比特幣價格預測：Xranox 分析比特幣高峰之路與目標

本週，比特幣價格顯著回升，目前信心和資金流入重拾，回到 10 萬美元以上。

Bitcoin price peaks and key targets have been analyzed by a crypto analyst, who predicts a final bullish wave before a correction phase begins.

一位加密貨幣分析師分析了比特幣價格高峰和關鍵目標，他預測在修正階段開始之前將出現最後的看漲浪潮。

After spending two months hovering around the $90,000 level with bullish investors attempting to hold the line and bearish pressure threatening to push it down, the Bitcoin price has finally shown a strong recovery this week, rising back above $100,000 with renewed confidence and inflows. This has sent another wave of bullish sentiment to the crypto market, considering that bullish investors have been trying to break above this level substantially.

在兩個月的時間裡，比特幣價格在90,000 美元左右徘徊，看漲投資者試圖守住底線，而看跌壓力則有可能將其壓低，比特幣價格本週終於顯示出強勁復甦，憑藉新的信心和資金流入，重新回到10 萬美元上方。考慮到看漲投資者一直試圖大幅突破這一水平，這給加密貨幣市場帶來了另一波看漲情緒。

From a long-term perspective, the Bitcoin price still has room to break above $100,000. Many analysts have predicted price peaks above $200,000, and some predictions are even as high as $1 million. According to crypto analyst Xanrox, Bitcoin is currently in its last bullish wave to reach its cycle peak and a correction phase could be close.

長期來看，比特幣價格仍有突破10萬美元的空間。許多分析師預測價格高峰將超過 20 萬美元，有些預測甚至高達 100 萬美元。加密貨幣分析師 Xanrox 表示，比特幣目前正處於達到週期高峰的最後一波看漲浪潮，修正階段可能即將到來。

Bitcoin's Last Bullish Wave And Peak Price Projection

比特幣的最後一波看漲浪潮和尖峰價格預測

The crypto analyst's analysis suggests that Bitcoin's current bullish cycle started in 2022 when it was trading at $15,632 and is likely to peak in 2025 at around $125,000. While this predicted price peak is very small compared to other predictions, it is undoubtedly a good return for early investors. However, those entering at present levels face a riskier environment, especially given the recent market behavior.

這位加密貨幣分析師的分析表明，比特幣當前的看漲週期始於 2022 年，當時其交易價格為 15,632 美元，並可能在 2025 年達到峰值，約為 125,000 美元。雖然這個預測的價格高峰與其他預測相比非常小，但對於早期投資者來說無疑是一個不錯的回報。然而，那些進入目前水平的人面臨著風險更大的環境，特別是考慮到最近的市場行為。

Xanrox's projection of a $125,000 peak is rooted in Elliott Wave Theory, a technical analysis framework that identifies market cycles through five impulsive and three ABC corrective waves. Counting impulse waves from the 2022 bear market low puts the beginning of the fifth wave around Q4 2024, which is the last impulse wave before the ABC correction phase.

Xanrox 對 125,000 美元峰值的預測植根於艾略特波浪理論，這是一種技術分析框架，透過五個脈衝波和三個 ABC 修正波來識別市場週期。從2022年熊市低點開始計算衝擊波，第五波的開始時間為2024年第四季左右，這是ABC修正階段之前的最後一個衝擊波。

Two technical analysis tools were used to determine this Bitcoin price peak, which are the long-term trendline and the Fibonacci extension. The trendline, which runs through previous peaks of $20,000 in 2017 and $65,000 in 2021, projects that the Bitcoin price could reach $122,069 in 2025 before hitting resistance. Additionally, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the 2022 bear market low aligns exactly with this price peak target.

使用兩種技術分析工具來確定比特幣價格峰值，即長期趨勢線和斐波那契延伸線。該趨勢線穿過 2017 年 20,000 美元的峰值和 2021 年 65,000 美元的峰值，預計比特幣價格可能在 2025 年達到 122,069 美元，然後遇到阻力。此外，2022 年熊市低點的 1.618 斐波那契延伸線與此價格高峰目標完全一致。

Bitcoin Price Correction And Bear Market

比特幣價格調整與熊市

Keeping the $125,000 price peak in focus, the analyst noted that Bitcoin should experience a steep correction after it peaks, as seen in historical playouts after the 2017 and 2021 rallies. These corrections are the Elliot wave ABC corrections, which led to 84% and 77% crashes in 2018 and 2021, respectively.

這位分析師將 125,000 美元的價格峰值作為焦點，指出比特幣在達到峰值後應該會經歷大幅回調，正如 2017 年和 2021 年反彈後的歷史走勢所示。這些修正是艾略特波浪 ABC 修正，分別導致 2018 年和 2021 年 84% 和 77% 的崩盤。

Although such declines are less likely due to Bitcoin’s growing market capitalization and increased institutional adoption, the analyst noted that a 60% correction is still a plausible scenario. This downturn is anticipated to unfold in a huge bear market and crisis between late 2025 and 2026. If the price hits $125,000 in 2025, a 60% correction could bring the Bitcoin price down to $50,000 by 2026.

儘管由於比特幣市值的不斷增長和機構採用率的提高，這種下跌的可能性較小，但分析師指出，60% 的調整仍然是一個可能的情況。預計這種低迷將在 2025 年底至 2026 年間的巨大熊市和危機中展開。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $103,190 and is up by 9.7% in the past 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 103,190 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 9.7%。