随着美国加拿大贸易战争Sparks Crypto Market Strages Marketters的努力，比特币价格下跌至$ 96K

比特币（BTC）在周日延长了最近的下滑，随着美国和加拿大之间的贸易紧张局势加剧，跌至96,821美元。

Bitcoin price hit a 14-day low of $96,821 on Sunday, Feb 2, as markets weigh hawkish macroeconomic signals. Amid the market dip, key BTC on-chain indicators are hinting at an early rebound as the month unfolds.

2月2日星期日，比特币价格达到了14天低点96,821美元，因为市场称为Hawkish宏观经济信号。在市场下降中，关键的BTC链链指标暗示了随着月份的发展，早期的反弹。

Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent downturn on Sunday, tumbling to $96,821 as escalating trade tensions between the US and Canada rattled financial markets. The cryptocurrency has been in a steady decline since former President Donald Trump’s inauguration, despite initial optimism around his crypto-friendly stance and the wave of institutional interest driven by ETF applications.

比特币（BTC）在周日延长了最近的下滑，随着美国和加拿大之间的贸易紧张局势加剧，跌至96,821美元。自从前总统唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼以来，加密货币一直在稳步下降，尽管对他对加密友好的立场以及ETF应用程序驱动的机构兴趣浪潮的最初乐观。

After rallying past $105,000 in response to the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause interest rate hikes, Bitcoin’s bullish momentum has stalled amid mounting economic uncertainty.

在对美联储暂停利率上升的决定响应超过105,000美元之后，比特币的看涨势头却使经济不确定性越来越大。

The latest shock came as the White House and the Canadian government clashed over new tariffs, igniting fears of a prolonged trade dispute between two of the world’s largest economies. President Trump announced tariffs on key Canadian exports, citing unfair trade practices, while Prime Minister Justin Trudeau vowed to retaliate with countermeasures.

最新的震惊是因为白宫和加拿大政府对新的关税发生了冲突，这激发了人们对世界两个最大经济体之间长期贸易争端的担忧。特朗普总统宣布对加拿大主要出口的关税，理由是不公平的贸易做法，而总理贾斯汀·特鲁多（Justin Trudeau）誓言要与对策进行报复。

The fallout from the trade war sent ripples through global markets, with Bitcoin leading the crypto sell-off. BTC price dipped 3.3% over the last 24 hours wiping out over $600 million from its total market capitalization, exacerbating investor anxiety.

贸易战争的后果使涟漪穿过全球市场，比特币带领加密货币抛售。在过去的24小时内，BTC的价格下跌了3.3％，从其总市值总资本化，加剧了投资者的焦虑，从而消除了超过6亿美元。

While some investors had pinned hopes on Trump’s administration fostering a more favorable regulatory climate for digital assets, the broader risk-off sentiment appears to have outweighed these expectations—at least for now.

尽管一些投资者寄希望于特朗普政府为数字资产提供更有利的监管氛围，但至少目前至少在目前，更广泛的风险情绪似乎已经超过了这些期望。

Bitcoin price chart showing a bullish pennant formation as BTC price recovers from $96K lows. Source: TradingView

比特币价格图显示了BTC价格从$ 96K的低点恢复的看涨甲甘南群。资料来源：TradingView

Bitcoin Price Sell-off May Be Nearing Completion as On-Chain Data Hints at Early Rebound

随着链上数据提示，比特币价格抛售可能接近完成

Despite Bitcoin’s sharp decline, on-chain data suggests that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent volatility. Many market participants believe that the US-Canada trade war, while disruptive, does not significantly impact Bitcoin’s core fundamentals. Others speculate that if the dispute escalates, it could drive governments and institutions toward Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat instability.

尽管比特币急剧下降，但链上的数据表明，长期持有人对最近的波动率仍然没有影响。许多市场参与者认为，美国加拿大贸易战争虽然破坏性，但并没有显着影响比特币的核心基本面。其他人则推测，如果争议升级，它可能会将政府和机构驱逐出比特币，以避免菲亚特不稳定。

One of the key indicators supporting this outlook is the Bitcoin Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of older BTC holdings. According to data from blockchain analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin’s Age Consumed figure currently stands at 4.4 million—marking a 96% decline from its January 22 peak. That peak coincided with profit-taking by short-term traders following Trump’s inauguration-fueled crypto surge, which briefly drove Bitcoin above $106,000.

