比特幣在看漲訊號中暴跌：分析和復甦見解

4 月 12 日至 13 日，比特幣暴跌，導致價值 25 億美元的清算。儘管跌破 50 日移動平均線，但 BTC 的價格尚未跌破關鍵的 60,000 美元支撐位，這表明可能出現緩解性反彈。該分析根據圖表檢查了可能引領復甦的前 5 種加密貨幣（Binance Coin、Toncoin、VeChain 和 Bitget Token）。 BNB 可能會上漲至 635 美元，而 TON 的目標是突破 7.50 美元。 VET 在 0.036 美元支撐位附近面臨成敗的局面，而 BGB 則希望奪回 20 日均線。總體而言，交易者應保持謹慎，但應監控這些加密貨幣以尋找潛在機會。

Bitcoin's Plunge: Insights into the Market Dynamics and Recovery Prospects

比特幣暴跌：洞察市場動態與復甦前景

In a dramatic turn of events, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a sharp decline on April 12 and 13, with Bitcoin (BTC) taking the brunt of the sell-off. The fall resulted in roughly $2.5 billion worth of cryptocurrency liquidations, with a significant proportion being in long positions, indicating that traders were caught off guard by the sudden downturn. The plunge has dealt a severe blow to short-term leveraged long positions that had anticipated the rally to continue leading up to and after the upcoming Bitcoin halving, an event where the issuance of new bitcoins is halved.

事態發生了戲劇性的轉變，加密貨幣市場在 4 月 12 日至 13 日大幅下跌，比特幣 (BTC) 首當其衝。這次下跌導致價值約 25 億美元的加密貨幣清算，其中很大一部分是多頭頭寸，這表明交易員對突然的低迷感到措手不及。這次暴跌對短期槓桿多頭頭寸造成了嚴重打擊，這些多頭頭寸預計在即將到來的比特幣減半之前和之後將繼續上漲，減半是新比特幣發行量減半的事件。

The fall in Bitcoin's price has had a significant impact on the altcoin market, with some of the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization experiencing losses of approximately 20%. This has led to an increase in Bitcoin's market cap dominance to 56.3% on April 12, marking its highest level in three years.

比特幣價格的下跌對山寨幣市場產生了重大影響，市值排名前 20 的加密貨幣中的一些遭受了約 20% 的損失。這導致 4 月 12 日比特幣的市值主導地位上升至 56.3%，創下三年來的最高水準。

While Bitcoin's decline has undoubtedly rattled short-term traders, a positive sign emerged as the price managed to hold above the crucial support level of $60,000. This suggests that the recent fall may be a normal pullback within a bullish market phase. Traders should remain cautious, but there appears to be no cause for panic at this stage.

儘管比特幣的下跌無疑令短期交易者感到不安，但隨著價格成功守住 6 萬美元的關鍵支撐位，出現了一個積極的跡象。這表明近期的下跌可能是牛市階段的正常回調。交易者應保持謹慎，但現階段似乎沒有理由恐慌。

To gain a deeper understanding of the market dynamics and potential recovery prospects, let's delve into the technical analysis of Bitcoin and four promising cryptocurrencies that exhibit bullish characteristics on the charts: Binance Coin (BNB), Toncoin (TON), VeChain (VET), and Bitget Token (BGB).

為了更深入了解市場動態和潛在復甦前景，讓我們深入研究比特幣和四種在圖表上表現出看漲特徵的有前景的加密貨幣：幣安幣(BNB)、通幣(TON)、唯鏈(VET)、和 Bitget 代幣（BGB）。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特幣價格分析

Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range between $60,775 and $73,777 for an extended period, reflecting indecision among traders about the next directional move.

比特幣長期以來一直在 60,775 美元至 73,777 美元之間的窄幅區間內交易，反映出交易者對下一步走勢猶豫不決。

The BTC/USDT pair briefly dipped below the 50-day simple moving average ($66,743) on April 13 but subsequently found support at $60,775, as indicated by the long tail on the candlestick.

BTC/USDT 貨幣對在 4 月 13 日短暫跌破 50 日簡單移動平均線（66,743 美元），但隨後在 60,775 美元處找到支撐，如燭台上的長尾所示。

Any potential recovery attempt may face resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average ($67,807). If the price declines from this level, bears will likely make further attempts to push the pair below the $60,775 support. Alternatively, a breakout above the 20-day EMA would clear the path for a rally towards $73,777.

