比特币在看涨信号中暴跌：分析和复苏见解

4 月 12 日至 13 日，比特币暴跌，导致价值 25 亿美元的清算。尽管跌破 50 日移动平均线，但 BTC 的价格尚未跌破关键的 60,000 美元支撑位，这表明可能出现缓解性反弹。该分析根据图表检查了可能引领复苏的前 5 种加密货币（Binance Coin、Toncoin、VeChain 和 Bitget Token）。 BNB 可能会上涨至 635 美元，而 TON 的目标是突破 7.50 美元。 VET 在 0.036 美元支撑位附近面临着成败的局面，而 BGB 则希望夺回 20 日均线。总体而言，交易者应保持谨慎，但应监控这些加密货币以寻找潜在机会。

Bitcoin's Plunge: Insights into the Market Dynamics and Recovery Prospects

比特币暴跌：洞察市场动态和复苏前景

In a dramatic turn of events, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a sharp decline on April 12 and 13, with Bitcoin (BTC) taking the brunt of the sell-off. The fall resulted in roughly $2.5 billion worth of cryptocurrency liquidations, with a significant proportion being in long positions, indicating that traders were caught off guard by the sudden downturn. The plunge has dealt a severe blow to short-term leveraged long positions that had anticipated the rally to continue leading up to and after the upcoming Bitcoin halving, an event where the issuance of new bitcoins is halved.

事态发生了戏剧性的转变，加密货币市场在 4 月 12 日至 13 日大幅下跌，比特币 (BTC) 首当其冲。此次下跌导致价值约 25 亿美元的加密货币清算，其中很大一部分是多头头寸，这表明交易员对突然的低迷感到措手不及。这次暴跌对短期杠杆多头头寸造成了严重打击，这些多头头寸预计在即将到来的比特币减半之前和之后将继续上涨，减半是新比特币发行量减半的事件。

The fall in Bitcoin's price has had a significant impact on the altcoin market, with some of the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization experiencing losses of approximately 20%. This has led to an increase in Bitcoin's market cap dominance to 56.3% on April 12, marking its highest level in three years.

比特币价格的下跌对山寨币市场产生了重大影响，市值排名前 20 的加密货币中的一些遭受了约 20% 的损失。这导致 4 月 12 日比特币的市值主导地位上升至 56.3%，创下三年来的最高水平。

While Bitcoin's decline has undoubtedly rattled short-term traders, a positive sign emerged as the price managed to hold above the crucial support level of $60,000. This suggests that the recent fall may be a normal pullback within a bullish market phase. Traders should remain cautious, but there appears to be no cause for panic at this stage.

尽管比特币的下跌无疑令短期交易者感到不安，但随着价格成功守住 60,000 美元的关键支撑位，出现了一个积极的迹象。这表明近期的下跌可能是牛市阶段的正常回调。交易者应保持谨慎，但现阶段似乎没有理由恐慌。

To gain a deeper understanding of the market dynamics and potential recovery prospects, let's delve into the technical analysis of Bitcoin and four promising cryptocurrencies that exhibit bullish characteristics on the charts: Binance Coin (BNB), Toncoin (TON), VeChain (VET), and Bitget Token (BGB).

为了更深入地了解市场动态和潜在复苏前景，让我们深入研究比特币和四种在图表上表现出看涨特征的有前景的加密货币：币安币 (BNB)、通币 (TON)、唯链 (VET)、和 Bitget 代币（BGB）。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range between $60,775 and $73,777 for an extended period, reflecting indecision among traders about the next directional move.

比特币长期以来一直在 60,775 美元至 73,777 美元之间的窄幅区间内交易，反映出交易者对下一步走势犹豫不决。

The BTC/USDT pair briefly dipped below the 50-day simple moving average ($66,743) on April 13 but subsequently found support at $60,775, as indicated by the long tail on the candlestick.

BTC/USDT 货币对在 4 月 13 日短暂跌破 50 日简单移动平均线（66,743 美元），但随后在 60,775 美元处找到支撑，如烛台上的长尾所示。

Any potential recovery attempt may face resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average ($67,807). If the price declines from this level, bears will likely make further attempts to push the pair below the $60,775 support. Alternatively, a breakout above the 20-day EMA would clear the path for a rally towards $73,777.

