隨著美國加拿大貿易戰爭Sparks Crypto Market Strages Marketters的努力，比特幣價格下跌至$ 96K

比特幣（BTC）在周日延長了最近的下滑，隨著美國和加拿大之間的貿易緊張局勢加劇，跌至96,821美元。

Bitcoin price hit a 14-day low of $96,821 on Sunday, Feb 2, as markets weigh hawkish macroeconomic signals. Amid the market dip, key BTC on-chain indicators are hinting at an early rebound as the month unfolds.

2月2日星期日，比特幣價格達到了14天低點96,821美元，因為市場稱為Hawkish宏觀經濟信號。在市場下降中，關鍵的BTC鍊鍊指標暗示了隨著月份的發展，早期的反彈。

Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent downturn on Sunday, tumbling to $96,821 as escalating trade tensions between the US and Canada rattled financial markets. The cryptocurrency has been in a steady decline since former President Donald Trump’s inauguration, despite initial optimism around his crypto-friendly stance and the wave of institutional interest driven by ETF applications.

比特幣（BTC）在周日延長了最近的下滑，隨著美國和加拿大之間的貿易緊張局勢加劇，跌至96,821美元。自從前總統唐納德·特朗普就職典禮以來，加密貨幣一直在穩步下降，儘管對他對加密友好的立場以及ETF應用程序驅動的機構興趣浪潮的最初樂觀。

After rallying past $105,000 in response to the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause interest rate hikes, Bitcoin’s bullish momentum has stalled amid mounting economic uncertainty.

在對美聯儲暫停利率上升的決定響應超過105,000美元之後，比特幣的看漲勢頭卻使經濟不確定性越來越大。

The latest shock came as the White House and the Canadian government clashed over new tariffs, igniting fears of a prolonged trade dispute between two of the world’s largest economies. President Trump announced tariffs on key Canadian exports, citing unfair trade practices, while Prime Minister Justin Trudeau vowed to retaliate with countermeasures.

最新的震驚是因為白宮和加拿大政府對新的關稅發生了衝突，這激發了人們對世界兩個最大經濟體之間長期貿易爭端的擔憂。特朗普總統宣布對加拿大主要出口的關稅，理由是不公平的貿易做法，而總理賈斯汀·特魯多（Justin Trudeau）誓言要與對策進行報復。

The fallout from the trade war sent ripples through global markets, with Bitcoin leading the crypto sell-off. BTC price dipped 3.3% over the last 24 hours wiping out over $600 million from its total market capitalization, exacerbating investor anxiety.

貿易戰爭的後果使漣漪穿過全球市場，比特幣帶領加密貨幣拋售。在過去的24小時內，BTC的價格下跌了3.3％，從其總市值總資本化，加劇了投資者的焦慮，從而消除了超過6億美元。

While some investors had pinned hopes on Trump’s administration fostering a more favorable regulatory climate for digital assets, the broader risk-off sentiment appears to have outweighed these expectations—at least for now.

儘管一些投資者寄希望於特朗普政府為數字資產提供更有利的監管氛圍，但至少目前至少在目前，更廣泛的風險情緒似乎已經超過了這些期望。

Bitcoin price chart showing a bullish pennant formation as BTC price recovers from $96K lows. Source: TradingView

比特幣價格圖顯示了BTC價格從$ 96K的低點恢復的看漲甲甘南群。資料來源：TradingView

Bitcoin Price Sell-off May Be Nearing Completion as On-Chain Data Hints at Early Rebound

隨著鏈上數據提示，比特幣價格拋售可能接近完成

Despite Bitcoin’s sharp decline, on-chain data suggests that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent volatility. Many market participants believe that the US-Canada trade war, while disruptive, does not significantly impact Bitcoin’s core fundamentals. Others speculate that if the dispute escalates, it could drive governments and institutions toward Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat instability.

儘管比特幣急劇下降，但鏈上的數據表明，長期持有人對最近的波動率仍然沒有影響。許多市場參與者認為，美國加拿大貿易戰爭雖然破壞性，但並沒有顯著影響比特幣的核心基本面。其他人則推測，如果爭議升級，它可能會將政府和機構驅逐出比特幣，以避免菲亞特不穩定。

One of the key indicators supporting this outlook is the Bitcoin Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of older BTC holdings. According to data from blockchain analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin’s Age Consumed figure currently stands at 4.4 million—marking a 96% decline from its January 22 peak. That peak coincided with profit-taking by short-term traders following Trump’s inauguration-fueled crypto surge, which briefly drove Bitcoin above $106,000.

