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特朗普总统担心与加拿大,墨西哥和中国的贸易战担心,比特币市场仍然谨慎。市场高度不确定
President Trump's administration is preparing for a busy Wednesday with the introduction of trade tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. This move stokes fears of a trade war, a concern that has already affected Bitcoin markets.
特朗普总统的政府正在为忙碌的星期三做准备,并在加拿大,墨西哥和中国引入贸易关税。此举使人们担心贸易战,这已经影响了比特币市场。
Despite some drops in price, BTC has found support at lower levels. This is largely because traders are seeking a safe haven in times of uncertainty, driven by factors such as the trade war and a possible recession.
尽管价格有所下降,但BTC还是在较低的水平上找到了支持。这主要是因为贸易商在不确定性时期正在寻求避风港,这是由贸易战和可能衰退的因素驱动的。
However, with Canada and China also introducing their own tariffs, the global supply chain is being disrupted, adding another layer of complexity to an already volatile market.
但是,随着加拿大和中国也引入了自己的关税,全球供应链正在中断,这增加了已经动荡的市场的另一层复杂性。
This in-between period, described by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as a detox period, sees markets still adapting to the new spending cuts announced earlier in the year.
财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)描述的这一中间时期是排毒时期,看到市场仍适应今年早些时候宣布的新支出削减。
Trump has declined to comment on a possible recession and has even hinted that financial pain will be necessary before things improve.
特朗普拒绝对可能的衰退发表评论,甚至暗示在情况改善之前将有必要经济痛苦。
This signals more macroeconomic difficulties, which could pressure treasury yields and push Bitcoin into another bull market.
这标志着更多的宏观经济困难,这可能会施加压力,这可能会使国库产量并将比特币推向另一个牛市。
According to the CPI, inflation is expected to fall from 3.0% to 2.9% in February. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, is expected to drop from 3.3% to 3.2%.
根据CPI的数据,通货膨胀率预计将从2月下降3.0%降至2.9%。排除食品和能源的核心通货膨胀预计将从3.3%下降到3.2%。
The trade war between Canada and America has calmed down slightly, with Canadian officials stating that they will respond to any tariffs with their own, in a bid to prevent a full-blown trade war.
加拿大与美国之间的贸易战略有平静,加拿大官员表示,他们将对任何关税做出回应,以防止一场全面的贸易战。
Traders remain concerned about an economic slowdown, which could pressure treasury yields and push Bitcoin into another bull market.
贸易商仍然担心经济放缓,这可能会给国库产量施加压力,并将比特币推向另一个牛市。
Using one-year inflation, the New York Fed survey projected an upswing of 3.0% to 3.1%. Traders, however, are seeing a possible rate cut in June, providing more support for BTC.
使用一年通货膨胀,纽约美联储调查预计将上升3.0%至3.1%。但是,交易者在6月看到可能降低速度,为BTC提供了更多的支持。
However, if interest rates remain high, the Fed may need to maintain higher interest rates. Bitcoin does not earn interest, so investors may be less inclined to buy cryptocurrency.
但是,如果利率保持较高,美联储可能需要维持更高的利率。比特币没有赚取利息,因此投资者可能不太愿意购买加密货币。
Trump’s trade tariffs on aluminium and steel imports will go into effect on Wednesday. Job openings have already started to rise in February, anticipating the tariffs.
特朗普对铝和钢铁进口的贸易关税将于周三生效。职位空缺已经在2月开始上升,预计关税。
“We expect core CPI inflation”, wrote TD Securities analyst, “to cool down in February following the January jump to 0.45%, as price resets came in firmer than expected in the services segment”.
TD证券分析师写道:“我们预计CORE CPI通货膨胀率是在1月增长到0.45%之后的2月冷静下来的,因为价格重置比服务部门预期的要牢固''。
“We look for slowing in both the goods and services segments, with owners’ equivalent rent (OER) inflation dropping to a 3-month low. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, headline and core CPI inflation are likely to drop by a tenth each to 2.9% and 3.2%, respectively”.
“我们希望在商品和服务部门放缓,所有者的同等租金(OER)通货膨胀率下降到3个月的低点。在同比的基础上,标题和核心CPI通货膨胀可能分别下降十分之一,分别为2.9%和3.2%。”
Egg prices were a key driver of inflation, rising 53% in January from the year before. Conversely, average grocery prices rose 1.9% over the same period. Other products, such as tomatoes and bread, dropped in price, buffering the inflated price of eggs.
鸡蛋价格是通货膨胀的主要驱动力,一月份比前一年上涨了53%。相反,同一时期的平均杂货价格上涨了1.9%。其他产品,例如西红柿和面包,价格下降,缓冲鸡蛋的膨胀价格。
Brooke Rollins, the Department of Agriculture Secretary, said that, due to Trump’s five-point plan to tackle bird flu, egg prices dropped to $1.85 per dozen, down from $5 in January.
农业部秘书布鲁克·罗林斯(Brooke Rollins)表示,由于特朗普针对鸟流感的五点计划,鸡蛋价格下跌至每打1.85美元,低于一月份的5美元。
Further drops in inflation may provide a reason for a rate cut, providing much-needed relief from what is called the cost-of-living crisis. This would ease up personal budgets so that people can buy more Bitcoin in preparation for uncertain times.
通货膨胀的进一步下降可能会提供降低利率的原因,从而从所谓的生活成本危机中提供了急需的缓解。这将减轻个人预算,以便人们可以购买更多的比特币以准备不确定的时间。
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