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加密貨幣新聞文章

今日比特幣價格:圍繞關鍵政策決策的預期推動數位貨幣走高,比特幣價格上漲至 10 萬美元以上

2025/01/16 09:22

1 月 15 日星期三,比特幣價格從近期跌破 90,000 美元的跌勢中反彈至 100,000 美元以上,因為人們對重大政策決定的預期

今日比特幣價格:圍繞關鍵政策決策的預期推動數位貨幣走高,比特幣價格上漲至 10 萬美元以上

Bitcoin price rallied above $100,000 on Wednesday, recovering from its recent drop below $90,000 as anticipation surrounding key policy decisions propped up the digital currency.

由於圍繞關鍵政策決定的預期支撐了數位貨幣,比特幣價格週三升至 10 萬美元以上,從近期跌破 9 萬美元的跌勢中恢復過來。

The world’s largest digital currency by market value briefly topped $100,700 around 3:30 p.m. EST, according to Coinbase data from TradingView.

根據 TradingView 的 Coinbase 數據,全球市值最大的數位貨幣在美國東部時間下午 3:30 左右短暫突破 100,700 美元。

After rising to this local high, the cryptocurrency fell back, dropping to roughly $99,500 within the next few hours, additional Coinbase data from TradingView shows.

TradingView 的額外 Coinbase 數據顯示,在升至局部高點後,加密貨幣回落,在接下來的幾個小時內跌至約 99,500 美元。

However, the digital asset then resumed its roller-coaster ride, surging to nearly $100,900 around 7 p.m. EST. At this point, it had climbed more than 14% since falling to nearly $89,000 on Monday.

然而,該數位資產隨後又恢復了過山車般的走勢,在美國東部時間晚上 7 點左右飆升至近 100,900 美元。自周一跌至近 89,000 美元以來,目前已上漲逾 14%。

When providing explanations for what fueled these latest gains, analysts highlighted a handful of developments that could result in bullish policy.

在解釋推動這些最新漲幅的原因時,分析師強調了一些可能導致看漲政策的發展。

For starters, several market observers pointed to the recent inflation reports, saying that the results they conveyed could cause Federal Reserve officials to take a less hawkish approach.

首先,一些市場觀察人士指出了最近的通膨報告,稱這些報告所傳達的結果可能會導緻聯準會官員採取不那麼強硬的態度。

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision to hike the target range for the benchmark federal funds rate by over 500 points in less than two years generated significant visibility as it placed strong, upward pressure on borrowing costs.

聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC) 決定在不到兩年的時間內將基準聯邦基金利率的目標區間提高超過500 點,這給借貸成本帶來了強勁的上行壓力,這一決定引起了人們的廣泛關注。

In addition to the aforementioned government reports, and their potential impact on monetary policy, some analysts highlighted President-Elect Donald Trump’s upcoming inauguration, describing it as likely benefiting the world’s most prominent digital currency.

除了上述政府報告及其對貨幣政策的潛在影響外,一些分析師還強調了當選總統唐納德·川普即將就職,稱其可能有利於世界上最著名的數位貨幣。

Brett Sifling, a wealth manager for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, spoke to the first potential cause, saying via emailed commentary that “It seems that the Bitcoin rally today was sparked by the CPI report today.”

格柏川崎財富與投資管理公司(Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management) 的財富經理Brett Sifling 談到了第一個潛在原因,他透過電子郵件評論表示,「看來今天的比特幣上漲是由今天的CPI 報告引發的。

He was referring to the Labor Department announcement revealing that in December, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers increased at an annualized rate of 0.4%.

他指的是勞工部公告顯示,12月份,所有城市消費者的消費物價指數年率上漲0.4%。

“With this surprisingly solid inflation information today, I’d assume that market participants are more willing to take on risk in hopes that the report translates to a more lenient fed,” he explained.

「鑑於今天令人驚訝的可靠通膨信息,我認為市場參與者更願意承擔風險,希望該報告能轉化為更加寬鬆的美聯儲,」他解釋道。

“However, this theory is conflicting with the strong jobs report that was recently released. Investors are balancing both reports in hopes that interest rate hikes are on pause in 2025,” Sifling added.

「然而,這一理論與最近發布的強勁就業報告相矛盾。投資者正在權衡這兩份報告,希望在 2025 年暫停升息。

Greg Magadini, director of derivatives for digital asset data provider Amberdata, also mentioned these government reports in emailed commentary.

數位資產資料提供者 Amberdata 衍生性商品總監 Greg Magadini 在電子郵件評論中也提到了這些政府報告。

“The big drag on the US risk-assets and Bitcoin, has been the monetary environment since December’s FOMC meeting,” he noted.

「自 12 月 FOMC 會議以來,貨幣環境一直是美國風險資產和比特幣的一大拖累,」他指出。

“Yesterday we had the Core PPI coming in at +.1% (versus a +.3% median forecast) and the Core CPI today at +.2% (vs +.3 median), despite non-core CPI coming hot due to oil prices,” Magadini continued.

「昨天我們的核心PPI 為+.1%(預測中位數為+.3%),今天核心CPI 為+.2%(預測中位數為+.3%),儘管非核心CPI 因過熱而變得炙手可熱。

“Together, this was really bullish as the inflationary environment looked less dire this week. Combine this macro outlook with Monday’s inauguration, which promised to be bullish for the crypto industry, markets have rallied back to the Bitcoin $100k level,” he stated.

「總的來說,這確實是看漲的,因為本週通膨環境看起來不那麼可怕。將這一宏觀前景與週一的就職典禮相結合,市場已經反彈至比特幣 10 萬美元的水平,這有望對加密行業有利。

“This price level has been a magnet for option buyers and remains the biggest source of dealer inventory concentration on Deribit,” said Magadini, highlighting activity in the derivatives markets.

「這個價格水準一直吸引著選擇權買家,並且仍然是 Deribit 交易商庫存集中的最大來源,」Magadini 強調了衍生性商品市場的活動。

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and SOL.

揭露:我擁有一些比特幣、比特幣現金、萊特幣、以太幣、EOS 和 SOL。

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