比特币射程，Altcoins为势头而奋斗，但历史表明Altseasan Breakout可能即将到来

比特币BTC/USD已陷入了为期多周的范围内，使山寨币努力争取动力。但是，交易者认为，这个合并阶段可能正在为Altseason突破奠定基础。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price action has been largely range bound over the past several weeks, impacting the momentum of altcoins in the process.

在过去的几周中，比特币（加密：BTC）的价格动作在很大程度上范围限制，从而影响了山寨币在此过程中的动力。

Now, traders are debating whether this consolidation period could be setting the stage for an altseason breakout.

现在，交易者正在辩论这个合并期是否可能为Altseason突破奠定基础。

Astronomer advises patience. Astronomer advises altcoin holders to remain patient, emphasizing that historically, the biggest altcoin surges occur in the final year of the cycle (2025). He argues that the current cycle resembles 2017 more than 2021, which explains why altcoins have yet to make major moves.

天文学家建议耐心。天文学家建议Altcoin持有人保持耐心，并强调，从历史上看，最大的Altcoin飙升发生在周期的最后一年（2025年）。他认为，当前周期类似于2017年的2021年以上，这解释了为什么山寨币尚未采取重大举措。

Historically, Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE), Litecoin (CRYPTO: LTC), Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA), and IOTA (CRYPTO: IOTA) all stayed stagnant until late in the final year before massive rallies.

从历史上看，Dogecoin（加密：Doge），Litecoin（Crypto：LTC），Cardano（Crypto：Ada）和Iota（crypto：iota）都停滞不前，直到大规模集会前的最后一年。

Many traders expected Bitcoin dominance to drop sharply, similar to 2021, but the market is following the 2017 pattern of a gradual decline before a sharp break lower.

许多交易者预计比特币的优势将急剧下降，类似于2021年，但市场遵循2017年的逐渐下降，然后急剧下降。

Similarly, Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) also saw a gradual rise in 2017 before an explosive move, unlike its more volatile 2021 cycle.

同样，以太坊（Crypto：ETH）在2017年爆炸性动作之前也逐渐上升，这与其挥发性更高的2021周期不同。

The logical reasons behind this cycle's similarity to 2017 include market psychology, where investors expect the last cycle to repeat and get outmaneuvered, and mass adoption, with institutional and governmental players now involved, similar to the retail-driven surge in 2017.

这个周期与2017年相似的逻辑原因包括市场心理学，投资者期望最后一个周期重复并变得超越，大众采用，现在涉及机构和政府参与者，类似于2017年零售驱动的激增。

Sci: chop to end soon, no extended alt SZN Crypto trader Scient highlighted that market remains choppy, with many altcoins bleeding and Bitcoin ranging between $91,000-$108,000.

SCI：CHOP即将结束，没有扩展的Alt SZN Crypto Trader Scient强调，市场仍然不稳定，许多Altcoins出血和比特币在91,000至108,000美元之间。

This is a typical cycle pattern where liquidity moves from weaker to stronger assets, though it’s happening faster due to market segmentation.

这是一种典型的周期模式，流动性从弱资产转移到更强大的资产，尽管由于市场细分而发生的速度更快。

The trader expects the chop/downside to end soon, likely by late April, and does not anticipate a prolonged altseason. They suggest focusing on large caps like L1/L2s, DeFi, AI, and RWA, with only a small 2-5% allocation to meme coins.

交易者预计，斩波/缺点很快就会结束，可能是在4月下旬结束，并且预计不会延长季后赛。他们建议专注于L1/L2S，DEFI，AI和RWA等大型帽子，仅分配了2-5％的模因硬币。

Meanwhile, trader arndxt pointed out that Bitcoin has been stuck in a 60-day range, which is relatively short compared to past 240-day consolidation periods.

同时，Trader Arndxt指出，比特币被困在60天的范围内，与过去的240天合并期相比，比特币相对较短。

This suggests the chop is not over yet, and altcoins will continue to struggle for momentum until BTC makes a decisive move.

这表明该碎石还没有结束，直到BTC做出决定性的举动，Altcoins将继续为动力而奋斗。