比特币跃升至$ 109K，这是特朗普的新高级连任

但是以太坊仍在落后，卡在其2021峰值低68％。迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）于2024年4月18日上午1:13更新

Bitcoin price today jumped to $109K, a new high post-Trump’s re-election, but Ethereum is still lagging, stuck at 68% below its 2021 peak. But right now, the market is bleeding, and Bitcoin may drop below $80K, which has created panic in the market, especially for altcoins.

如今，比特币的价格跃升至109k $ 109k，这是特朗普的新高端连任，但以太坊仍在落后，停留在其2021年峰值的68％。但是目前，市场正在流血，比特币可能会降至8.8万美元以下，这在市场上引起了恐慌，尤其是对于山寨币。

The dump factor was Trump’s latest displeasure over the Russians’ handling of the ceasefire. Already the market has suffered a lot with Trump’s dwindling Tariff war and his Bitcoin reserve plan, which failed to impress the investors. However, Ethereum is still moving in sync with riskier assets, but things aren’t looking great.

转储因素是特朗普对俄罗斯人对停火的处理的最新不满。特朗普的关税战争和他的比特币储备计划不足，市场已经遭受了很大的损害，该计划未能给投资者留下深刻的印象。但是，以太坊仍在与风险更高的资产同步，但情况并不好。

Bloomberg’s senior commodity strategist, Mike McGlone, warns that if U.S. stocks keep falling, ETH could plunge to $1,000 this year. A climb back to $2,000 might be a sign of strength, but with Bitcoin on shaky ground, altcoins could take an even bigger hit.

彭博（Bloomberg）的高级商品策略师迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）警告说，如果美国股票不断下跌，ETH今年可能会跌至1,000美元。攀升至2,000美元可能是强度的迹象，但是由于比特币在摇摇欲坠的地面上，Altcoins可能会受到更大的打击。

Crypto's Rocky Road Ahead

加密岩石之路前方

McGlone compares Bitcoin's journey to a snowball rolling downhill, gathering mass and pulling other tokens along. Starting in 2009 as a digital safe haven alongside gold and silver, Bitcoin has grown into a massive ecosystem, collecting Ethereum and other altcoins in its wake.

McGlone比较比特币的滚雪球下坡，收集质量并拉动其他令牌的旅程。从2009年开始，比特币与黄金和银色的数字避风港开始，已经成长为一个庞大的生态系统，在其尾声中收集以太坊和其他山寨币。

However, the increasing speculation in crypto markets is raising red flags. When assets rely too much on hype and the promise of endless growth, regulators usually intervene, and that could put serious pressure on Ethereum's future.

但是，加密货币市场中日益增长的猜测是增加了危险信号。当资产过于依赖炒作和无休止增长的希望时，监管机构通常会干预，这可能会对以太坊的未来造成巨大压力。

Gold: Stellar Performance

黄金：出色的表现

Unlike crypto, gold is having a stellar year, climbing 26% in 2024. With inflation fears, global tensions, and investors seeking safer options, gold has emerged as a preferred asset.

与加密货币不同，Gold在2024年攀升了26％。随着通货膨胀的担忧，全球紧张局势和寻求更安全的选择的投资者，黄金已成为首选资产。

The gold-to-copper ratio, often a key signal for economic health, is also rising to levels last seen in 2009 and 2016, which could indicate further economic difficulties.

黄金与庞大的比​​率通常是经济健康的关键信号，在2009年和2016年的最后水平上也上升到水平，这可能表明经济困难。

Where Will ETH Go From Here?

ETH将从这里去哪里？

The outlook for Ethereum isn't optimistic. If economic conditions improve and risk assets bounce back, we might see ETH attempt to reclaim the $2,000 level.

以太坊的前景并不乐观。如果经济状况改善并恢复了风险资产，我们可能会看到ETH试图恢复2,000美元的水平。

But if the market keeps tumbling, another steep drop towards $1,000 could be coming this year, and with Bitcoin already facing trouble, we might see altcoins, like ETH, take an even bigger hit.

但是，如果市场不断滚滚，今年可能会又下降了1,000美元，并且由于比特币已经面临麻烦，我们可能会看到山寨币（例如ETH）受到了更大的打击。

Crypto analyst Lekker Capital's Quinn Thompson sees little chance that ETH will recover, calling it a “dead investment” due to falling usage and fees. While Layer-2 adoption is increasing, which is helpful for the ecosystem, it's not clear whether it's benefiting ETH or just boosting other tokens.

加密分析师Lekker Capital的奎因·汤普森（Quinn Thompson）认为，ETH几乎没有机会恢复，这是由于使用和费用下降而称其为“死投资”。尽管第2层采用量正在增加，这对生态系统很有帮助，但尚不清楚它是受益于ETH还是仅仅增加其他令牌。

Despite $4 billion in ETF inflows and the upcoming Pectra upgrade, BlackRock prefers to highlight the importance of staking-enabled ETH ETFs, which they believe could be a real game-changer for the crypto market.

尽管ETF流入和即将到来的Pectra升级为40亿美元，但BlackRock却更喜欢强调具有固定功能的ETH ETF的重要性，他们认为这可能是加密市场的真正改变游戏规则。