比特幣現在正在與傳統金融市場同步

由於宏觀經濟不確定性的提高和全球緊張局勢升級，比特幣目前處於關鍵價格水平上。

Bitcoin price is currently critical amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating global tensions. After a period of volatility, BTC staged a notable rebound last week following an announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump declaring a 90-day pause on all tariffs except those targeting China.

由於宏觀經濟不確定性的提高和全球緊張局勢升級，比特幣價格目前是關鍵的。經過一段時間的波動之後，BTC在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布以外的所有關稅宣布，除了針對中國的所有關稅時，BTC上週取得了顯著反彈。

The surprising policy shift brought a temporary sense of relief to financial markets, allowing crypto and equities to post short-term gains with broad macroeconomic worries being pushed aside for a brief moment. However, in the broader scheme of things, the environment remains unstable.

令人驚訝的政策轉變給金融市場帶來了暫時的救濟感，使加密貨幣和股票能夠發布短期收益，而宏觀經濟的憂慮將短暫地拋在一段時間內。但是，在更廣泛的方案中，環境仍然不穩定。

New data from IntoTheBlock reveals that Bitcoin is now increasingly moving in sync with traditional financial markets (TradFi). Since Trump’s initial tariff headlines in March, the correlation between Bitcoin and major indices like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 has surged above 0.75. This strong correlation suggests that Bitcoin is currently behaving less like an uncorrelated hedge and more like a risk-on asset reacting to macro developments.

來自Intotheblock的新數據表明，比特幣現在越來越多地與傳統金融市場（TradFI）同步。自三月份特朗普最初的關稅頭條新聞以來，比特幣與標準普爾500指數，道瓊斯和羅素2000等主要指數之間的相關性飆升至0.75以上。這種強烈的相關性表明，比特幣目前的行為不像不相關的樹籬，而更像是對宏觀發展反應的風險資產。

Bitcoin price is currently testing key resistance ahead of crucial macro catalysts. As the cryptocurrency juggernaut remains at a pivotal juncture, traders and analysts are closely monitoring both technical setups and broader market trends.

比特幣的價格目前正在測試關鍵的宏觀催化劑之前測試關鍵阻力。由於加密貨幣劍聖仍然處於關鍵點，交易者和分析師正在密切監視技術設置和更廣泛的市場趨勢。

Bitcoin Correlation With Traditional Markets Signals Macro Sensitivity

比特幣與傳統市場的相關性信號

Global tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty have been largely dictating Bitcoin’s price direction throughout 2023. But as inflation begins to ease and volatility shakes U.S. equity markets, many are anticipating the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

全球緊張局勢和宏觀經濟的不確定性在很大程度上決定了整個2023年比特幣的價格方向。但是，隨著通貨膨脹開始緩解和波動，許多人預計美聯儲將降低利率。

This move is seen as a crucial step in stabilizing the American economy, which could be pivotal for Bitcoin’s price in the long run. However, any decisive policy shift may still be several weeks away, and developments between the U.S. and China are unfolding rapidly, impacting markets in the short term.

這一舉動被視為穩定美國經濟的關鍵一步，從長遠來看，這對於比特幣的價格可能是關鍵的。但是，任何決定性的政策轉變都可能還有幾週的時間，美國和中國之間的發展正在迅速發展，在短期內影響了市場。

In this fragile environment, Bitcoin’s behavior is closely mirroring that of traditional financial markets. According to renowned analyst Maartunn, Bitcoin is now moving in close correlation with major indices.

在這個脆弱的環境中，比特幣的行為緊密反映了傳統金融市場的行為。根據著名分析師Maartunn的說法，比特幣現在正在與主要指數密切相關。

Since Trump’s tariff announcements in March, the correlations between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 have surged above 0.75. This strong correlation suggests that traditional markets are largely leading the dance, and Bitcoin is reacting quickly to these trends.

自三月份特朗普的關稅公告以來，比特幣與標準普爾500指數，道瓊斯和羅素2000之間的相關性飆升至0.75以上。這種強烈的相關性表明，傳統市場在很大程度上是領先的舞蹈，而比特幣對這些趨勢的反應很快。

This increasing alignment means Bitcoin is currently behaving like a high-beta macro asset, reacting more to economic headlines and stock market volatility than crypto-native catalysts. While this dynamic highlights Bitcoin’s sensitivity to broader financial trends, it also opens the door for a significant move if macro conditions improve.

這種越來越多的一致性意味著比特幣目前的行為就像是高β宏觀資產，對經濟標題和股票市場波動的反應比加密本地催化劑的反應更多。儘管這種動態強調了比特幣對更廣泛的財務趨勢的敏感性，但如果宏觀條件改善，它也為重大行動打開了大門。

Specifically, a positive development in the trade talks or an announcement of a forthcoming rate cut could propel Bitcoin on a steeper upward trajectory. Conversely, any setback in these domains could quickly reverse the recent gains and return Bitcoin to a bearish pattern.

具體而言，貿易談判的積極發展或宣布即將到來的降低稅率可能會推動比特幣的向上軌跡。相反，這些域中的任何挫折都可以迅速扭轉最近的收益並將比特幣歸還看跌模式。

Bitcoin Consolidates As Bulls Aim To Reclaim Momentum

比特幣鞏固，因為公牛的目標是恢復動力

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,000 after days of consolidation within a wide range on the 4-hour chart. BTC has been holding above the $75,000 support but faces resistance just below the $89,000 zone. This rangebound movement highlights market indecision.

在4小時圖表上的寬範圍內合併幾天后，比特幣目前的交易價格為84,000美元。 BTC一直在持有75,000美元的支持以上，但面臨著89,000美元以下的阻力。這種射程運動突出了市場的猶豫不決。

After a period of volatility, bulls are attempting to regain control as Bitcoin’s price shows signs of stabilization.

經過一段時間的波動，公牛試圖重新獲得控制，因為比特幣的價格顯示出穩定的跡象。

The crypto behemoth has now reclaimed the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA), which sits around $83,500—a key short-term technical indicator. The price is also testing the 4-hour exponential moving average (EMA) at $84,000.

Crypto Behemoth現在已經收回了4小時的200天移動平均線（MA），該平均值約為83,500美元，這是一個關鍵的短期技術指標。價格還將4小時指數式移動平均線（EMA）測試為84,000美元。

A clean break and close above these levels would confirm short-term bullish strength and could set the stage for a push toward $88,000 and possibly the $90,000 resistance level. However, the structure remains fragile.

乾淨的休息並超過這些水平將確認短期看漲的力量，並可能邁向$ 88,000，可能是90,000美元的阻力水平。但是，結構仍然脆弱。

If Bitcoin loses the $82,500 level, the bearish pressure could quickly intensify, potentially opening the door for a rapid drop below the $80,000 psychological threshold. This would invalidate the short-term recovery structure and likely trigger panic among over-leveraged positions.

如果比特幣失去了82,500美元的水平，看跌壓力可能會迅速加劇，有可能為低於80,000美元的心理閾值而迅速下降。這將使短期恢復結構無效，並可能引發過度槓桿率的恐慌。

All eyes are now on whether BTC can sustain its stance above key moving averages to build momentum—or whether sellers will regain dominance and push prices lower. The next move could be pivotal in determining the short to mid-term momentum of Bitcoin’s price trend.

現在，所有人的目光都集中在BTC是否可以維持其高於關鍵移動平均水平的立場，以建立動力，或者賣方是否會恢復優勢並推動價格降低。下一步可能是確定比特幣價格趨勢的短期到中期勢頭的關鍵。