隨著 ETF 資金流出激增，比特幣價格下跌

在美國上市的比特幣 ETF 資金流出增加的情況下，比特幣價格從 6.4 萬美元跌至 6.2 萬美元，每日淨流出 2.17 億美元。分析師預測，如果比特幣突破 6.33 萬美元的支撐位，看跌持續，可能會將其跌至 59,000 美元。比特幣ETF價格與流入量之間的相關性已經減弱，過去24小時內清算額已達6,000萬美元。

Bitcoin Price Declines Amidst Ongoing ETF Outflows

ETF 持續流出，比特幣價格下跌

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a decline, falling from $64,000 to $62,900 at the time of writing. This downturn coincides with a significant net outflow of funds from US-listed Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

比特幣 (BTC) 的價格經歷了下跌，從撰寫本文時的 64,000 美元跌至 62,900 美元。此次經濟低迷恰逢美國上市的比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）資金大幅淨流出。

Daily data indicates a net outflow of $217 million from these ETFs, contributing to a weekly total of $244.49 million in outflows. The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, the first of its kind in the US, has reported a $23 million withdrawal, marking its first such occurrence since January 11th. Grayscale, a leading cryptocurrency investment manager, has also witnessed an outflow of $417 million in the past week, extending its withdrawal streak to 72 days.

每日數據顯示，這些 ETF 淨流出 2.17 億美元，每週總流出量為 2.4449 億美元。美國首個此類基金 Fidelity Wise Origin 比特幣基金報告稱，已撤資 2,300 萬美元，這是自 1 月 11 日以來首次出現此類情況。領先的加密貨幣投資管理公司 Grayscale 在過去一周也出現了 4.17 億美元的資金流出，將其連續提款時間延長至 72 天。

The prevailing US inflation data has been cited as a potential factor influencing these outflows, as it suggests rising borrowing costs and improving Treasury yields, which can negatively impact speculative assets such as cryptocurrencies.

美國現行通膨數據被認為是影響資金外流的潛在因素，因為它顯示借貸成本上升和國債殖利率提高，這可能對加密貨幣等投機資產產生負面影響。

Noelle Acheson, author of the Crypto "Is Macro Now" newsletter, has commented on the situation, stating that "we can expect BTC to take a breather as long as the macro mood continues to support higher yields."

加密貨幣《Is Macro Now》時事通訊的作者諾埃爾·艾奇遜(Noelle Acheson) 對這種情況發表了評論，她表示，「只要宏觀情緒繼續支持更高的收益率，我們就可以預期BTC會喘口氣。

JPMorgan has noted a weakening correlation between Bitcoin ETF prices and inflows amidst these prolonged outflows. In January, the correlation stood at around 0.84, but has since declined to 0.60. Analyst Ken Worthington interprets a reading above 0.70 as indicating a strong correlation, while a value just below that level represents a "moderately correlated" relationship.

摩根大通注意到，在長期資金外流的情況下，比特幣 ETF 價格與資金流入之間的相關性正在減弱。 1 月份，相關性約為 0.84，但此後已降至 0.60。分析師 Ken Worthington 將讀數高於 0.70 解釋為表明存在很強的相關性，而略低於該水平的值則表示「中度相關」關係。

In the last 24 hours, liquidations have reached $60 million, with BTC accounting for $13.48 million. Of this amount, $6.17 million in longs and $7 million in shorts were liquidated.

過去24小時內，清算額已達6,000萬美元，其中BTC清算額為1,348萬美元。其中，617 萬美元的多頭和 700 萬美元的空頭被清算。

Despite market volatility, analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. RektCapital, a popular cryptocurrency analyst, predicts another potential downturn within the next two weeks, comparing the current correction to a similar pullback experienced in 2016. RektCapital suggests that Bitcoin typically undergoes two corrective waves: one before and one after a halving event.

儘管市場波動，分析師仍對比特幣的長期前景持謹慎樂觀態度。受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師RektCapital 預測，未來兩週內可能會出現另一次潛在的低迷，並將當前的調整與2016 年經歷的類似回調進行比較。 ：一波在減半事件之前，一波在減半事件之後。

Ali Martinez, another analyst, has observed sell signals on BTC's 12-hour chart. He expects Bitcoin to fall to $61,000 or even $59,000 if it breaks below $63,300.

另一位分析師 Ali Martinez 在 BTC 12 小時圖表上觀察到了賣出訊號。他預計，如果比特幣跌破 63,300 美元，比特幣將跌至 61,000 美元，甚至 59,000 美元。

Despite these short-term fluctuations, analysts anticipate Bitcoin to maintain support above $60,000 for the next two weeks, staying above the post-halving danger zone until next month.

儘管存在這些短期波動，分析師預計比特幣將在未來兩週內維持在 60,000 美元上方的支撐位，並在下個月之前保持在減半後的危險區域之上。