随着 ETF 资金流出激增，比特币价格下跌

在美国上市的比特币 ETF 资金流出增加的情况下，比特币价格从 6.4 万美元跌至 6.2 万美元，每日净流出 2.17 亿美元。分析师预测，如果比特币突破 6.33 万美元的支撑位，看跌持续，可能会将其跌至 5.9 万美元。比特币ETF价格与流入量之间的相关性已经减弱，过去24小时内清算额已达到6000万美元。

Bitcoin Price Declines Amidst Ongoing ETF Outflows

ETF 持续流出，比特币价格下跌

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a decline, falling from $64,000 to $62,900 at the time of writing. This downturn coincides with a significant net outflow of funds from US-listed Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

比特币 (BTC) 的价格经历了下跌，从撰写本文时的 64,000 美元跌至 62,900 美元。此次经济低迷恰逢美国上市的比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）资金大幅净流出。

Daily data indicates a net outflow of $217 million from these ETFs, contributing to a weekly total of $244.49 million in outflows. The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, the first of its kind in the US, has reported a $23 million withdrawal, marking its first such occurrence since January 11th. Grayscale, a leading cryptocurrency investment manager, has also witnessed an outflow of $417 million in the past week, extending its withdrawal streak to 72 days.

每日数据显示，这些 ETF 净流出 2.17 亿美元，每周总流出量为 2.4449 亿美元。美国首个此类基金 Fidelity Wise Origin 比特币基金报告称，已撤资 2300 万美元，这是自 1 月 11 日以来首次出现此类情况。领先的加密货币投资管理公司 Grayscale 在过去一周也出现了 4.17 亿美元的资金流出，将其连续提款时间延长至 72 天。

The prevailing US inflation data has been cited as a potential factor influencing these outflows, as it suggests rising borrowing costs and improving Treasury yields, which can negatively impact speculative assets such as cryptocurrencies.

美国现行通胀数据被认为是影响资金外流的潜在因素，因为它表明借贷成本上升和国债收益率提高，这可能对加密货币等投机资产产生负面影响。

Noelle Acheson, author of the Crypto "Is Macro Now" newsletter, has commented on the situation, stating that "we can expect BTC to take a breather as long as the macro mood continues to support higher yields."

加密货币《Is Macro Now》时事通讯的作者诺埃尔·艾奇逊 (Noelle Acheson) 对这种情况发表了评论，她表示，“只要宏观情绪继续支持更高的收益率，我们就可以预期 BTC 会喘口气。”

JPMorgan has noted a weakening correlation between Bitcoin ETF prices and inflows amidst these prolonged outflows. In January, the correlation stood at around 0.84, but has since declined to 0.60. Analyst Ken Worthington interprets a reading above 0.70 as indicating a strong correlation, while a value just below that level represents a "moderately correlated" relationship.

摩根大通注意到，在长期资金外流的情况下，比特币 ETF 价格与资金流入之间的相关性正在减弱。 1 月份，相关性约为 0.84，但此后已降至 0.60。分析师 Ken Worthington 将读数高于 0.70 解释为表明存在很强的相关性，而略低于该水平的值则表示“中度相关”关系。

In the last 24 hours, liquidations have reached $60 million, with BTC accounting for $13.48 million. Of this amount, $6.17 million in longs and $7 million in shorts were liquidated.

过去24小时内，清算额已达6000万美元，其中BTC清算额为1348万美元。其中，617 万美元的多头和 700 万美元的空头被清算。

Despite market volatility, analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. RektCapital, a popular cryptocurrency analyst, predicts another potential downturn within the next two weeks, comparing the current correction to a similar pullback experienced in 2016. RektCapital suggests that Bitcoin typically undergoes two corrective waves: one before and one after a halving event.

尽管市场波动，分析师仍对比特币的长期前景持谨慎乐观态度。受欢迎的加密货币分析师 RektCapital 预测，未来两周内可能会出现另一次潜在的低迷，并将当前的调整与 2016 年经历的类似回调进行比较。RektCapital 表示，比特币通常会经历两次调整浪潮：一波在减半事件之前，一波在减半事件之后。

Ali Martinez, another analyst, has observed sell signals on BTC's 12-hour chart. He expects Bitcoin to fall to $61,000 or even $59,000 if it breaks below $63,300.

另一位分析师 Ali Martinez 在 BTC 12 小时图表上观察到了卖出信号。他预计，如果比特币跌破 63,300 美元，比特币将跌至 61,000 美元，甚至 59,000 美元。

Despite these short-term fluctuations, analysts anticipate Bitcoin to maintain support above $60,000 for the next two weeks, staying above the post-halving danger zone until next month.

尽管存在这些短期波动，分析师预计比特币将在未来两周内维持在 60,000 美元上方的支撑位，并在下个月之前保持在减半后的危险区域之上。