當雷·達利奧（Ray Dalio）警告即將來臨的全球經濟危機時，比特幣仍然不受歡迎

隨著金融市場的影響力，比特幣正悄悄地站在地面上。億萬富翁投資者雷·達利奧（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC採訪時說，世界可能不是

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning, saying in a recent interview with CNBC that the world may not be heading strictly for a recession but rather for a global economic crisis.

億萬富翁投資者雷·達利奧（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC的採訪時說，世界可能不會嚴格前往經濟衰退，而是面臨全球經濟危機。

As financial markets brace for impact, Bitcoin (BTC) is quietly standing its ground. In a recent interview with CNBC, billionaire investor Ray Dalio issued a stark warning, saying that the world may not be heading strictly for a recession but rather for a global economic crisis.

隨著金融市場的影響力，比特幣（BTC）悄悄地站起來。億萬富翁投資者雷·達利奧（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC採訪時發出了警告，稱世界可能並不是嚴格前往經濟衰退，而是面臨全球經濟危機。

As financial markets brace for impact, Bitcoin (BTC) is quietly standing its ground. In a recent interview with CNBC, billionaire investor Ray Dalio issued a stark warning, saying that the world may not be heading strictly for a recession but rather for a global economic crisis – a basic breakdown of our economic and political systems.

隨著金融市場的影響力，比特幣（BTC）悄悄地站起來。億萬富翁投資者雷·達利奧（Ray Dalio）在最近接受CNBC採訪時發出了警告，稱世界可能並不是嚴格前往經濟衰退的前進，而是面臨全球經濟危機，這是我們經濟和政治體系的基本細分。

With US debt growing and trust in the global monetary structure fading, Dalio characterized the current context as comparable to past historic junctures, such as the end of the gold standard in 1971 and the 2008 financial crisis. In the midst of all of this, the BTC price is increasing, breaking free from a heavy three-month downtrend and moving slowly toward $85,000.

隨著美國對全球貨幣結構衰落的債務增長和信任，達利奧（Dalio）將當前環境的特徵與過去的歷史連接相媲美，例如1971年的黃金標準終結和2008年的金融危機。在這一切中，BTC的價格正在上漲，擺脫了三個月的沉重下降趨勢，並緩慢向85,000美元轉移。

One of Dalio’s top concerns is the rapidly expanding U.S. deficit. He says lawmakers need to bring it down to 3% of GDP before the imbalance between debt supply and investor demand sparks serious trouble. According to Dalio, these stress points could trigger a global economic crisis. Bond markets are showing signs of distress already, with a 10-year yield around 4.5% and a 30-year yield around 5%. The new tariff confusion and weakening U.S. dollar, which just dipped below 100 on the DXY, certainly give investors no shortage of reasons to be worried.

達利奧（Dalio）最關心的問題之一是迅速擴大的美國赤字。他說，立法者需要將其降低到GDP的3％，然後債務供應與投資者的需求不平衡會引發嚴重麻煩。根據達利奧（Dalio）的說法，這些壓力點可能會引發全球經濟危機。債券市場已經顯示出困擾的跡象，收益率約為4.5％，收益率約為5％。新的關稅混亂和削弱了美元的削弱，在DXY上略低於100，當然，投資者不乏擔心的理由。

As traditional markets wobble, Bitcoin appears to be gaining strength. The rising BTC price suggests some investors are eyeing it as a possible safe haven amid the growing risk of a global economic crisis. Its recent breakout might be more than just technical, it could reflect growing trust in Bitcoin’s role during financial uncertainty. As Dalio warns of deeper systemic risks, Bitcoin’s performance becomes even more interesting. Let’s now take a closer look at the latest BTC price action and what the charts are signaling.

隨著傳統市場的擺動，比特幣似乎正在增強力量。 BTC價格上漲表明，在全球經濟危機的日益增長的風險中，一些投資者將其視為可能的避風港。它最近的突破可能不僅是技術，還可以反映出對比特幣在財務不確定性中的作用的信任日益增加。正如達利奧（Dalio）警告著更深的系統性風險時，比特幣的性能變得更加有趣。現在，讓我們仔細研究一下最新的BTC價格動作以及圖表的信號。

The BTC price mostly moved sideways throughout the April 14th session, with action on the 5-minute chart staying bounded between $83,000 support and $85,000 resistance. Early signs showed a descending channel, with the price briefly testing the lower range before bouncing back into an ascending channel, highlighting a market in tug-of-war mode. Around 03:00 UTC, BTC spiked above resistance but quickly pulled back, hinting at stop-loss triggers or liquidity grabs rather than strong buying momentum.

在4月14日的會議上，BTC的價格大多向側面移動，在5分鐘的圖表上的行動保持在83,000美元的支持和85,000美元的阻力之間。早期的跡象顯示出一個下降的渠道，價格在彈跳回到升空渠道之前簡要介紹了較低的範圍，以拔河模式突出了市場。在03:00 UTC左右，BTC在阻力上尖刺，但很快向後拉，暗示了停止損失觸發器或流動性抓取而不是強勁的購買勢頭。

Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, Published on April 14th, 2025

圖1，由Alokkp0608分析，於2025年4月14日發布

The RSI revealed rapid swings between overbought and oversold conditions, underlining the high intraday volatility. Each extreme correlated with short-term highs and lows in BTC, making RSI particularly useful for short-timeframe decisions.

RSI揭示了在超買和超售條件之間的快速波動，強調了高盤中波動。每個極端都與BTC中的短期高點和低點相關，使RSI對於短時決策特別有用。

Meanwhile, MACD also reflected the choppiness, with golden crosses at 02:30 and 14:30 bringing short bursts of bullish momentum, while death crosses after 04:30 and 16:00 signaled brief declines. All told, the indicators reveal a market without clear direction, reacting to every micro-shift.

同時，MACD還反映了斬波性，在02:30和14:30的黃金十字架帶來了短暫的看漲勢頭，而死亡在04:30和16:00後交叉表示短暫的下降。總而言之，這些指標揭示了一個沒有明確方向的市場，對每個微型換檔做出了反應。

Amid the global chaos and Dalio’s unsettling proclamation about a possible global recession, Bitcoin is still moving along. Bitcoin currently sits at approx. $85,000; the current BTC price indicates a potential shift in overall investor sentiment – there exists a possibility that the market sees Bitcoin as a hedge during a period of uncertainty. While traders have volatility viewed, direction still uncertain, traders are watching the next potential breakout or breakdown closely. As pressure mounts on traditional markets, BTC performance could become a leading signal in a world that’s still trying to find its footing.

在全球混亂和達利奧（Dalio）關於可能的全球衰退的不安宣告中，比特幣仍在繼續前進。比特幣當前位於大約。 $ 85,000;當前的BTC價格表明總體投資者的情緒可能發生了潛在的轉變 - 在不確定性時期，市場可能將比特幣視為對沖。儘管交易者觀看了波動性，但方向仍然不確定，但交易者正在密切關注下一個潛在的突破或崩潰。隨著傳統市場上的壓力增加，BTC的性能可能會成為一個仍在試圖找到其基礎的世界中的主要信號。