比特币价格分析：随着美联储发出打击通胀信号，BTC 跌破 9.5 万美元，ETH 预计到 2025 年 12 月将达到 1.2 万美元

周三，在美联储表示在唐纳德·特朗普政府领导下抑制通胀将面临挑战后，比特币暴跌至 95000 美元以下。

Bitcoin dropped below $95,000 on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve stated that it would be challenging to tame inflation under Donald Trump’s administration. Still, a slight advantage for the bulls is that Bitcoin spot ETFs processed over $52 million worth of inflows that day, signaling that investor sentiment around digital assets remained positive.

由于美联储表示在唐纳德·特朗普政府领导下抑制通胀将具有挑战性，比特币周三跌破 95,000 美元。尽管如此，多头的一个轻微优势是比特币现货 ETF 当天处理了价值超过 5200 万美元的资金流入，这表明投资者对数字资产的情绪仍然乐观。

Meanwhile, BitMex founder Arthur Hayes anticipates investors will pour more than $600 billion into the crypto markets during the first quarter. According to him, the new liquidity will counterbalance potential delays in establishing the promised pro-crypto policies.

与此同时，BitMex 创始人 Arthur Hayes 预计第一季度投资者将向加密货币市场投入超过 6000 亿美元。他表示，新的流动性将抵消建立承诺的支持加密货币政策的潜在延迟。

While most analysts are focusing on Bitcoin this year, several others are becoming bullish on Ethereum. Earlier this week, Head of Research at Derive, Sean Dawson, said the upcoming Ethereum Pectra upgrade and a regulatory-friendly environment in the United States could help ETH rally to $12,000 by December 2025.

虽然今年大多数分析师都关注比特币，但其他一些分析师也开始看好以太坊。本周早些时候，Derive 研究主管 Sean Dawson 表示，即将到来的以太坊 Pectra 升级和美国有利的监管环境可能会帮助 ETH 在 2025 年 12 月之前反弹至 12,000 美元。

So, which critical levels do we need to monitor if the prices of Bitcoin and other top currencies continue falling? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

那么，如果比特币和其他顶级货币的价格继续下跌，我们需要监控哪些关键水平？让我们分析一下图表来找出答案。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特币价格分析

Increased profit-booking above $100,000 triggered a downtrend on January 7th. As mentioned, selling continued the following day after the Fed released its statement, with Bitcoin dropping to $94,438.

1 月 7 日，利润预订增加至 100,000 美元以上引发了下跌趋势。如前所述，美联储发布声明后的第二天，抛售仍在继续，比特币跌至 94,438 美元。

The Relative Strength Index (41.23) suggests that the bulls are losing their ground. If they fail to act now, BTC could fall to $90,037 and later to the $85,138 support, where buying activity may intensify.

相对强弱指数（41.23）表明多头正在失去阵地。如果他们现在不采取行动，比特币可能会跌至 90,037 美元，然后跌至 85,138 美元的支撑位，此时购买活动可能会加剧。

If the bulls want to become dominant again, they must push Bitcoin above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $97,128. As such, the coin could rally above the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $97,792, reaching $100,207 in the process.

如果多头想要再次占据主导地位，他们必须将比特币推升至 20 日指数移动平均线 97,128 美元上方。因此，该代币可能会反弹至 97,792 美元的 50 天简单移动平均线上方，在此过程中达到 100,207 美元。

Ethereum Price Analysis

以太坊价格分析

ETH reversed and crossed below the $3,553.82 breakout level on January 7th. It then fell below the uptrend line on Wednesday, suggesting that the recent rally was likely a bull trap. If the second-biggest coin by market valuation keeps going down, we expect it to find solid support at $3,001.37. But if that level cracks, Ethereum could witness a price correction to $2,851.15.

1 月 7 日，ETH 反转并跌破 3,553.82 美元的突破位。随后周三跌破上升趋势线，表明近期的反弹可能是牛市陷阱。如果按市场估值计算的第二大代币继续下跌，我们预计它将在 3,001.37 美元处找到坚实的支撑。但如果该水平突破，以太坊的价格可能会调整至 2,851.15 美元。

On the upside, if the bulls trigger a recovery rally now and push ETH above the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $3,568, a surge to the $3,742 resistance and then to $4,090.31 could occur.

从好的方面来看，如果多头现在触发复苏反弹并将 ETH 推升至 3,568 美元的 50 日简单移动平均线上方，则可能会飙升至 3,742 美元阻力位，然后升至 4,090.31 美元。

XRP Price Analysis

XRP 价格分析

XRP has defied the marketwide downtrend, rising by 2.1% in the past 24 hours. If the buyers sustain it above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $2.27, they will boost the odds of a move to $2.72 and subsequently to $2.90. On the other hand, a plunge below $2.27 could lead to a downtrend toward the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $2.15. Even worse, XRP may descend to the $1.92 support if selling intensifies.

XRP 逆势上涨，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 2.1%。如果买家将其维持在 20 天指数移动平均线 2.27 美元之上，他们将提高价格升至 2.72 美元，随后升至 2.90 美元的可能性。另一方面，跌破 2.27 美元可能会导致跌向 2.15 美元的 50 日简单移动平均线。更糟糕的是，如果抛售加剧，XRP 可能会跌至 1.92 美元的支撑位。

BNB Price Analysis

BNB价格分析

The bears have dragged BNB below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $701.94 as of this writing. They will now try to pull the token to the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $687.28 and later to $632.83. However, if a solid move above $701.94 happens, we could see the Binance Coin growing to $793 after crossing a minor barrier at $744.

截至撰写本文时，空头已将 BNB 拖至 20 日指数移动平均线 701.94 美元以下。他们现在将尝试将代币拉至 50 天简单移动平均线 687.28 美元，然后拉至 632.83 美元。然而，如果币安币稳步突破 701.94 美元，我们可能会看到币安币在突破 744 美元的小关口后上涨至 793 美元。

Solana Price Analysis

Solana 价格分析

Prices above the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $216.82 have been challenging for buyers to maintain since the start of January. Increased selling activity has forced Solana to drop below $200, reaching $194.33 at press time. Further profit-booking could put the coin at risk of descending to $174.83 or even to $165.22. On the contrary, SOL could rally to $223 if the bulls overcome resistance at $204.52 and $216.82.

自 1 月初以来，买家一直难以维持 216.82 美元的 50 天简单移动平均线上方的价格。抛售活动的增加迫使 Solana 跌破 200 美元，截至发稿时达到 194.33 美元。进一步的获利盘可能会使代币面临跌至 174.83 美元甚至 165.22 美元的风险。相反，如果多头克服 204.52 美元和 216.82 美元的阻力，SOL 可能会反弹至 223 美元。

Dogecoin Price Analysis

狗狗币价格分析

Although onchain lookers have reported increased Dogecoin accumulation in the past few days, the meme coin has yet to post a significant rally. It is down 2.4% to $0.3369 in the past 24 hours. We now watch out for the price action at the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $0.3572. If this vital

尽管链上观察者报告过去几天狗狗币的积累有所增加，但模因币尚未出现大幅上涨。过去 24 小时内下跌 2.4% 至 0.3369 美元。我们现在关注 20 天指数移动平均线 0.3572 美元的价格走势。如果这至关重要