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比特币再次出现在新闻中,不是为了崩溃或泵送月球,而是因为它显示了奇怪的韧性
Bitcoin (BTC) has again been making headlines, but not necessarily for its usual price crashes or parabolic pumps to the moon. Instead, it’s drawing attention for some strange resilience in the face of acute market turmoil.
比特币(BTC)再次成为头条新闻,但不一定是因为它通常的价格崩溃或月球上的抛物线泵。取而代之的是,面对急性市场动荡,它引起了人们的注意,以获得一些奇怪的韧性。
As the large trade tariffs imposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump sent shocks through global markets, one interesting observation has been how Bitcoin didn’t roll over in the face of doom and gloom with the broader market sell-off.
由于美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)对全球市场施加了震惊的巨额贸易关税,因此一个有趣的观察结果是,面对厄运和忧郁,比特币在更广泛的市场抛售之下没有消失。
Instead, as discussed previously, Bitcoin “held” in there and bounced back, running counter to its typical correlation with traditional risk assets. It rebounded early this week after an early dip, breaking away from its usual correlation with stocks.
取而代之的是,如前所述,比特币在其中“持有”并反弹,与其与传统风险资产的典型相关性背道而驰。它在早期下降后本周初反弹,摆脱了与股票的通常相关性。
While the so-called Magnificent 7 tech giants are bleeding and several U.S. state unemployment claims continue to rise unexpectedly, Bitcoin is quietly carving out its own path—and catching the attention of both investors and big-name institutions.
尽管所谓的宏伟的7个科技巨头正在流血,而且美国几个州的失业索赔仍在出乎意料的意外增长,但比特币正在悄悄地雕刻自己的道路,并引起了投资者和大型机构的关注。
From Speculation to Safe Haven? Bitcoin’s Narrative Evolves
从猜测到避风港?比特币的叙述不断发展
For years, Bitcoin was often brushed off as a speculative asset, largely used for trading and pivoting quickly in response to market trends. However, amid growing market turmoil, there’s a shift in how Bitcoin is being viewed.
多年来,比特币经常被作为投机性资产而被淘汰,在很大程度上用于交易和迅速旋转以响应市场趋势。但是,在不断增长的市场动荡之中,比特币的观看方式发生了变化。
Recently, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called it an emerging “store of value,” comparing it to gold, and BlackRock (NYSE:BLK)’s CEO went so far as to say Bitcoin might be a “safer bet” than the U.S. dollar right now. With gold already up 15% this year as uncertainty rises, Bitcoin’s behavior this week is reinforcing its potential as a hedge.
最近,财政部长Scott Bessent称其为新兴的“价值存储”,将其与黄金进行了比较,而BlackRock(NYSE:BLK)的首席执行官甚至说,比特币可能比现在的美元“更安全的赌注”。随着不确定性的增加,今年黄金已经上涨了15%,本周比特币的行为正在增强其作为树篱的潜力。
As markets panic and capital rotates out of stocks, more eyes are turning to Bitcoin—not just as a risky asset, but as a real alternative during economic turbulence.
随着市场恐慌和资本从股票中旋转,越来越多的眼睛转向比特币,而不是风险的资产,而是经济动荡期间的真正替代品。
Is Bitcoin Signaling a Strategic Entry Point?
比特币信号是战略入口点吗?
Analysts are also starting to notice a familiar pattern: just like in March 2020, Bitcoin seems to be holding its ground better than equities. It hasn’t made a new low since March 11, and that’s fueling talk of a possible bottom.
分析师也开始注意到一种熟悉的模式:就像2020年3月一样,比特币似乎比股票更好。自3月11日以来,它一直没有新的低点,这激发了人们对可能的底部的讨论。
Of course, if stocks keep sliding, Bitcoin could feel some pressure too. But its resilience so far is noteworthy. With sentiment shifting and the macro backdrop changing fast, this could be a key moment for long-term investors.
