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11 月 5 日星期二,比特币价格触及 70,000 美元。仅仅几天后,即 11 月 11 日星期一,该价格现已跌至 9 万美元以下,这是比特币有史以来的最高价格。
Bitcoin's price soared to a record high above $90,000 on Monday, November 11, just days after hitting close to $70,000 on Tuesday, November 5.
11 月 11 日星期一,比特币价格飙升至 90,000 美元以上,创下历史新高,而就在几天前,11 月 5 日星期二,比特币价格触及接近 70,000 美元。
While Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 United States election may have contributed to the surge, there appears to be a larger narrative at play.
尽管唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在 2024 年美国大选中获胜可能是导致这一激增的原因之一,但似乎还有更大的原因在起作用。
Initially, a surge was sparked by Donald Trump, and other factors pushed that surge to new heights. In October, Donald Trump stated his intention to establish America as the "crypto capital of the planet," accepting crypto donations for his campaign trail.
最初,激增是由唐纳德·特朗普引发的,其他因素将这一激增推向了新的高度。 10 月,唐纳德·特朗普表示,他打算将美国建立为“地球的加密货币之都”,并为其竞选活动接受加密货币捐款。
He spoke favourably at a Bitcoin conference in June this year, a stark contrast to his statement to Newsmax in 2021, when he said that cryptocurrencies' value was "highly volatile and based on thin air," and urged the United States to regulate it heavily. His newfound support for cryptocurrency, combined with Elon Musk's very vocal backing (who is himself a backer of cryptocurrency), suggests that his cabinet will be favourable to it.
他在今年 6 月的比特币会议上发表了积极的言论,这与他在 2021 年向 Newsmax 发表的声明形成鲜明对比,当时他表示加密货币的价值“高度波动且凭空而来”,并敦促美国对其进行严格监管。他对加密货币的新支持,加上埃隆·马斯克的大力支持(他本人就是加密货币的支持者),表明他的内阁将对此有利。
However, Jesse Myers, founder of OnrampBitcoin, a company that provides Bitcoin financial services, suggests that this recent growth is linked to post-halving, the act of halving the daily generated amount of Bitcoin. As this number decreases, so does the incentive to mine, essentially enforcing a level of scarcity for the coin.
然而,提供比特币金融服务的 OnrampBitcoin 公司的创始人杰西·迈尔斯 (Jesse Myers) 表示,最近的增长与减半后(将比特币每日生成量减半的行为)有关。随着这个数字的减少,挖矿的动力也会减少,从本质上强化了代币的稀缺程度。
This is intended to counter broader inflation trends and is part of the coin's design to be used as an actual currency. There are only 21 million total Bitcoins that can be mined, and with nearly 20 million of them already discovered, post-halving prevents the world from reaching the collective number faster.
这是为了对抗更广泛的通货膨胀趋势,也是硬币设计的一部分,旨在用作实际货币。可供开采的比特币总数只有 2100 万个,而且其中近 2000 万个已经被发现,减半后使世界无法更快地达到总数量。
Speculative trading on this coin in particular contributes to the astronomical figures we typically see the coin fetch, as those hoarding the coin see its value rise and potential entrants to the market are deterred from doing so.
这种硬币的投机交易尤其会导致我们通常看到的硬币价格达到天文数字,因为那些囤积硬币的人会看到它的价值上涨,而潜在的市场进入者会因此而不敢这样做。
Crucially, this post-halving event occurs every four years, and each time, Bitcoin has experienced a sudden spike a few months after post-halving. While Trump's victory appears to have sparked a surge, that surge has only reached its peak due to the coin's continuous scarcity.
至关重要的是,这种减半事件每四年发生一次,每次比特币都会在减半后几个月经历突然飙升。虽然特朗普的胜利似乎引发了比特币的飙升,但由于代币的持续稀缺,这种飙升才达到顶峰。
Post-halving also occurred in April 2020, when the coin experienced its sharpest percentage spike since its inception. As a result, regardless of who wins the 2028 presidential election, it is likely to follow suit.
减半后也发生在 2020 年 4 月,当时代币经历了自诞生以来最大幅度的百分比飙升。因此,无论谁赢得2028年总统选举,都很可能会效仿。
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