地站在地面上。亿万富翁投资者雷·达利奥（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC采访时说，世界可能不是

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning, saying in a recent interview with CNBC that the world may not be heading strictly for a recession but rather for a global economic crisis.

亿万富翁投资者雷·达利奥（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC的采访时说，世界可能不会严格前往经济衰退，而是面临全球经济危机。

As financial markets brace for impact, Bitcoin (BTC) is quietly standing its ground. In a recent interview with CNBC, billionaire investor Ray Dalio issued a stark warning, saying that the world may not be heading strictly for a recession but rather for a global economic crisis.

随着金融市场的影响力，比特币（BTC）悄悄地站起来。亿万富翁投资者雷·达利奥（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC采访时发出了警告，称世界可能并不是严格前往经济衰退，而是面临全球经济危机。

As financial markets brace for impact, Bitcoin (BTC) is quietly standing its ground. In a recent interview with CNBC, billionaire investor Ray Dalio issued a stark warning, saying that the world may not be heading strictly for a recession but rather for a global economic crisis – a basic breakdown of our economic and political systems.

随着金融市场的影响力，比特币（BTC）悄悄地站起来。亿万富翁投资者雷·达利奥（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC采访时发出了警告，称世界可能并不是严格前往经济衰退的前进，而是面临全球经济危机，这是我们经济和政治体系的基本细分。

With US debt growing and trust in the global monetary structure fading, Dalio characterized the current context as comparable to past historic junctures, such as the end of the gold standard in 1971 and the 2008 financial crisis. In the midst of all of this, the BTC price is increasing, breaking free from a heavy three-month downtrend and moving slowly toward $85,000.

随着美国对全球货币结构衰落的债务增长和信任，达利奥（Dalio）将当前环境的特征与过去的历史连接相媲美，例如1971年的黄金标准终结和2008年的金融危机。在这一切中，BTC的价格正在上涨，摆脱了三个月的沉重下降趋势，并缓慢向85,000美元转移。

One of Dalio’s top concerns is the rapidly expanding U.S. deficit. He says lawmakers need to bring it down to 3% of GDP before the imbalance between debt supply and investor demand sparks serious trouble. According to Dalio, these stress points could trigger a global economic crisis. Bond markets are showing signs of distress already, with a 10-year yield around 4.5% and a 30-year yield around 5%. The new tariff confusion and weakening U.S. dollar, which just dipped below 100 on the DXY, certainly give investors no shortage of reasons to be worried.

达利奥（Dalio）最关心的问题之一是迅速扩大的美国赤字。他说，立法者需要将其降低到GDP的3％，然后债务供应与投资者的需求不平衡会引发严重麻烦。根据达利奥（Dalio）的说法，这些压力点可能会引发全球经济危机。债券市场已经显示出困扰的迹象，收益率约为4.5％，收益率约为5％。新的关税混乱和削弱了美元的削弱，在DXY上略低于100，当然，投资者不乏担心的理由。

As traditional markets wobble, Bitcoin appears to be gaining strength. The rising BTC price suggests some investors are eyeing it as a possible safe haven amid the growing risk of a global economic crisis. Its recent breakout might be more than just technical, it could reflect growing trust in Bitcoin’s role during financial uncertainty. As Dalio warns of deeper systemic risks, Bitcoin’s performance becomes even more interesting. Let’s now take a closer look at the latest BTC price action and what the charts are signaling.

随着传统市场的摆动，比特币似乎正在增强力量。 BTC价格上涨表明，在全球经济危机的日益增长的风险中，一些投资者将其视为可能的避风港。它最近的突破可能不仅是技术，还可以反映出对比特币在财务不确定性中的作用的信任日益增加。正如达利奥（Dalio）警告着更深的系统性风险时，比特币的性能变得更加有趣。现在，让我们仔细研究一下最新的BTC价格动作以及图表的信号。

The BTC price mostly moved sideways throughout the April 14th session, with action on the 5-minute chart staying bounded between $83,000 support and $85,000 resistance. Early signs showed a descending channel, with the price briefly testing the lower range before bouncing back into an ascending channel, highlighting a market in tug-of-war mode. Around 03:00 UTC, BTC spiked above resistance but quickly pulled back, hinting at stop-loss triggers or liquidity grabs rather than strong buying momentum.

在4月14日的会议上，BTC的价格大多向侧面移动，在5分钟的图表上的行动保持在83,000美元的支持和85,000美元的阻力之间。早期的迹象显示出一个下降的渠道，价格在弹跳回到升空渠道之前简要介绍了较低的范围，以拔河模式突出了市场。在03:00 UTC左右，BTC在阻力上尖刺，但很快向后拉，暗示了停止损失触发器或流动性抓取而不是强劲的购买势头。

Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, Published on April 14th, 2025

图1，由Alokkp0608分析，于2025年4月14日发布

The RSI revealed rapid swings between overbought and oversold conditions, underlining the high intraday volatility. Each extreme correlated with short-term highs and lows in BTC, making RSI particularly useful for short-timeframe decisions.

RSI揭示了在超买和超售条件之间的快速波动，强调了高盘中波动。每个极端都与BTC中的短期高点和低点相关，使RSI对于短时决策特别有用。

Meanwhile, MACD also reflected the choppiness, with golden crosses at 02:30 and 14:30 bringing short bursts of bullish momentum, while death crosses after 04:30 and 16:00 signaled brief declines. All told, the indicators reveal a market without clear direction, reacting to every micro-shift.

同时，MACD还反映了斩波性，在02:30和14:30的黄金十字架带来了短暂的看涨势头，而死亡在04:30和16:00后交叉表示短暂的下降。总而言之，这些指标揭示了一个没有明确方向的市场，对每个微型换档做出了反应。

Amid the global chaos and Dalio’s unsettling proclamation about a possible global recession, Bitcoin is still moving along. Bitcoin currently sits at approx. $85,000; the current BTC price indicates a potential shift in overall investor sentiment – there exists a possibility that the market sees Bitcoin as a hedge during a period of uncertainty. While traders have volatility viewed, direction still uncertain, traders are watching the next potential breakout or breakdown closely. As pressure mounts on traditional markets, BTC performance could become a leading signal in a world that’s still trying to find its footing.

在全球混乱和达利奥（Dalio）关于可能的全球衰退的不安宣告中，比特币仍在继续前进。比特币当前位于大约。 $ 85,000;当前的BTC价格表明总体投资者的情绪可能发生了潜在的转变 - 在不确定性时期，市场可能将比特币视为对冲。尽管交易者观看了波动性，但方向仍然不确定，但交易者正在密切关注下一个潜在的突破或崩溃。随着传统市场上的压力增加，BTC的性能可能会成为一个仍在试图找到其基础的世界中的主要信号。