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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣再次出現在新聞中,不是因為墜毀或泵送月球

2025/04/06 14:30

比特幣再次出現在新聞中,不是為了崩潰或泵送月球,而是因為它顯示了奇怪的韌性

比特幣再次出現在新聞中,不是因為墜毀或泵送月球

Bitcoin (BTC) has again been making headlines, but not necessarily for its usual price crashes or parabolic pumps to the moon. Instead, it’s drawing attention for some strange resilience in the face of acute market turmoil.

比特幣(BTC)再次成為頭條新聞,但不一定是因為它通常的價格崩潰或月球上的拋物線泵。取而代之的是,面對急性市場動盪,它引起了人們的注意,以獲得一些奇怪的韌性。

As the large trade tariffs imposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump sent shocks through global markets, one interesting observation has been how Bitcoin didn’t roll over in the face of doom and gloom with the broader market sell-off.

由於美國前總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)對全球市場施加了震驚的巨額貿易關稅,因此一個有趣的觀察結果是,面對厄運和憂鬱,比特幣在更廣泛的市場拋售之下沒有消失。

Instead, as discussed previously, Bitcoin “held” in there and bounced back, running counter to its typical correlation with traditional risk assets. It rebounded early this week after an early dip, breaking away from its usual correlation with stocks.

取而代之的是,如前所述,比特幣在其中“持有”並反彈,與其與傳統風險資產的典型相關性背道而馳。它在早期下降後本周初反彈,擺脫了與股票的通常相關性。

While the so-called Magnificent 7 tech giants are bleeding and several U.S. state unemployment claims continue to rise unexpectedly, Bitcoin is quietly carving out its own path—and catching the attention of both investors and big-name institutions.

儘管所謂的宏偉的7個科技巨頭正在流血,而且美國幾個州的失業索賠仍在出乎意料的意外增長,但比特幣正在悄悄地雕刻自己的道路,並引起了投資者和大型機構的關注。

From Speculation to Safe Haven? Bitcoin’s Narrative Evolves

從猜測到避風港?比特幣的敘述不斷發展

For years, Bitcoin was often brushed off as a speculative asset, largely used for trading and pivoting quickly in response to market trends. However, amid growing market turmoil, there’s a shift in how Bitcoin is being viewed.

多年來,比特幣經常被作為投機性資產而被淘汰,在很大程度上用於交易和迅速旋轉以響應市場趨勢。但是,在不斷增長的市場動蕩之中,比特幣的觀看方式發生了變化。

Recently, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called it an emerging “store of value,” comparing it to gold, and BlackRock (NYSE:BLK)’s CEO went so far as to say Bitcoin might be a “safer bet” than the U.S. dollar right now. With gold already up 15% this year as uncertainty rises, Bitcoin’s behavior this week is reinforcing its potential as a hedge.

最近,財政部長Scott Bessent稱其為新興的“價值存儲”,將其與黃金進行了比較,而BlackRock(NYSE:BLK)的首席執行官甚至說,比特幣可能比現在的美元“更安全的賭注”。隨著不確定性的增加,今年黃金已經上漲了15%,本週比特幣的行為正在增強其作為樹籬的潛力。

As markets panic and capital rotates out of stocks, more eyes are turning to Bitcoin—not just as a risky asset, but as a real alternative during economic turbulence.

隨著市場恐慌和資本從股票中旋轉,越來越多的眼睛轉向比特幣,而不是風險的資產,而是經濟動盪期間的真正替代品。

Is Bitcoin Signaling a Strategic Entry Point?

比特幣信號是戰略入口點嗎?

Analysts are also starting to notice a familiar pattern: just like in March 2020, Bitcoin seems to be holding its ground better than equities. It hasn’t made a new low since March 11, and that’s fueling talk of a possible bottom.

分析師也開始注意到一種熟悉的模式:就像2020年3月一樣,比特幣似乎比股票更好。自3月11日以來,它一直沒有新的低點,這激發了人們對可能的底部的討論。

Of course, if stocks keep sliding, Bitcoin could feel some pressure too. But its resilience so far is noteworthy. With sentiment shifting and the macro backdrop changing fast, this could be a key moment for long-term investors.