任何潜在的复苏尝试都可能面临 20 天指数移动平均线（67,807 美元）的阻力。如果价格从该水平下跌，空头可能会进一步尝试将该货币对推低至 60,775 美元的支撑位以下。或者，突破 20 日均线将为反弹至 73,777 美元扫清道路。

On the 4-hour chart, the downsloping 20-EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) below 50 indicate that bears remain in control. A relief rally may encounter resistance at the 20-EMA. Should the price turn down sharply from this level, bears may target the $60,775 support once more. A break below this level could trigger a downward movement towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

4小时图上，向下倾斜的20-EMA和相对强弱指数（RSI）低于50表明空头仍处于控制之中。缓解反弹可能会在 20 日均线遇到阻力。如果价格从该水平大幅下跌，空头可能会再次瞄准 60,775 美元的支撑位。跌破该水平可能会引发跌向 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元的下行走势。

On the other hand, a rise above the 20-EMA would signal a potential shift back to price oscillations between $60,775 and $73,777. Bulls would need to drive the price above $73,777 to initiate the next leg of the uptrend, potentially targeting $80,000 and $84,000.

另一方面，升破 20 EMA 将预示着价格可能会回到 60,775 美元至 73,777 美元之间波动。多头需要将价格推至 73,777 美元以上才能启动下一阶段的上升趋势，目标可能是 80,000 美元和 84,000 美元。

Binance Coin Price Analysis

币安币价格分析

Binance Coin (BNB) has been trading within a wide range in recent days, suggesting indecision between buyers and sellers.

币安币（BNB）最近几天一直在宽幅波动，这表明买家和卖家之间犹豫不决。

On April 13, the BNB/USDT pair approached the lower boundary of the range at $495, but strong buying emerged, as evidenced by the long tail on the candlestick. Bulls are attempting to regain momentum and push the pair towards the overhead resistance at $635, where sellers are likely to mount a defense.

4 月 13 日，BNB/USDT 货币对接近区间下限 495 美元，但出现了强劲买盘，烛台上的长尾就证明了这一点。多头正试图重获动力，并将该货币对推向上方阻力位 635 美元，卖家可能会在此进行防御。

Critical support levels to watch on the downside are $495 and $460. A breakdown below these levels could initiate a downtrend towards $400.

下行方面值得关注的关键支撑位是 495 美元和 460 美元。跌破这些水平可能会引发跌向 400 美元的下跌趋势。

The 4-hour chart reveals that bears managed to briefly pull the price below the uptrend line of an ascending triangle pattern, invalidating the bullish setup. The subsequent bounce back suggests significant buying support at lower levels. The recovery may face resistance at the uptrend line.

4 小时图显示，空头设法将价格短暂拉至上升三角形形态的上升趋势线以下，从而使看涨格局失效。随后的反弹表明较低水平存在重大买盘支撑。复苏可能面临上升趋势线的阻力。

A sharp reversal from the uptrend line would indicate that bears have established resistance at this level, potentially leading to a drop towards $495. Conversely, a rise above the uptrend line would open the doors for a potential surge to $600 and $635.

上升趋势线的急剧反转将表明空头已在该水平建立阻力，可能导致价格跌向 495 美元。相反，升破上升趋势线将为潜在飙升至 600 美元和 635 美元打开大门。

Toncoin Price Analysis

Toncoin 价格分析

Toncoin (TON) has been trending within an ascending channel pattern, signifying ongoing buying activity at lower levels.

Toncoin (TON) 一直呈上升通道模式趋势，表明较低水平的持续购买活动。

On April 12 and 13, bears pushed the price below the channel, but the long tails on the candlesticks indicate strong buying near the support line. This suggests that buyers are eager to defend this level. If the price continues to rebound and breaks above the moving averages, it may extend the range-bound movement for a few more days.

4 月 12 日和 13 日，空头将价格推低至通道下方，但烛台上的长尾表明支撑线附近存在强劲买盘。这表明买家渴望捍卫这一水平。如果价格继续反弹并突破移动平均线，则可能会延续几天的区间波动。

A breakdown below the support line at $4.95 could trigger a decline towards the 50-day SMA ($4.28).

跌破 4.95 美元的支撑线可能会引发跌向 50 日移动平均线（4.28 美元）的下跌。

On the 4-hour chart, a potential rally may encounter resistance at the 20-EMA and the downtrend line. A sharp reversal from these levels, coupled with a break below $5.71, could push the pair down to $5.