支持這種前景的關鍵指標之一是比特幣年齡消耗的度量標準，它跟踪了較舊的BTC持有量的運動。根據區塊鏈分析公司Santiment的數據，比特幣的年齡消耗數字目前為440萬，標誌著比1月22日的峰值下降了96％。在特朗普就職典禮加密迅速激增之後，短期交易者的盈利率與短期交易者的利潤相吻合，這使比特幣短暫地超過了106,000美元。

At press time on February 2, BTC price has dropped roughly 10% from those highs, yet the sharp decline in Age Consumed suggests that long-term investors are largely sitting tight rather than exiting their positions. Historically, subdued selling pressure from this cohort has preceded market recoveries, as it signals confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

在2月2日的發稿時間，BTC的價格從這些高點下降了約10％，但消耗的年齡急劇下降表明，長期投資者在很大程度上坐了下來，而不是退出其頭寸。從歷史上看，從該隊列的銷售壓力柔和的銷售壓力已經在市場回收率之前，因為它標誌著對比特幣長期軌蹟的信心。

If long-term holders continue to resist the sell-off, Bitcoin could be poised for an early rebound as market conditions stabilize. Moreover, should the US-Canada trade conflict intensify, demand for BTC as a global reserve asset may surge, potentially fueling a fresh wave of institutional and sovereign adoption. While short-term traders remain jittery, the conviction among Bitcoin’s strongest hands could be the key to setting the stage for a renewed rally in the coming weeks.

如果長期持有人繼續抵制拋售，那麼隨著市場狀況的穩定，比特幣可以提前反彈。此外，如果美國加拿大貿易衝突加劇，對BTC作為全球儲備資產的需求可能會激增，並有可能助長機構和主權採用的新浪潮。儘管短期交易者仍然令人震驚，但比特幣最強大的雙手的定罪可能是在接下來的幾週內為重新集會奠定基礎的關鍵。

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Bulls Mount Support at $96,000 as Long-term investors Hold Steady

比特幣價格預測：長期投資者保持穩定，公牛支架的支持為96,000美元

The Bitcoin price forecast chart below shows BTC trading at $98,500 after dipping to a 14-day low of $96,821, showing signs of potential stabilization. The Donchian Channel indicates Bitcoin remains within a key consolidation zone, with $94,346 as a lower boundary support and $109,588 as the upper range. A rebound from $96K could signal a short-term recovery if bulls manage to reclaim $101,967, the mid-range level.

下面的比特幣價格預測圖顯示，BTC交易額為98,500美元，至14天低點為96,821美元，顯示了潛在穩定的跡象。 Donchian通道表明，比特幣保留在關鍵的合併區域內，$ 94,346作為下邊界支撐，為109,588美元作為上範圍。如果公牛設法收回101,967美元的中檔水平，則可以從96K $ 96K的反彈表示短期恢復。

Momentum indicators suggest a mixed outlook. The Elder’s Force Index (EWO) remains slightly positive at 2.42, hinting that buying pressure still lingers despite recent sell-offs. However, the MACD histogram has flipped red, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line—typically a bearish signal. This suggests momentum is weakening, which could expose Bitcoin to further downside risks.

動量指標表明前景混雜。長老的部隊指數（EWO）在2.42時保持略有陽性，暗示儘管最近拋售了購買壓力仍然存在。但是，MACD直方圖已翻轉紅色，MACD線越過信號線以下 - 通常是看跌信號。這表明動量正在減弱，這可能會使比特幣面臨進一步的下行風險。

If BTC breaks below $96K, a continuation of the 10% drawdown could lead to deeper losses toward $94K or lower. However, holding above this key level and reclaiming $101K could reinforce bullish confidence, potentially setting up a retest of the $105K psychological barrier.

如果BTC違反了9.6萬美元的收入，那麼10％的跌幅的延續可能會導致更深的損失到$ 94K或更低。但是，保持超過這一關鍵水平並獲得101k美元的收回可以增強看漲的信心，並有可能重新設置105,000美元的心理障礙。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常見問題（常見問題解答）

1. Why is Bitcoin Price Dropping?

1。為什麼比特幣價格下跌？