比特币价格预测：Xranox 分析比特币峰值之路和目标

本周，比特币价格显着回升，目前信心和资金流入重拾，回到 10 万美元以上。

Bitcoin price peaks and key targets have been analyzed by a crypto analyst, who predicts a final bullish wave before a correction phase begins.

一位加密货币分析师分析了比特币价格峰值和关键目标，他预测在修正阶段开始之前将出现最后的看涨浪潮。

After spending two months hovering around the $90,000 level with bullish investors attempting to hold the line and bearish pressure threatening to push it down, the Bitcoin price has finally shown a strong recovery this week, rising back above $100,000 with renewed confidence and inflows. This has sent another wave of bullish sentiment to the crypto market, considering that bullish investors have been trying to break above this level substantially.

在两个月的时间里，比特币价格在 90,000 美元左右徘徊，看涨投资者试图守住底线，而看跌压力则有可能将其压低，比特币价格本周终于显示出强劲复苏，凭借新的信心和资金流入，重新回到 100,000 美元上方。考虑到看涨投资者一直试图大幅突破这一水平，这给加密货币市场带来了另一波看涨情绪。

From a long-term perspective, the Bitcoin price still has room to break above $100,000. Many analysts have predicted price peaks above $200,000, and some predictions are even as high as $1 million. According to crypto analyst Xanrox, Bitcoin is currently in its last bullish wave to reach its cycle peak and a correction phase could be close.

从长期来看，比特币价格仍有突破10万美元的空间。许多分析师预测价格峰值将超过 20 万美元，有些预测甚至高达 100 万美元。加密货币分析师 Xanrox 表示，比特币目前正处于达到周期峰值的最后一波看涨浪潮，修正阶段可能即将到来。

Bitcoin's Last Bullish Wave And Peak Price Projection

比特币的最后一波看涨浪潮和峰值价格预测

The crypto analyst's analysis suggests that Bitcoin's current bullish cycle started in 2022 when it was trading at $15,632 and is likely to peak in 2025 at around $125,000. While this predicted price peak is very small compared to other predictions, it is undoubtedly a good return for early investors. However, those entering at present levels face a riskier environment, especially given the recent market behavior.

这位加密货币分析师的分析表明，比特币当前的看涨周期始于 2022 年，当时其交易价格为 15,632 美元，并可能在 2025 年达到峰值，约为 125,000 美元。虽然这个预测的价格峰值与其他预测相比非常小，但对于早期投资者来说无疑是一个不错的回报。然而，那些进入目前水平的人面临着风险更大的环境，特别是考虑到最近的市场行为。

Xanrox's projection of a $125,000 peak is rooted in Elliott Wave Theory, a technical analysis framework that identifies market cycles through five impulsive and three ABC corrective waves. Counting impulse waves from the 2022 bear market low puts the beginning of the fifth wave around Q4 2024, which is the last impulse wave before the ABC correction phase.

Xanrox 对 125,000 美元峰值的预测植根于艾略特波浪理论，这是一种技术分析框架，通过五个脉冲波和三个 ABC 修正波来识别市场周期。从2022年熊市低点开始计算冲击波，第五波的开始时间为2024年第四季度左右，这是ABC修正阶段之前的最后一个冲击波。

Two technical analysis tools were used to determine this Bitcoin price peak, which are the long-term trendline and the Fibonacci extension. The trendline, which runs through previous peaks of $20,000 in 2017 and $65,000 in 2021, projects that the Bitcoin price could reach $122,069 in 2025 before hitting resistance. Additionally, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the 2022 bear market low aligns exactly with this price peak target.

使用两种技术分析工具来确定比特币价格峰值，即长期趋势线和斐波那契延伸线。该趋势线穿过 2017 年 20,000 美元的峰值和 2021 年 65,000 美元的峰值，预计比特币价格可能在 2025 年达到 122,069 美元，然后遇到阻力。此外，2022 年熊市低点的 1.618 斐波那契延伸线与这一价格峰值目标完全一致。

Bitcoin Price Correction And Bear Market

比特币价格调整和熊市

Keeping the $125,000 price peak in focus, the analyst noted that Bitcoin should experience a steep correction after it peaks, as seen in historical playouts after the 2017 and 2021 rallies. These corrections are the Elliot wave ABC corrections, which led to 84% and 77% crashes in 2018 and 2021, respectively.

这位分析师将 125,000 美元的价格峰值作为关注焦点，指出比特币在达到峰值后应该会经历大幅回调，正如 2017 年和 2021 年反弹后的历史走势所示。这些修正是艾略特波浪 ABC 修正，分别导致 2018 年和 2021 年 84% 和 77% 的崩盘。

Although such declines are less likely due to Bitcoin’s growing market capitalization and increased institutional adoption, the analyst noted that a 60% correction is still a plausible scenario. This downturn is anticipated to unfold in a huge bear market and crisis between late 2025 and 2026. If the price hits $125,000 in 2025, a 60% correction could bring the Bitcoin price down to $50,000 by 2026.

尽管由于比特币市值的不断增长和机构采用率的提高，这种下跌的可能性较小，但分析师指出，60% 的调整仍然是一个可能的情况。预计这种低迷将在 2025 年底至 2026 年间的巨大熊市和危机中展开。如果 2025 年价格达到 125,000 美元，那么 60% 的调整可能会使比特币价格到 2026 年降至 50,000 美元。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $103,190 and is up by 9.7% in the past 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 103,190 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 9.7%。