比特幣射程，Altcoins為勢頭而奮鬥，但歷史表明Altseasan Breakout可能即將到來

比特幣BTC/USD已陷入了為期多周的範圍內，使山寨幣努力爭取動力。但是，交易者認為，這個合併階段可能正在為Altseason突破奠定基礎。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price action has been largely range bound over the past several weeks, impacting the momentum of altcoins in the process.

在過去的幾周中，比特幣（加密：BTC）的價格動作在很大程度上範圍限制，從而影響了山寨幣在此過程中的動力。

Now, traders are debating whether this consolidation period could be setting the stage for an altseason breakout.

現在，交易者正在辯論這個合併期是否可能為Altseason突破奠定基礎。

Astronomer advises patience. Astronomer advises altcoin holders to remain patient, emphasizing that historically, the biggest altcoin surges occur in the final year of the cycle (2025). He argues that the current cycle resembles 2017 more than 2021, which explains why altcoins have yet to make major moves.

天文學家建議耐心。天文學家建議Altcoin持有人保持耐心，並強調，從歷史上看，最大的Altcoin飆升發生在周期的最後一年（2025年）。他認為，當前週期類似於2017年的2021年以上，這解釋了為什麼山寨幣尚未採取重大舉措。

Historically, Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE), Litecoin (CRYPTO: LTC), Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA), and IOTA (CRYPTO: IOTA) all stayed stagnant until late in the final year before massive rallies.

從歷史上看，Dogecoin（加密：Doge），Litecoin（Crypto：LTC），Cardano（Crypto：Ada）和Iota（crypto：iota）都停滯不前，直到大規模集會前的最後一年。

Many traders expected Bitcoin dominance to drop sharply, similar to 2021, but the market is following the 2017 pattern of a gradual decline before a sharp break lower.

許多交易者預計比特幣的優勢將急劇下降，類似於2021年，但市場遵循2017年的逐漸下降，然後急劇下降。

Similarly, Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) also saw a gradual rise in 2017 before an explosive move, unlike its more volatile 2021 cycle.

同樣，以太坊（Crypto：ETH）在2017年爆炸性動作之前也逐漸上升，這與其揮發性更高的2021週期不同。

The logical reasons behind this cycle's similarity to 2017 include market psychology, where investors expect the last cycle to repeat and get outmaneuvered, and mass adoption, with institutional and governmental players now involved, similar to the retail-driven surge in 2017.

這個週期與2017年相似的邏輯原因包括市場心理學，投資者期望最後一個週期重複並變得超越，大眾採用，現在涉及機構和政府參與者，類似於2017年零售驅動的激增。

Sci: chop to end soon, no extended alt SZN Crypto trader Scient highlighted that market remains choppy, with many altcoins bleeding and Bitcoin ranging between $91,000-$108,000.

SCI：CHOP即將結束，沒有擴展的Alt SZN Crypto Trader Scient強調，市場仍然不穩定，許多Altcoins出血和比特幣在91,000至108,000美元之間。

This is a typical cycle pattern where liquidity moves from weaker to stronger assets, though it’s happening faster due to market segmentation.

這是一種典型的周期模式，流動性從弱資產轉移到更強大的資產，儘管由於市場細分而發生的速度更快。

The trader expects the chop/downside to end soon, likely by late April, and does not anticipate a prolonged altseason. They suggest focusing on large caps like L1/L2s, DeFi, AI, and RWA, with only a small 2-5% allocation to meme coins.

交易者預計，斬波/缺點很快就會結束，可能是在4月下旬結束，並且預計不會延長季后賽。他們建議專注於L1/L2S，DEFI，AI和RWA等大型帽子，僅分配了2-5％的模因硬幣。

Meanwhile, trader arndxt pointed out that Bitcoin has been stuck in a 60-day range, which is relatively short compared to past 240-day consolidation periods.

同時，Trader Arndxt指出，比特幣被困在60天的範圍內，與過去的240天合併期相比，比特幣相對較短。

This suggests the chop is not over yet, and altcoins will continue to struggle for momentum until BTC makes a decisive move.

這表明該碎石還沒有結束，直到BTC做出決定性的舉動，Altcoins將繼續為動力而奮鬥。