比特幣價格分析：隨著聯準會發出打擊通膨訊號，BTC 跌破 9.5 萬美元，ETH 預計到 2025 年 12 月將達到 1.2 萬美元

週三，在美聯儲表示在唐納德·川普政府領導下抑制通膨將面臨挑戰後，比特幣暴跌至 95,000 美元以下。

Bitcoin dropped below $95,000 on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve stated that it would be challenging to tame inflation under Donald Trump’s administration. Still, a slight advantage for the bulls is that Bitcoin spot ETFs processed over $52 million worth of inflows that day, signaling that investor sentiment around digital assets remained positive.

由於聯準會表示在唐納德川普政府領導下抑制通膨將具有挑戰性，比特幣週三跌破 95,000 美元。儘管如此，多頭的一個輕微優勢是比特幣現貨 ETF 當天處理了價值超過 5,200 萬美元的資金流入，這表明投資者對數位資產的情緒仍然樂觀。

Meanwhile, BitMex founder Arthur Hayes anticipates investors will pour more than $600 billion into the crypto markets during the first quarter. According to him, the new liquidity will counterbalance potential delays in establishing the promised pro-crypto policies.

同時，BitMex 創辦人 Arthur Hayes 預計第一季投資者將向加密貨幣市場投入超過 6,000 億美元。他表示，新的流動性將抵消建立承諾的支持加密貨幣政策的潛在延遲。

While most analysts are focusing on Bitcoin this year, several others are becoming bullish on Ethereum. Earlier this week, Head of Research at Derive, Sean Dawson, said the upcoming Ethereum Pectra upgrade and a regulatory-friendly environment in the United States could help ETH rally to $12,000 by December 2025.

雖然今年大多數分析師都關注比特幣，但其他一些分析師也開始看好以太幣。本週早些時候，Derive 研究主管 Sean Dawson 表示，即將到來的以太坊 Pectra 升級和美國有利的監管環境可能會幫助 ETH 在 2025 年 12 月之前反彈至 12,000 美元。

So, which critical levels do we need to monitor if the prices of Bitcoin and other top currencies continue falling? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

那麼，如果比特幣和其他頂級貨幣的價格繼續下跌，我們需要監控哪些關鍵水準？讓我們分析一下圖表來找出答案。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特幣價格分析

Increased profit-booking above $100,000 triggered a downtrend on January 7th. As mentioned, selling continued the following day after the Fed released its statement, with Bitcoin dropping to $94,438.

1 月 7 日，利潤預訂增加至 10 萬美元以上引發了下跌趨勢。如前所述，聯準會發布聲明後的第二天，拋售仍在繼續，比特幣跌至 94,438 美元。

The Relative Strength Index (41.23) suggests that the bulls are losing their ground. If they fail to act now, BTC could fall to $90,037 and later to the $85,138 support, where buying activity may intensify.

相對強度指數（41.23）顯示多頭正在失去陣地。如果他們現在不採取行動，比特幣可能會跌至 90,037 美元，然後跌至 85,138 美元的支撐位，此時購買活動可能會加劇。

If the bulls want to become dominant again, they must push Bitcoin above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $97,128. As such, the coin could rally above the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $97,792, reaching $100,207 in the process.

如果多頭想要再次佔據主導地位，他們必須將比特幣推升至 20 日指數移動平均線 97,128 美元上方。因此，該代幣可能會反彈至 97,792 美元的 50 天簡單移動平均線上方，在此過程中達到 100,207 美元。

Ethereum Price Analysis

以太坊價格分析

ETH reversed and crossed below the $3,553.82 breakout level on January 7th. It then fell below the uptrend line on Wednesday, suggesting that the recent rally was likely a bull trap. If the second-biggest coin by market valuation keeps going down, we expect it to find solid support at $3,001.37. But if that level cracks, Ethereum could witness a price correction to $2,851.15.

1 月 7 日，ETH 反轉並跌破 3,553.82 美元的突破位。隨後週三跌破上升趨勢線，顯示近期的反彈可能是多頭陷阱。如果以市場估值計算的第二大代幣繼續下跌，我們預計它將在 3,001.37 美元處找到堅實的支撐。但如果該水準突破，以太幣的價格可能會調整至 2,851.15 美元。

On the upside, if the bulls trigger a recovery rally now and push ETH above the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $3,568, a surge to the $3,742 resistance and then to $4,090.31 could occur.

從好的方面來看，如果多頭現在觸發復甦反彈並將 ETH 推升至 3,568 美元的 50 日簡單移動平均線上方，則可能會飆升至 3,742 美元阻力位，然後升至 4,090.31 美元。

XRP Price Analysis

XRP 價格分析

XRP has defied the marketwide downtrend, rising by 2.1% in the past 24 hours. If the buyers sustain it above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $2.27, they will boost the odds of a move to $2.72 and subsequently to $2.90. On the other hand, a plunge below $2.27 could lead to a downtrend toward the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $2.15. Even worse, XRP may descend to the $1.92 support if selling intensifies.

XRP 逆勢上漲，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 2.1%。如果買家將其維持在 20 天指數移動平均線 2.27 美元之上，他們將提高價格升至 2.72 美元，隨後升至 2.90 美元的可能性。另一方面，跌破 2.27 美元可能會導致跌向 2.15 美元的 50 日簡單移動平均線。更糟的是，如果拋售加劇，XRP 可能會跌至 1.92 美元的支撐位。

BNB Price Analysis

BNB價格分析

The bears have dragged BNB below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $701.94 as of this writing. They will now try to pull the token to the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $687.28 and later to $632.83. However, if a solid move above $701.94 happens, we could see the Binance Coin growing to $793 after crossing a minor barrier at $744.

截至撰寫本文時，空頭已將 BNB 拖至 20 日指數移動平均線 701.94 美元以下。他們現在將嘗試將代幣拉至 50 天簡單移動平均線 687.28 美元，然後拉至 632.83 美元。然而，如果幣安幣穩步突破 701.94 美元，我們可能會看到幣安幣在突破 744 美元的小關口後上漲至 793 美元。

Solana Price Analysis

Solana 價格分析

Prices above the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $216.82 have been challenging for buyers to maintain since the start of January. Increased selling activity has forced Solana to drop below $200, reaching $194.33 at press time. Further profit-booking could put the coin at risk of descending to $174.83 or even to $165.22. On the contrary, SOL could rally to $223 if the bulls overcome resistance at $204.52 and $216.82.

自 1 月初以來，買家很難維持高於 216.82 美元的 50 天簡單移動平均線價格。拋售活動的增加迫使 Solana 跌破 200 美元，截至發稿時達到 194.33 美元。進一步的獲利盤可能會使代幣面臨跌至 174.83 美元甚至 165.22 美元的風險。相反，如果多頭克服 204.52 美元和 216.82 美元的阻力，SOL 可能會反彈至 223 美元。

Dogecoin Price Analysis

狗狗幣價格分析

Although onchain lookers have reported increased Dogecoin accumulation in the past few days, the meme coin has yet to post a significant rally. It is down 2.4% to $0.3369 in the past 24 hours. We now watch out for the price action at the 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $0.3572. If this vital

儘管鏈上觀察者報告過去幾天狗狗幣的累積有所增加，但迷因幣尚未大幅上漲。過去 24 小時內下跌 2.4% 至 0.3369 美元。我們現在關注 20 天指數移動平均線 0.3572 美元的價格走勢。如果這至關重要