比特币现在正在与传统金融市场同步

由于宏观经济不确定性的提高和全球紧张局势升级，比特币目前处于关键价格水平上。

Bitcoin price is currently critical amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating global tensions. After a period of volatility, BTC staged a notable rebound last week following an announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump declaring a 90-day pause on all tariffs except those targeting China.

由于宏观经济不确定性的提高和全球紧张局势升级，比特币价格目前是关键的。经过一段时间的波动之后，BTC在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布以外的所有关税宣布，除了针对中国的所有关税时，BTC上周取得了显着反弹。

The surprising policy shift brought a temporary sense of relief to financial markets, allowing crypto and equities to post short-term gains with broad macroeconomic worries being pushed aside for a brief moment. However, in the broader scheme of things, the environment remains unstable.

令人惊讶的政策转变给金融市场带来了暂时的救济感，使加密货币和股票能够发布短期收益，而宏观经济的忧虑将短暂地抛在一段时间内。但是，在更广泛的方案中，环境仍然不稳定。

New data from IntoTheBlock reveals that Bitcoin is now increasingly moving in sync with traditional financial markets (TradFi). Since Trump’s initial tariff headlines in March, the correlation between Bitcoin and major indices like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 has surged above 0.75. This strong correlation suggests that Bitcoin is currently behaving less like an uncorrelated hedge and more like a risk-on asset reacting to macro developments.

来自Intotheblock的新数据表明，比特币现在越来越多地与传统金融市场（TradFI）同步。自三月份特朗普最初的关税头条新闻以来，比特币与标准普尔500指数，道琼斯和罗素2000等主要指数之间的相关性飙升至0.75以上。这种强烈的相关性表明，比特币目前的行为不像不相关的树篱，而更像是对宏观发展反应的风险资产。

Bitcoin price is currently testing key resistance ahead of crucial macro catalysts. As the cryptocurrency juggernaut remains at a pivotal juncture, traders and analysts are closely monitoring both technical setups and broader market trends.

比特币的价格目前正在测试关键的宏观催化剂之前测试关键阻力。由于加密货币剑圣仍然处于关键点，交易者和分析师正在密切监视技术设置和更广泛的市场趋势。

Bitcoin Correlation With Traditional Markets Signals Macro Sensitivity

比特币与传统市场的相关性信号

Global tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty have been largely dictating Bitcoin’s price direction throughout 2023. But as inflation begins to ease and volatility shakes U.S. equity markets, many are anticipating the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

全球紧张局势和宏观经济的不确定性在很大程度上决定了整个2023年比特币的价格方向。但是，随着通货膨胀开始缓解和波动，许多人预计美联储将降低利率。

This move is seen as a crucial step in stabilizing the American economy, which could be pivotal for Bitcoin’s price in the long run. However, any decisive policy shift may still be several weeks away, and developments between the U.S. and China are unfolding rapidly, impacting markets in the short term.

这一举动被视为稳定美国经济的关键一步，从长远来看，这对于比特币的价格可能是关键的。但是，任何决定性的政策转变都可能还有几周的时间，美国和中国之间的发展正在迅速发展，在短期内影响了市场。

In this fragile environment, Bitcoin’s behavior is closely mirroring that of traditional financial markets. According to renowned analyst Maartunn, Bitcoin is now moving in close correlation with major indices.

在这个脆弱的环境中，比特币的行为紧密反映了传统金融市场的行为。根据著名分析师Maartunn的说法，比特币现在正在与主要指数密切相关。

Since Trump’s tariff announcements in March, the correlations between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 have surged above 0.75. This strong correlation suggests that traditional markets are largely leading the dance, and Bitcoin is reacting quickly to these trends.

自三月份特朗普的关税公告以来，比特币与标准普尔500指数，道琼斯和罗素2000之间的相关性飙升至0.75以上。这种强烈的相关性表明，传统市场在很大程度上是领先的舞蹈，而比特币对这些趋势的反应很快。

This increasing alignment means Bitcoin is currently behaving like a high-beta macro asset, reacting more to economic headlines and stock market volatility than crypto-native catalysts. While this dynamic highlights Bitcoin’s sensitivity to broader financial trends, it also opens the door for a significant move if macro conditions improve.

这种越来越多的一致性意味着比特币目前的行为就像是高β宏观资产，对经济标题和股票市场波动的反应比加密本地催化剂的反应更多。尽管这种动态强调了比特币对更广泛的财务趋势的敏感性，但如果宏观条件改善，它也为重大行动打开了大门。

Specifically, a positive development in the trade talks or an announcement of a forthcoming rate cut could propel Bitcoin on a steeper upward trajectory. Conversely, any setback in these domains could quickly reverse the recent gains and return Bitcoin to a bearish pattern.

具体而言，贸易谈判的积极发展或宣布即将到来的降低税率可能会推动比特币的向上轨迹。相反，这些域中的任何挫折都可以迅速扭转最近的收益并将比特币归还看跌模式。

Bitcoin Consolidates As Bulls Aim To Reclaim Momentum

比特币巩固，因为公牛的目标是恢复动力

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,000 after days of consolidation within a wide range on the 4-hour chart. BTC has been holding above the $75,000 support but faces resistance just below the $89,000 zone. This rangebound movement highlights market indecision.

在4小时图表上的宽范围内合并几天后，比特币目前的交易价格为84,000美元。 BTC一直在持有75,000美元的支持以上，但面临着89,000美元以下的阻力。这种射程运动突出了市场的犹豫不决。

After a period of volatility, bulls are attempting to regain control as Bitcoin’s price shows signs of stabilization.

经过一段时间的波动，公牛试图重新获得控制，因为比特币的价格显示出稳定的迹象。

The crypto behemoth has now reclaimed the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA), which sits around $83,500—a key short-term technical indicator. The price is also testing the 4-hour exponential moving average (EMA) at $84,000.

Crypto Behemoth现在已经收回了4小时的200天移动平均线（MA），该平均值约为83,500美元，这是一个关键的短期技术指标。价格还将4小时指数式移动平均线（EMA）测试为84,000美元。

A clean break and close above these levels would confirm short-term bullish strength and could set the stage for a push toward $88,000 and possibly the $90,000 resistance level. However, the structure remains fragile.

干净的休息并超过这些水平将确认短期看涨的力量，并可能迈向$ 88,000，可能是90,000美元的阻力水平。但是，结构仍然脆弱。

If Bitcoin loses the $82,500 level, the bearish pressure could quickly intensify, potentially opening the door for a rapid drop below the $80,000 psychological threshold. This would invalidate the short-term recovery structure and likely trigger panic among over-leveraged positions.

如果比特币失去了82,500美元的水平，看跌压力可能会迅速加剧，有可能为低于80,000美元的心理阈值而迅速下降。这将使短期恢复结构无效，并可能引发过度杠杆率的恐慌。

All eyes are now on whether BTC can sustain its stance above key moving averages to build momentum—or whether sellers will regain dominance and push prices lower. The next move could be pivotal in determining the short to mid-term momentum of Bitcoin’s price trend.

现在，所有人的目光都集中在BTC是否可以维持其高于关键移动平均水平的立场，以建立动力，或者卖方是否会恢复优势并推动价格降低。下一步可能是确定比特币价格趋势的短期到中期势头的关键。