當然,如果庫存不斷滑動,比特幣也會感到壓力。但是到目前為止,它的韌性值得注意。隨著情感變化和宏觀背景的變化,這可能是長期投資者的關鍵時刻。

Let’s break down the charts and see what Bitcoin’s price action is really telling us.

讓我們分解圖表,看看比特幣的價格動作真正告訴我們。

BTC Price Action Analysis

BTC價格行動分析

The 5-minute chart displays a short-term bullish structure with the price of bitcoin moving within a clearly defined ascending channel. But just below the $85,000 mark, the price encountered significant resistance, which led to a dramatic intraday fall.

5分鐘圖表顯示了短期看漲結構,比特幣在明確定義的上升渠道內移動。但略低於85,000美元的大關,價格遇到了明顯的阻力,這導致了劇烈的盤中跌落。

Bitcoin found support close to the $82,000 zone, which corresponds to a previously tested support level, after this decline forced it toward the channel’s lower border. During the reversal, the RSI made a series of dips into oversold conditions. This confirmed the reversal while the sellers ran out of steam on the short-term.

比特幣發現,接近$ 82,000的區域的支持與先前測試的支持水平相對應,此後下降將其迫使其朝向頻道的較低邊界。在逆轉期間,RSI陷入了一系列傾斜的狀態。這證實了逆轉,而賣方在短期內用完了蒸汽。

After the price made the bounce attempt to continue the rally higher, but failed to regain the previous high, indicating the buyers were running out of steam.Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 5th, 2025

在價格進行反彈之後,試圖繼續進行集會,但未能重新獲得前面的高點,這表明買家已經用完了Steam.Chart 1,由Alokkp0608分析,於2025年4月5日發布

The mixed feeling is supported by momentum indicators. Since then, the RSI has leveled out at 41, staying in the neutral zone and showing signs of consolidation. In the meantime, the MACD has displayed several death and golden crosses, indicating regular short-term trend changes. The fact that the most recent crossover that was evident was a death cross suggests that bearish pressure might still be present.

混合的感覺得到了動量指標的支持。從那以後,RSI升高到41處,留在中立區並顯示合併的跡象。同時,MACD顯示了幾個死亡和金十字架,表明常規的短期趨勢變化。最近明顯的跨越是死亡十字架的事實表明,看跌壓力仍然存在。

Between the important resistance zone and the rising support line, the price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating. This implies that bulls are still active but cautious, and a distinct breakout from this area would probably be necessary for any new rise.

在重要的阻力區和上升的支撐線之間,比特幣的價格目前正在鞏固。這意味著公牛仍然很活躍,但謹慎,這對於任何新的崛起都是必要的。

Conclusion: BTC Caught in Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Macro Uncertainty

結論:BTC陷入公牛與宏觀不確定性之間的拔河比賽中

Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $82K despite widespread market turmoil, panic selling, and falling bond yields underscores its evolving role as a store of value—now even recognized by the U.S. Treasury. Institutional sentiment is shifting, and BTC’s growing divergence from equities signals a new level of maturity in how it’s being perceived and positioned by investors.

儘管市場動盪,恐慌銷售和債券下跌,比特幣能夠持有超過82萬美元的能力,但它突顯了其作為價值存儲的不斷發展的作用,甚至被美國財政部所認可。機構的情緒正在發生變化,而BTC與股票的差異越來越多,這表明投資者如何看待和定位它的新成熟水平。

Still, technical signals indicate the market is at a crossroads: the bullish perspective is bolstered by an ascending channel, but momentum has faded, and the recently printed MACD death cross suggests caution. BTC might enter a period of consolidation until it either breaks above $85k or catches a move below this support.

儘管如此,技術信號仍表明市場處於十字路口:看漲的觀點受到升天頻道的支持,但動力已經消失,而最近印刷的MACD Death Cross表示謹慎。 BTC可能會進入一個合併期,直到它折斷超過$ 85K或抓住此支持以下。

Traders should closely monitor BTC at both of these levels for a potential swing in price, as Bitcoin will remain a pawn (in the game) of macro factors and the market more broadly.

交易者應在這兩個級別上密切監視BTC的潛在價格上漲,因為比特幣將仍然是宏觀因素和市場更廣泛的典當。

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