支持这种前景的关键指标之一是比特币年龄消耗的度量标准，它跟踪了较旧的BTC持有量的运动。根据区块链分析公司Santiment的数据，比特币的年龄消耗数字目前为440万，标志着比1月22日的峰值下降了96％。在特朗普就职典礼加密迅速激增之后，短期交易者的盈利率与短期交易者的利润相吻合，这使比特币短暂地超过了106,000美元。

At press time on February 2, BTC price has dropped roughly 10% from those highs, yet the sharp decline in Age Consumed suggests that long-term investors are largely sitting tight rather than exiting their positions. Historically, subdued selling pressure from this cohort has preceded market recoveries, as it signals confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

在2月2日的发稿时间，BTC的价格从这些高点下降了约10％，但消耗的年龄急剧下降表明，长期投资者在很大程度上坐了下来，而不是退出其头寸。从历史上看，从该队列的销售压力柔和的销售压力已经在市场回收率之前，因为它标志着对比特币长期轨迹的信心。

If long-term holders continue to resist the sell-off, Bitcoin could be poised for an early rebound as market conditions stabilize. Moreover, should the US-Canada trade conflict intensify, demand for BTC as a global reserve asset may surge, potentially fueling a fresh wave of institutional and sovereign adoption. While short-term traders remain jittery, the conviction among Bitcoin’s strongest hands could be the key to setting the stage for a renewed rally in the coming weeks.

如果长期持有人继续抵制抛售，那么随着市场状况的稳定，比特币可以提前反弹。此外，如果美国加拿大贸易冲突加剧，对BTC作为全球储备资产的需求可能会激增，并有可能助长机构和主权采用的新浪潮。尽管短期交易者仍然令人震惊，但比特币最强大的双手的定罪可能是在接下来的几周内为重新集会奠定基础的关键。

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Bulls Mount Support at $96,000 as Long-term investors Hold Steady

比特币价格预测：长期投资者保持稳定，公牛支架的支持为96,000美元

The Bitcoin price forecast chart below shows BTC trading at $98,500 after dipping to a 14-day low of $96,821, showing signs of potential stabilization. The Donchian Channel indicates Bitcoin remains within a key consolidation zone, with $94,346 as a lower boundary support and $109,588 as the upper range. A rebound from $96K could signal a short-term recovery if bulls manage to reclaim $101,967, the mid-range level.

下面的比特币价格预测图显示，BTC交易额为98,500美元，至14天低点为96,821美元，显示了潜在稳定的迹象。 Donchian通道表明，比特币保留在关键的合并区域内，$ 94,346作为下边界支撑，为109,588美元作为上范围。如果公牛设法收回101,967美元的中档水平，则可以从96K $ 96K的反弹表示短期恢复。

Momentum indicators suggest a mixed outlook. The Elder’s Force Index (EWO) remains slightly positive at 2.42, hinting that buying pressure still lingers despite recent sell-offs. However, the MACD histogram has flipped red, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line—typically a bearish signal. This suggests momentum is weakening, which could expose Bitcoin to further downside risks.

动量指标表明前景混杂。长老的部队指数（EWO）在2.42时保持略有阳性，暗示尽管最近抛售了购买压力仍然存在。但是，MACD直方图已翻转红色，MACD线越过信号线以下 - 通常是看跌信号。这表明动量正在减弱，这可能会使比特币面临进一步的下行风险。

If BTC breaks below $96K, a continuation of the 10% drawdown could lead to deeper losses toward $94K or lower. However, holding above this key level and reclaiming $101K could reinforce bullish confidence, potentially setting up a retest of the $105K psychological barrier.

如果BTC违反了9.6万美元的收入，那么10％的跌幅的延续可能会导致更深的损失降至94,000美元或更低。但是，保持超过这一关键水平并获得101k美元的收回可以增强看涨的信心，并有可能重新设置105,000美元的心理障碍。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常见问题（常见问题解答）

1. Why is Bitcoin Price Dropping?

1。为什么比特币价格下跌？