4小时图上，潜在的反弹可能会在20日均线和下降趋势线处遇到阻力。如果从这些水平急剧反转，再加上跌破 5.71 美元，可能会将该货币对推低至 5 美元。

Alternatively, a breakout above the downtrend line would suggest the correction may be over. The pair could then aim for the overhead resistance at $7.67.

或者，突破下降趋势线则表明调整可能结束。然后该货币对可能瞄准上方阻力位 7.67 美元。

VeChain Price Analysis

唯链价格分析

VeChain (VET) has been consolidating within a broad range between $0.036 and $0.051 for several days, indicating a balance of power between buyers and sellers.

唯链（VET）连续几天在 0.036 美元至 0.051 美元之间的宽幅区间内盘整，表明买家和卖家之间的力量平衡。

Traders often engage in buying at the lower boundary of the range and selling near the upper boundary. The long lower tail on the April 13 candlestick indicates that bulls are attempting to defend the $0.036 support. A sustained rise above the moving averages would signal a potential extension of the range-bound movement.

交易者经常在该区间的下限买入并在上限附近卖出。 4 月 13 日烛台上的长下尾表明多头正试图捍卫 0.036 美元的支撑位。持续上涨至移动平均线之上将预示着区间波动可能会扩大。

However, a sharp decline below $0.035 would suggest that bears are gaining control, potentially initiating a downtrend towards the significant support level at $0.025.

然而，如果大幅跌破 0.035 美元，则表明空头正在获得控制权，可能会引发跌向 0.025 美元重要支撑位的下跌趋势。

The 4-hour chart shows a downward-sloping 20-EMA and an RSI below 50, reflecting bearish sentiment. A decline from the current level or the 20-EMA could result in another attempt by bears to push the pair below $0.036. Success in this endeavor may trigger a new downtrend.

4小时图显示20日均线向下倾斜，RSI低于50，反映出看跌情绪。若从当前水平或 20 均线下跌，空头可能会再次尝试将该货币对推至 0.036 美元以下。这一努力的成功可能会引发新的下跌趋势。

Conversely, a rise above the 20-EMA would indicate strong demand at lower levels, potentially keeping the pair range-bound between $0.036 and $0.051 for an extended period.

相反，升破 20 均线将表明较低水平的强劲需求，可能使该货币对长期在 0.036 美元至 0.051 美元之间波动。

Bitget Token Price Analysis

Bitget 代币价格分析

Bitget Token (BGB) has undergone a retracement within a strong uptrend, suggesting profit-taking by short-term traders.

Bitget Token（BGB）在强劲的上升趋势中出现回调，表明短期交易者获利了结。

On April 13, bears managed to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($1.17), but they are facing resistance in their efforts to sink the BGB/USDT pair to the 50-day SMA ($1.02). This indicates ongoing buying support at these levels.

4 月 13 日，空头成功将价格拉低至 20 日均线（1.17 美元）以下，但他们在将 BGB/USDT 货币对跌至 50 日均线（1.02 美元）的努力中遇到阻力。这表明在这些水平上持续存在买盘支撑。

If bulls succeed in pushing the price back above the 20-day EMA, it may trap overly aggressive bears. The pair could then attempt to rally towards the overhead resistance at $1.38. A subsequent decline from this level may lead to consolidation between the 20-day EMA and $1.38.

如果多头成功将价格推回到 20 日均线上方，则可能会陷入过度激进的空头。然后，该货币对可能会尝试反弹至上方阻力位 1.38 美元。随后从该水平下跌可能会导致 20 日均线和 1.38 美元之间盘整。

The 4-hour chart reveals that the pair has dipped below the $1.20 to $1.38 range, signaling a potential downward move. The downsloping 20-EMA and the RSI below 50 suggest the bears have the upper hand.

4 小时图显示，该货币对已跌破 1.20 美元至 1.38 美元区间，预示着潜在的下行走势。下降的 20-EMA 和 RSI 低于 50 表明空头占据上风。

A drop below $1.11 could extend the decline towards $1. A breakout above the 20-EMA would invalidate this bearish scenario and clear the way for a potential rally to $1.28 and $1.35.

跌破 1.11 美元可能会将跌幅扩大至 1 美元。突破 20 均线将使这种看跌情景失效，并为潜在反弹至 1.28 美元和 1.35 美元扫清道路。

It's crucial to emphasize that this article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading decisions involve risk, and individuals should conduct their own research before making any financial commitments.

需要强调的是，本文不提供投资建议或推荐。所有投资和交易决策都涉及风险，个人在做出任何财务承诺之前应进行自己的研究。