任何潛在的復甦嘗試都可能面臨 20 天指數移動平均線（67,807 美元）的阻力。如果價格從該水平下跌，空頭可能會進一步嘗試將該貨幣對推低至 60,775 美元的支撐位以下。或者，突破 20 日均線將為反彈至 73,777 美元掃清道路。

On the 4-hour chart, the downsloping 20-EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) below 50 indicate that bears remain in control. A relief rally may encounter resistance at the 20-EMA. Should the price turn down sharply from this level, bears may target the $60,775 support once more. A break below this level could trigger a downward movement towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

4小時圖上，向下傾斜的20-EMA和相對強弱指數（RSI）低於50表示空頭仍處於控制之中。緩解反彈可能會在 20 日均線遇到阻力。如果價格從該水準大幅下跌，空頭可能會再次瞄準 60,775 美元的支撐位。跌破該水準可能會引發跌向 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位 54,298 美元的下行走勢。

On the other hand, a rise above the 20-EMA would signal a potential shift back to price oscillations between $60,775 and $73,777. Bulls would need to drive the price above $73,777 to initiate the next leg of the uptrend, potentially targeting $80,000 and $84,000.

另一方面，升破 20 EMA 將預示著價格可能會回到 60,775 美元至 73,777 美元之間波動。多頭需要將價格推至 73,777 美元以上才能啟動下一階段的上升趨勢，目標可能是 80,000 美元和 84,000 美元。

Binance Coin Price Analysis

幣安幣價格分析

Binance Coin (BNB) has been trading within a wide range in recent days, suggesting indecision between buyers and sellers.

幣安幣（BNB）最近幾天一直在寬幅波動，這表明買家和賣家之間猶豫不決。

On April 13, the BNB/USDT pair approached the lower boundary of the range at $495, but strong buying emerged, as evidenced by the long tail on the candlestick. Bulls are attempting to regain momentum and push the pair towards the overhead resistance at $635, where sellers are likely to mount a defense.

4 月 13 日，BNB/USDT 貨幣對接近區間下限 495 美元，但出現了強勁買盤，燭台上的長尾就證明了這一點。多頭正試圖重獲動力，並將該貨幣對推向上方阻力位 635 美元，賣家可能會在此進行防禦。

Critical support levels to watch on the downside are $495 and $460. A breakdown below these levels could initiate a downtrend towards $400.

下檔方面值得關注的關鍵支撐位是 495 美元和 460 美元。跌破這些水準可能會引發跌向 400 美元的下跌趨勢。

The 4-hour chart reveals that bears managed to briefly pull the price below the uptrend line of an ascending triangle pattern, invalidating the bullish setup. The subsequent bounce back suggests significant buying support at lower levels. The recovery may face resistance at the uptrend line.

4 小時圖顯示，空頭設法將價格短暫拉至上升三角形形態的上升趨勢線以下，使看漲格局失效。隨後的反彈顯示較低水準有重大買盤支撐。復甦可能面臨上升趨勢線的阻力。

A sharp reversal from the uptrend line would indicate that bears have established resistance at this level, potentially leading to a drop towards $495. Conversely, a rise above the uptrend line would open the doors for a potential surge to $600 and $635.

上升趨勢線的急劇反轉將表明空頭已在該水平建立阻力，可能導致價格跌向 495 美元。相反，升破上升趨勢線將為潛在飆升至 600 美元和 635 美元打開大門。

Toncoin Price Analysis

Toncoin 價格分析

Toncoin (TON) has been trending within an ascending channel pattern, signifying ongoing buying activity at lower levels.

Toncoin (TON) 一直呈上升通道模式趨勢，顯示較低的持續購買活動。

On April 12 and 13, bears pushed the price below the channel, but the long tails on the candlesticks indicate strong buying near the support line. This suggests that buyers are eager to defend this level. If the price continues to rebound and breaks above the moving averages, it may extend the range-bound movement for a few more days.

4 月 12 日和 13 日，空頭將價格推低至通道下方，但燭台上的長尾顯示支撐線附近有強勁買盤。這表明買家渴望捍衛這一水平。如果價格持續反彈並突破移動平均線，則可能會延續幾天的區間波動。

A breakdown below the support line at $4.95 could trigger a decline towards the 50-day SMA ($4.28).

跌破 4.95 美元的支撐線可能會引發跌向 50 日移動平均線（4.28 美元）的下跌。

On the 4-hour chart, a potential rally may encounter resistance at the 20-EMA and the downtrend line. A sharp reversal from these levels, coupled with a break below $5.71, could push the pair down to $5.

