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加密货币新闻

比特币印刷看涨逆转信号,但短期风险迫在眉睫

2025/04/16 01:47

比特币以强度的力量开始,测试了两次高架阻力,并在每日时间范围内打印了期待已久的TBO。

比特币印刷看涨逆转信号,但短期风险迫在眉睫

Bitcoin kicked off the week with strength, testing overhead resistance twice and managing to print a TBO Close Short on the daily chart.

比特币以强度的力量开始,测试了两次高架阻力,并设法在每日图表上打印了TBO底盘。

This long-awaited signal is typically a good indicator of a shift in the market structure. It occurs when the Close Short price point is crossed by the Optimal Point 3 times on the same timeframe.

期待已久的信号通常是市场结构转移的良好指标。当在同一时间范围内,最佳点3次交叉3次,这是当近距离价格点的近距离时发生。

Usually, this signals the end of prolonged consolidation phases, and the current price action suggests the same shift could be unfolding.

通常,这标志着延长合并阶段的终结,当前的价格行动表明相同的转变可能正在发生。

Chart: TradingView

图表:TradingView

Daily volume is outpacing its 30-day average, On-Balance Volume is trending higher, and RSI continues to pressure resistance—all classic ingredients for a bullish breakout.

每日体积的平均水平升高为30天的平均水平升高,RSI继续承受压力,这是Bullish突破的所有经典成分。

BTC also sits inside the daily TBO Cloud, signaling long-term strength.

BTC还位于每日TBO云内,信号长期强度。

However, there are clear short-term concerns. A TBT Bearish Divergence appeared on the 4-hour chart, the same signal that preceded the sharp drop from $88,000 to $74,000 in April.

但是,有明显的短期问题。 4小时图表上出现了TBT看跌分歧,与4月份从88,000美元下降到74,000美元之前的信号相同。

Additionally, a TBT Stop Loss Hunting alert fired yesterday, which frequently, though not always, foreshadows sudden bearish price action.

此外,TBT停止损失狩猎警报昨天开火,尽管并非总是如此,但它经常预示着罕见的看跌价格行动。

These two warnings, paired with BTC’s inability to pierce daily resistance and RSI’s failure to break above its long-term trendline, suggest a short-term correction may be imminent.

这两个警告与BTC无力刺穿日常抵抗以及RSI未能超越其长期趋势线的警告表明,短期纠正可能是即将进行的。

A -4% to -5% dip to the $81,000–$82,000 range appears likely, especially considering confluence at key Fibonacci retracement levels.

似乎可能会出现-4%至-5%下降到81,000美元至82,000美元的范围,尤其是考虑到关键的斐波那契回撤水平的汇合。

Dominance Metrics Suggest Altcoins Will Struggle in a Pullback

统治指标表明Altcoins将在回调中挣扎

If BTC does retrace, stablecoin dominance is expected to rise back toward resistance at 8.22%, while Bitcoin dominance is likely to continue climbing.

如果BTC确实反击,则预计Stablecoin的优势将朝着8.22%的抵抗力恢复,而比特币优势可能会继续攀升。

Despite lower highs forming on daily RSI for BTC.D, price strength suggests altcoins will lag. Top 10 Dominance will likely fall alongside BTC, while OTHERS.D remains in recovery mode following its recent drop.

尽管BTC.D的每日RSI在RSI上形成较低的高点,但价格强度表明AltCoins会滞后。前十名的优势可能会与BTC并肩作用,而其他人最近下降后仍处于恢复模式。

Given the known multiple factor effect—where altcoins react with greater volatility than BTC—a pullback in Bitcoin will disproportionately impact the broader altcoin market.

鉴于已知的多重因素效应(AltCoins的波动性比BTC的反应更大),比特币的回调将不成比例地影响更广泛的山寨币市场。

The total crypto market cap is still consolidating inside the daily TBO Cloud after breaking its first resistance fan line. While this is a positive signal, a BTC correction would drag TOTAL back down. The OTHERS chart continues to look weak, holding below the daily TBO Cloud and confirming its bearish bias. This reinforces the likelihood that altcoins will react more violently than Bitcoin during any near-term drawdown.

在破坏了其第一个阻力风扇线后,总加密市值仍在每日TBO云中巩固。虽然这是一个正信号,但BTC校正会将总拖回。其他图表仍然看起来很虚弱,在每日TBO云下方保持不足并确认其看跌偏见。这加强了山寨币在任何近期缩减期间都比比特币更剧烈的反应的可能性。

The post Bitcoin Surges but Faces Short-Term Risks as Altcoins Could Face Further Setbacks- Top 10 Coins Analysis

比特币后的潮流,但面临短期风险,因为Altcoins可能会面临进一步的挫折 - 前10个硬币分析

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