利率不确定性挥之不去，比特币反弹

在美国利率持续存在不确定性的情况下，比特币周五出现上涨趋势，从近期的损失中恢复过来。上涨 3.3% 将价格推至 67,615.0 美元，但每周仍可能下跌约 3%。美元上涨和对通胀的担忧让交易员保持谨慎，而以太坊表现落后，XRP 从一个月低点反弹。人们的注意力转向即将发布的非农就业数据，这可能会影响美国利率的前景，进而影响比特币的走势。

Bitcoin Rebounds Amidst Lingering Uncertainty over Interest Rate Trajectory

比特币在利率轨迹挥之不去的不确定性中反弹

Amidst a tumultuous week marked by geopolitical tensions and economic headwinds, Bitcoin has staged a modest recovery on Friday, climbing 3.3% over the past 24 hours to $67,615.0 as of 01:09 ET (05:09 GMT). However, this rebound has been tempered by persistent uncertainty over the trajectory of U.S. interest rates, which continues to cast a shadow over risk assets.

在以地缘政治紧张局势和经济逆风为标志的动荡的一周中，比特币在周五小幅复苏，截至东部时间 01:09（格林威治标准时间 05:09）在过去 24 小时内上涨 3.3% 至 67,615.0 美元。然而，这种反弹受到美国利率轨迹持续不确定性的影响，这继续给风险资产蒙上阴影。

This week, Bitcoin's price tumbled to as low as $64,000, driven by a broader decline in risk appetite triggered by a series of factors, including an earthquake in Taiwan, escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the looming threat of sustained higher interest rates in the United States. As a result, traders have largely gravitated towards the dollar and other safe-haven assets, while Bitcoin and other riskier investments have taken a backseat.

本周，受台湾地震、中东紧张局势升级、东南亚国家利率持续走高等一系列因素引发的风险偏好普遍下降的影响，比特币价格跌至 64,000 美元低点。美国。因此，交易员在很大程度上倾向于美元和其他避险资产，而比特币和其他风险较高的投资则退居次席。

On Friday, the dollar strengthened, while gold prices hovered near record highs set earlier in the week. The strengthening of the dollar and the relative resilience of gold underscore the cautious sentiment that has gripped the markets amidst the heightened geopolitical uncertainty and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on monetary policy.

周五，美元走强，而金价徘徊在本周早些时候创下的历史高位附近。美元的走强和黄金的相对弹性凸显了在地缘政治不确定性加剧和美联储对货币政策采取强硬立场的情况下市场的谨慎情绪。

Federal Reserve officials have repeatedly warned that persistently high inflation will prevent the central bank from cutting interest rates in the near term. These hawkish comments have dampened risk appetite and weighed on Bitcoin's price, which typically thrives in low-rate, high-liquidity environments. As a result, Bitcoin has been trading within a relatively narrow range since hitting record highs of over $73,000 in March, largely mirroring the weakness seen in the U.S. stock market and other risk-sensitive assets.

美联储官员多次警告称，持续高企的通胀将阻碍央行近期降息。这些鹰派言论抑制了风险偏好，并打压了比特币的价格，而比特币通常在低利率、高流动性的环境中蓬勃发展。因此，自 3 月份触及超过 73,000 美元的历史高位以来，比特币一直在相对狭窄的区间内交易，这在很大程度上反映了美国股市和其他风险敏感资产的疲软。

The recent approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) had initially provided a tailwind for the cryptocurrency's price, but this momentum appears to have waned in recent weeks. Capital flows into these ETFs have slowed, and trading activity in the Bitcoin market has also declined.

最近比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的批准最初为加密货币的价格提供了推动力，但这种势头在最近几周似乎有所减弱。流入这些 ETF 的资金已经放缓，比特币市场的交易活动也有所下降。

Investors' attention is now squarely on the upcoming nonfarm payrolls data due later on Friday, which is expected to provide further insights into the outlook for U.S. interest rates. A strong jobs report could strengthen the case for faster interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which would likely weigh on Bitcoin's price.

投资者现在的注意力完全集中在周五晚些时候即将公布的非农就业数据上，该数据预计将为美国利率前景提供进一步的见解。强劲的就业报告可能会强化美联储加快加息的理由，这可能会打压比特币的价格。

Among other cryptocurrencies, Ethereum lagged its peers on Friday, falling 0.8%. This decline came as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) prepares its decision on spot ETFs for Ethereum. The SEC is also investigating whether Ethereum should be classified as a security, a designation that could have significant implications for its regulatory treatment.

在其他加密货币中，以太坊周五下跌 0.8%，落后于其他加密货币。这一下降是在美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 准备就以太坊现货 ETF 做出决定之际发生的。美国证券交易委员会还在调查以太坊是否应被归类为证券，这一名称可能对其监管处理产生重大影响。

XRP, on the other hand, rose 1.8%, recovering from a one-month low reached earlier this week. However, the outlook for XRP remains uncertain as the SEC's case against Ripple, the company behind the cryptocurrency, is set to proceed in April.

另一方面，XRP 上涨 1.8%，从本周早些时候触及的一个月低点回升。然而，XRP 的前景仍然不确定，因为 SEC 对加密货币背后的公司 Ripple 的案件定于 4 月份进行。

Overall, the cryptocurrency market remains in a state of flux as investors navigate the complexities of rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory uncertainty. While Bitcoin has shown signs of resilience, its trajectory over the coming months will likely hinge on the broader macroeconomic environment and the actions taken by central banks around the world.

总体而言，随着投资者应对利率上升、地缘政治紧张局势和监管不确定性的复杂性，加密货币市场仍处于不断变化的状态。尽管比特币已显示出弹性的迹象，但其未来几个月的走势可能取决于更广泛的宏观经济环境和世界各地央行采取的行动。