4小時圖上，潛在的反彈可能會在20日均線和下降趨勢線處遇到阻力。如果從這些水平急劇反轉，再加上跌破 5.71 美元，可能會將該貨幣對推低至 5 美元。

Alternatively, a breakout above the downtrend line would suggest the correction may be over. The pair could then aim for the overhead resistance at $7.67.

或者，突破下降趨勢線則表示調整可能結束。然後該貨幣對可能瞄準上方阻力位 7.67 美元。

VeChain Price Analysis

唯鏈價格分析

VeChain (VET) has been consolidating within a broad range between $0.036 and $0.051 for several days, indicating a balance of power between buyers and sellers.

唯鏈（VET）連續幾天在 0.036 美元至 0.051 美元之間的寬幅區間內盤整，表明買家和賣家之間的力量平衡。

Traders often engage in buying at the lower boundary of the range and selling near the upper boundary. The long lower tail on the April 13 candlestick indicates that bulls are attempting to defend the $0.036 support. A sustained rise above the moving averages would signal a potential extension of the range-bound movement.

交易者經常在該區間的下限買入並在上限附近賣出。 4 月 13 日燭台上的長下尾表明多頭正試圖捍衛 0.036 美元的支撐位。持續上漲至移動平均線之上將預示著區間波動可能會擴大。

However, a sharp decline below $0.035 would suggest that bears are gaining control, potentially initiating a downtrend towards the significant support level at $0.025.

然而，如果大幅跌破 0.035 美元，則表明空頭正在獲得控制權，可能會引發跌向 0.025 美元重要支撐位的下跌趨勢。

The 4-hour chart shows a downward-sloping 20-EMA and an RSI below 50, reflecting bearish sentiment. A decline from the current level or the 20-EMA could result in another attempt by bears to push the pair below $0.036. Success in this endeavor may trigger a new downtrend.

4小時圖顯示20日均線向下傾斜，RSI低於50，反映出看跌情緒。若從目前水準或 20 均線下跌，空頭可能會再次嘗試將該貨幣對推至 0.036 美元以下。這項努力的成功可能會引發新的下跌趨勢。

Conversely, a rise above the 20-EMA would indicate strong demand at lower levels, potentially keeping the pair range-bound between $0.036 and $0.051 for an extended period.

相反，升破 20 均線將顯示較低的強勁需求，可能使該貨幣對長期在 0.036 美元至 0.051 美元之間波動。

Bitget Token Price Analysis

Bitget 代幣價格分析

Bitget Token (BGB) has undergone a retracement within a strong uptrend, suggesting profit-taking by short-term traders.

Bitget Token（BGB）在強勁的上升趨勢中出現回調，顯示短期交易者獲利了結。

On April 13, bears managed to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($1.17), but they are facing resistance in their efforts to sink the BGB/USDT pair to the 50-day SMA ($1.02). This indicates ongoing buying support at these levels.

4 月 13 日，空頭成功將價格拉低至 20 日均線（1.17 美元）以下，但他們在將 BGB/USDT 貨幣對跌至 50 日均線（1.02 美元）的努力中遇到阻力。這表明在這些水平上持續存在買盤支撐。

If bulls succeed in pushing the price back above the 20-day EMA, it may trap overly aggressive bears. The pair could then attempt to rally towards the overhead resistance at $1.38. A subsequent decline from this level may lead to consolidation between the 20-day EMA and $1.38.

如果多頭成功將價格推回 20 日均線上方，則可能會陷入過度激進的空頭。然後，該貨幣對可能會嘗試反彈至上方阻力位 1.38 美元。隨後從該水平下跌可能會導致 20 日均線和 1.38 美元之間盤整。

The 4-hour chart reveals that the pair has dipped below the $1.20 to $1.38 range, signaling a potential downward move. The downsloping 20-EMA and the RSI below 50 suggest the bears have the upper hand.

4 小時圖顯示，該貨幣對已跌破 1.20 美元至 1.38 美元區間，預示著潛在的下行走勢。下降的 20-EMA 和 RSI 低於 50 表示空頭佔上風。

A drop below $1.11 could extend the decline towards $1. A breakout above the 20-EMA would invalidate this bearish scenario and clear the way for a potential rally to $1.28 and $1.35.

跌破 1.11 美元可能會將跌幅擴大至 1 美元。突破 20 均線將使這種看跌情景失效，並為潛在反彈至 1.28 美元和 1.35 美元掃清道路。

It's crucial to emphasize that this article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading decisions involve risk, and individuals should conduct their own research before making any financial commitments.

需要強調的是，本文不提供投資建議或推薦。所有投資和交易決策都涉及風險，個人在做出任何財務承諾之前應進行自己的研究。