今日比特币价格：围绕关键政策决策的预期推动数字货币走高，比特币价格上涨至 10 万美元以上

1 月 15 日星期三，比特币价格从近期跌破 90,000 美元的跌势中反弹至 100,000 美元以上，原因是人们对重大政策决定的预期

Bitcoin price rallied above $100,000 on Wednesday, recovering from its recent drop below $90,000 as anticipation surrounding key policy decisions propped up the digital currency.

由于围绕关键政策决定的预期支撑了数字货币，比特币价格周三升至 10 万美元以上，从近期跌破 9 万美元的跌势中恢复过来。

The world’s largest digital currency by market value briefly topped $100,700 around 3:30 p.m. EST, according to Coinbase data from TradingView.

根据 TradingView 的 Coinbase 数据，全球市值最大的数字货币在美国东部时间下午 3:30 左右短暂突破 100,700 美元。

After rising to this local high, the cryptocurrency fell back, dropping to roughly $99,500 within the next few hours, additional Coinbase data from TradingView shows.

TradingView 的额外 Coinbase 数据显示，在升至局部高点后，加密货币回落，在接下来的几个小时内跌至约 99,500 美元。

However, the digital asset then resumed its roller-coaster ride, surging to nearly $100,900 around 7 p.m. EST. At this point, it had climbed more than 14% since falling to nearly $89,000 on Monday.

然而，该数字资产随后又恢复了过山车般的走势，在美国东部时间晚上 7 点左右飙升至近 100,900 美元。自周一跌至近 89,000 美元以来，目前已上涨逾 14%。

When providing explanations for what fueled these latest gains, analysts highlighted a handful of developments that could result in bullish policy.

在解释推动这些最新涨幅的原因时，分析师强调了一些可能导致看涨政策的事态发展。

For starters, several market observers pointed to the recent inflation reports, saying that the results they conveyed could cause Federal Reserve officials to take a less hawkish approach.

首先，一些市场观察人士指出了最近的通胀报告，称这些报告所传达的结果可能会导致美联储官员采取不那么强硬的态度。

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision to hike the target range for the benchmark federal funds rate by over 500 points in less than two years generated significant visibility as it placed strong, upward pressure on borrowing costs.

联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 决定在不到两年的时间里将基准联邦基金利率的目标区间提高超过 500 点，这给借贷成本带来了强劲的上行压力，这一决定引起了人们的广泛关注。

In addition to the aforementioned government reports, and their potential impact on monetary policy, some analysts highlighted President-Elect Donald Trump’s upcoming inauguration, describing it as likely benefiting the world’s most prominent digital currency.

除了上述政府报告及其对货币政策的潜在影响外，一些分析师还强调了当选总统唐纳德·特朗普即将就职，称其可能有利于世界上最著名的数字货币。

Brett Sifling, a wealth manager for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, spoke to the first potential cause, saying via emailed commentary that “It seems that the Bitcoin rally today was sparked by the CPI report today.”

格柏川崎财富与投资管理公司 (Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management) 的财富经理 Brett Sifling 谈到了第一个潜在原因，他通过电子邮件评论表示，“看来今天的比特币上涨是由今天的 CPI 报告引发的。”

He was referring to the Labor Department announcement revealing that in December, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers increased at an annualized rate of 0.4%.

他指的是劳工部公告显示，12月份，所有城市消费者的消费价格指数年率上涨0.4%。

“With this surprisingly solid inflation information today, I’d assume that market participants are more willing to take on risk in hopes that the report translates to a more lenient fed,” he explained.

“鉴于今天令人惊讶的可靠通胀信息，我认为市场参与者更愿意承担风险，希望该报告能转化为更加宽松的美联储，”他解释道。

“However, this theory is conflicting with the strong jobs report that was recently released. Investors are balancing both reports in hopes that interest rate hikes are on pause in 2025,” Sifling added.

“然而，这一理论与最近发布的强劲就业报告相矛盾。投资者正在权衡这两份报告，希望在 2025 年暂停加息。”Sifling 补充道。

Greg Magadini, director of derivatives for digital asset data provider Amberdata, also mentioned these government reports in emailed commentary.

数字资产数据提供商 Amberdata 衍生品总监 Greg Magadini 在电子邮件评论中也提到了这些政府报告。

“The big drag on the US risk-assets and Bitcoin, has been the monetary environment since December’s FOMC meeting,” he noted.

“自 12 月 FOMC 会议以来，货币环境一直是美国风险资产和比特币的一大拖累，”他指出。

“Yesterday we had the Core PPI coming in at +.1% (versus a +.3% median forecast) and the Core CPI today at +.2% (vs +.3 median), despite non-core CPI coming hot due to oil prices,” Magadini continued.

“昨天我们的核心 PPI 为 +.1%（预测中值为 +.3%），今天核心 CPI 为 +.2%（预测中值为 +.3%），尽管非核心 CPI 因过热而变得炙手可热。石油价格，”马加迪尼继续说道。

“Together, this was really bullish as the inflationary environment looked less dire this week. Combine this macro outlook with Monday’s inauguration, which promised to be bullish for the crypto industry, markets have rallied back to the Bitcoin $100k level,” he stated.

“总的来说，这确实是看涨的，因为本周通胀环境看起来不那么可怕。将这一宏观前景与周一的就职典礼相结合，市场已经反弹至比特币 10 万美元的水平，这有望对加密行业有利。”

“This price level has been a magnet for option buyers and remains the biggest source of dealer inventory concentration on Deribit,” said Magadini, highlighting activity in the derivatives markets.

“这个价格水平一直吸引着期权买家，并且仍然是 Deribit 交易商库存集中的最大来源，”Magadini 强调了衍生品市场的活动。

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and SOL.

披露：我拥有一些比特币、比特币现金、莱特币、以太币、EOS 和 SOL。