当然,如果库存不断滑动,比特币也会感到压力。但是到目前为止,它的韧性值得注意。随着情感变化和宏观背景的变化,这可能是长期投资者的关键时刻。
Let’s break down the charts and see what Bitcoin’s price action is really telling us.
让我们分解图表,看看比特币的价格动作真正告诉我们。
BTC Price Action Analysis
BTC价格行动分析
The 5-minute chart displays a short-term bullish structure with the price of bitcoin moving within a clearly defined ascending channel. But just below the $85,000 mark, the price encountered significant resistance, which led to a dramatic intraday fall.
5分钟图表显示了短期看涨结构,比特币在明确定义的上升渠道内移动。但略低于85,000美元的大关,价格遇到了明显的阻力,这导致了剧烈的盘中跌落。
Bitcoin found support close to the $82,000 zone, which corresponds to a previously tested support level, after this decline forced it toward the channel’s lower border. During the reversal, the RSI made a series of dips into oversold conditions. This confirmed the reversal while the sellers ran out of steam on the short-term.
比特币发现,接近$ 82,000的区域的支持与先前测试的支持水平相对应,此后下降将其迫使其朝向频道的较低边界。在逆转期间,RSI陷入了一系列倾斜的状态。这证实了逆转,而卖方在短期内用完了蒸汽。
After the price made the bounce attempt to continue the rally higher, but failed to regain the previous high, indicating the buyers were running out of steam.Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 5th, 2025
在价格进行反弹之后,试图继续进行集会,但未能重新获得前面的高点,这表明买家已经用完了Steam.Chart 1,由Alokkp0608分析,于2025年4月5日发布
The mixed feeling is supported by momentum indicators. Since then, the RSI has leveled out at 41, staying in the neutral zone and showing signs of consolidation. In the meantime, the MACD has displayed several death and golden crosses, indicating regular short-term trend changes. The fact that the most recent crossover that was evident was a death cross suggests that bearish pressure might still be present.
混合的感觉得到了动量指标的支持。从那以后,RSI升高到41处,留在中立区并显示合并的迹象。同时,MACD显示了几个死亡和金十字架,表明常规的短期趋势变化。最近明显的跨越是死亡十字架的事实表明,看跌压力仍然存在。
Between the important resistance zone and the rising support line, the price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating. This implies that bulls are still active but cautious, and a distinct breakout from this area would probably be necessary for any new rise.
在重要的阻力区和上升的支撑线之间,比特币的价格目前正在巩固。这意味着公牛仍然很活跃,但谨慎,这对于任何新的崛起都是必要的。
Conclusion: BTC Caught in Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Macro Uncertainty
结论:BTC陷入公牛与宏观不确定性之间的拔河比赛中
Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $82K despite widespread market turmoil, panic selling, and falling bond yields underscores its evolving role as a store of value—now even recognized by the U.S. Treasury. Institutional sentiment is shifting, and BTC’s growing divergence from equities signals a new level of maturity in how it’s being perceived and positioned by investors.
尽管市场动荡,恐慌销售和债券下跌,比特币能够持有超过82万美元的能力,但它突显了其作为价值存储的不断发展的作用,甚至被美国财政部所认可。机构的情绪正在发生变化,而BTC与股票的差异越来越多,这表明投资者如何看待和定位它的新成熟水平。
Still, technical signals indicate the market is at a crossroads: the bullish perspective is bolstered by an ascending channel, but momentum has faded, and the recently printed MACD death cross suggests caution. BTC might enter a period of consolidation until it either breaks above $85k or catches a move below this support.
尽管如此,技术信号仍表明市场处于十字路口:看涨的观点受到升天频道的支持,但动力已经消失,而最近印刷的MACD Death Cross表示谨慎。 BTC可能会进入一个合并期,直到它折断超过$ 85K或抓住此支持以下。
Traders should closely monitor BTC at both of these levels for a potential swing in price, as Bitcoin will remain a pawn (in the game) of macro factors and the market more broadly.
交易者应在这两个级别上密切监视BTC的潜在价格上涨,因为比特币将仍然是宏观因素和市场更广泛的典当。
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